2020 BMW Championship Prediction & Odds

The FedEx Cup playoffs are underway and it is time to move to the next leg of it. This week we will head to Olympia Fields near Chicago in Illinois. This is a par-70 course that stretches a little over 7300 yards. The rough will be very tough and you will see water come into play on half of the holes. Olympia Fields is a course that requires precision off of the tee and with the irons as players approach the green. This should be a fun and challenging weekend.

Last week, Dustin Johnson ran away with the Northern Trust as he won the tournament by 11 strokes over Harris English. Johnson was dominant all weekend long and is the hottest golfer on the planet at the moment. Can he keep it rolling? You’ll have to read on to find out. One player that Johnson will not have to worry about is Webb Simpson, who withdrew to get some rest. Simpson has already qualified for the finals of the FedEx Cup, which will be next week, as he is currently 3rd in the points standings. Last year’s winner at this event was Justin Thomas. Can he do it again? Will Dustin Johnson cool off? We shall see.


The Favorites (Odds Are Courtesy OfBetonline.ag)

Dustin Johnson +800

John Rahm +900

Bryson DeChambeau +1200

Justin Thomas +1200

Rory McIlroy +1600

Xander Schauffele +1600

Collin Morikawa +2000

Daniel Berger +2000

My Three Winners

Once again, I will jump right to the winners. Last week, Dustin Johnson was one of my three winners and it was the 3rd time since the restart that I have had the winning of a tournament. Let’s see if we can get another this week.

The first one I will take is Daniel Berger at +2000. Beger had a fine showing last week at the Northern Trust as he finished 3rd. Berger has finished in the top 13 in five of his last six events and 3rd or better in four of his last six. To me, that is a model of consistency. Now let’s dig into some of the numbers and he has some very good ones. Berger comes in ranked 40th on tour in driving accuracy23rd in SG in approach to the green, 40th in SG around the green, 12th in SG in putting, and 12th in SG tee to green. He is also 3rd on tour in scoring average. Those are some tasty numbers for this course and that makes him one of the players I will be on in this tournament.


Next, I will look at Harris English at +3300. Harris has been consistent of late, finishing 23rd or better in six straight events. Last week, he finished in 2nd place at The Northern Trust so English will be coming in with some momentum. I feel that he will have a very good showing here and my thoughts on that are backed up by some very solid stats. Harris is 80th in driving accuracy, which isn’t great but isn’t bad either. He is 12th in greens in regulation, 20th in SG approach to the green, 36th in SG around the green, 16th in SG putting, and 16th in SG tee-to-green. English is also 8th on tour in scoring average. Those are some fine numbers and that makes him an enticing play at +3300.


Dustin Johnson (+800) is my final winner for this week. It is hard to overlook him after a 2nd place finish two weeks ago at the PGA Championship and then completely destroying the field last week at the Northern Trust. He won that tournament by 11 strokes. It was his 2nd win since the restart and Johnson now lead the FedEx Cup standings. He is 97th in driving accuracy, but 29th in SG approach to the green, 11th in SG off the tee, 18th in SG tee-to-green, and 60th in SG putting. Momentum is hard to buck and DJ has plenty of it at the moment and he should ride it to another victory this week.


Props

Tournament Matchup - Alex Noren +119 over Billy Horschel

Tournament Matchup - Sungjae Im -110 over Abraham Ancer

Tournament Matchup - Collin Morikawa -129 over Jason Day

Top 10 Finish - Harris English +300

Top 20 Finish - Sungjae Im +200



Stats are Courtesy of PGATour.com