Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Nashville Predators, 6/11/17 – Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins (Pens Lead Series 3-2) vs Nashville Predators

When: 8:00 PM ET, Sunday, June 11, 2017

Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee

Lines: Nashville -135/ Pittsburgh +121

Total: 5.5

The Stanley Cup Finals continue this evening and the Pittsburgh Penguins will rumble with the Nashville Predators at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville in game six of their best-of-seven series. The Penguins pounded the Preds in game five by a score of y6-0 to take a 3-2 lead in the series. The Penguins are now 11-4 the last 15 games in this series, but the home team is 8-0 the last eight.

Penguins Rout The Preds In Game Five

The Pittsburgh Penguins have been rolling at home in the postseason, just like they have all year. They took game five of this series by a 6-0 score and have now won their last six games at home and have outscored their opponents by a 326-6 count in those games. They have three shutouts in those games and now have four during the playoffs overall. Now they must try and take one at Nashville where they have been outscored 9-2 in the two games so far. Still, even if they lose this game, they have another one at home coming up. Scoring for the Penguins in the win was Justin Schultz, which was his 4th of the postseason, Bryan Rust, which was his 7th of the postseason, Evgeni Malkin, which was his 10th of the playoffs, Conor Sheary, which was his 2nd of the playoffs, Phil Kessel, which was his 8th of the postseason and Ron Hainsey, which was his 2nd of the playoffs. The Penguins are 5-6 on the road in the postseason so far.

Matt Murray grabbed the win in game five and has now gone 6-3 with a 1.97 GAA and a .931 save percentage in the postseason this year, while in the postseason in his career he has gone 21-9 with a 2.01 GAA and a .926 save percentage. During the postseason so far the Penguins rank 1st in scoring at 3.13 gpg, while also ranking 14th in shots taken (28.7 spg) and 5th in power play conversions, converting on 20.5% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice they rank 6th in the playoffs in goals allowed, giving up 2.38 gpg, while also ranking 10th in shots allowed (32.0 spg) and 9th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 17.4% of their chances.

Preds Are Looking To Stay Alive at Home

This series has been dominated by the home team and that really gives the Preds a chance in this game, but still, even if they win this game they will have to go back to Pittsburgh for a game seven. The Preds have been very good at home in the postseason as they have gone 9-1 here at home in the postseason so far and have outscored their foes 34-15 in those games. Now that is domination and they did outscore the Pens by a 9-2 count in the first two games here in this series. They are now 33-18 at home for the year overall and they need for their dominance at home to continue or there will be no tomorrow for this team. The Preds have been led in the postseason by Filip Forsberg, who has nine goals and leads them in points with 16. Roman Josi, Colton Sissons and James Neal are all 2nd in the playoffs with six goals each.  

Pekka Rinne took the loss in game five as he allowed three goals, before getting pulled at the end of the 1st period in favor of Juuse Saros, who allowed the final three goals over the last two periods. Rinne is now 14-7 with a 2.00 GAA and a .928 save percentage in the postseason this year so far, while in the postseason in his career he has gone 36-33 with a 2.37 GAA and a .917 save percentage. The Predators enter this game ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, in the postseason, at 2.86 gpg, while also ranking 11th in shots taken (29.8 spg) and 8th in power play conversions, converting on 18.0% of their chances. At the defensive end of the ice they have been the 3rd best in the postseason in goals allowed, giving up just 2.09 gpg, while also ranking 2nd in shots allowed (28.1 spg) and 4th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert on 10.9% of their chances.

Trends

Pittsburgh is:

  • The road team is 0-8 the last eight games in this series
  • 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game

Nashville is:

  • 20-8 in their last 28 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game
  • 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game

This has been a home-dominated series and I don’t see it changing in this one. The Pens have gone just 5-6 on the road in the postseason and the Preds are 9-1 here at home in the playoffs. They won the first two games here in this series by a 9-2 count and have allowed just 15 total goals at home in the postseason so far. The Preds have their backs against the wall and their home crowd will be fired up. They will continue to play well at home as they stave off elimination and force a game seven back in Pittsburgh.  

Pick: Nashville -135

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Last Updated: June 10, 2017

David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.