Free Picks for Keeneland - 10/16/21

Race 1 at Keeneland on Saturday is a six-furlong waiver Maiden claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $35,000 and field of 7. 2 Commodore Perry has placed in one of six starts, was well back when last out in July but a drop in grade is a big help today. 4 Gunduz was seventh while debuting in July of 2020, has been gelded since last outing and finishes amongst the leaders. 5 Lofty Adjudicator debuts at this venue today, jockey selection is a big plus and must be given consideration. 2 Commodore Perry to win, Exacta 2-4

Race 2 on Saturday at Keeneland is a six-furlong maiden claiming for 2 year olds with a purse of $37,000 and field of 12. 1 Sherwood Avenue is the half-brother of Bohemian Bliss, cost $150,000 and on connections must be given serious consideration. 3 Ain’t That A Kick has not placed in either of two starts, was well back when last seen in September but cannot be overlooked today. 11 Ashwins Orb was sixth while debuting last month, jockey selection is a big plus and finishes with the leaders today. 1 Sherwood Avenue to win, Exacta 1-11

Race 3 at Keeneland on Saturday is a 1-mile ad 1/16 Maiden special weight for two year olds with a purse of $84,000 and field of 15. 1 Heston is the half-brother of Shaiba, was third while debuting last month and plays a prominent role today. 3 Verbier debuts at this venue today, jockey selection is a big plus and finishes amongst the leaders. 10 Grand Sonata Was second while debuting last month, has one of the best in the business on board and on these terms is difficult to deny today. 10 Grand Sonata to win, Exacta 10-1

Race 4 on Saturday at Keeneland is a 6 ½ furlong claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $33,000 and field of 8. 4 Afleet Diva has victories at both 5 and 6 furlongs, was a winner when last out in August of 2020 and looks for a third consecutive victory today. 6 Yogurt has a victory at 5 furlongs, was second when last seen in September and on these terms is the leading contender today. 7 Mama Lou has victories at both 5 and 6 furlongs, was a winner last time out in September and looks to return to the winner’s circle for the third consecutive time. 7 Mama Lou to win, Exacta 7-4

Race 5 on Saturday at Keeneland is a 1-mile and 1/16 claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $56,000 and field of 9. 4 Pioneer Spirit has 13 victories in races of up to 1 mile, was 6th when last out in September but cannot be overlooked today. 6 Fighting Seabee has three victories at 1 mile, was fourth when last seen in September and on these terms is difficult to deny today. 8 American Tattoo has three victories in races of up to 2 miles, was well back last time out in September but against this class plays a prominent role. 6 Fighting Seabee to win, Exacta 6-8

Race 6 at Keeneland on Saturday is a 1-mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for 2 year olds with a purse of $84,000 and field of 15. 4 Curbstone is the brother of Choate Bridge, has placed in one of two starts, was second when last out in September and holds solid claims today. 6 Bickell is the half-brother of Chelios, debuts from this venue today and has a highly talented jockey in the saddle. 8 Big Woo debuts today at this venue, workouts have been promising of late and has one of the best in the business on board. 4 Curbstone to win, Exacta 4-8

Race 7 on Saturday at Keeneland is a 1-mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for three year olds and up with a purse of $84,000 and field of 7. 1 Big City Momma has placed in two of 4 starts, was second when last out in September and finishes amongst the leaders. 2 Sovereign Appeal has placed three times in seven outings, was third when last seen in August and on form must be taken into consideration. 5 Street Missy has placed in two of 7 starts, was third last time out in September and on these terms is the one to beat. 5 Street Missy to win, Exacta 5-1

Race 8 at Keeneland on Saturday is the 1 mile and ⅛ Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes for three year olds with a purse of $500,000 and field of 10. 2 Technical Analysis has four victories at 1 mile, was a winner when last out in August and must be respected. 4 Empress Josephine has two victories at one mile, was third when last seen earlier in October and on these terms is difficult to deny today. 9 Cloudy Dawn has four victories in races of up to 1 mile, was a winner last time out in August and plays a prominent role today. 4 Empress Josephine to win, Exacta 4-9

Race 9 on Saturday at Keeneland is a one-mile allowance for three year olds and up with a purse of $86,000 and field of 10. 1 Malibu Star has a victory at 1 mile, was second when last out in February and must enter into all calculations today. 4 Winter Pool has victories at 1 mile and one mile and one furlong, was a winner when last seen in August and on these terms is the leading contender today. 9 Mr. Tip has four victories in races of up to 1 mile, was second last time out in September and has one of the best in the business on board. 4 Winter Pool to win, Exacta 4-9

The tenth and final race on Saturday at Keeneland is a 5 1/2 furlong allowance for three year olds and up with a purse of $88,000 and field of 15. 1 Social Chatter has victories at both 5 and 7 furlongs, was a winner when last out in September and plays a prominent role today. 4 Chili Petin has victories at both 4 and 6 furlongs, was second when last seen in April and merits serious consideration. 6 Signify has three victories in races of up to 6 furlongs, was a winner last time out in August and on these terms is the one the rest must catch. 6 Signify to win, Exacta 6-1






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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.