Free Picks for Keeneland - 10/28/21

Race one at Keeneland on Thursday is a six and one-half furlong maiden claiming sprint race on the dirt track open to horses three years and upwards with a purse of $37,000 and eight runners going to post. 8 Extreme has been placed in all but one of his starts but he ran well when finishing fourth last time at Churchill Downs over a longer trip and can do better back over shorter. He sets the standard and should shed his maiden tag. 2 Windcracker finished runner-up when last seen at Churchill Downs over a similar trip to this and a repeat of that run on his first start for a new stable would put him in the mix. 6 Sprinklehead has been running better than his results suggest and this is an easier assignment than he’s been tackling so he could make his presence felt although will need to find some improvement. 8 EXTREME to win, Exacta 8-2

Race two at Keeneland on Thursday is a one and one-eighth mile claiming race on the dirt track open to horses aged three years and over with a purse of $38,000 and a field of eight runners facing the starter. 7 David’s Gem arrives looking for a hat-trick of wins having landed the spoils in his last two starts at Thistledown and with more improvement expected he should go close to the three-timer. 8 Urbanite is a three-time winner, the last coming two starts ago and he was a solid second when last seen at Churchill Downs. Starts out for a new yard and can make his presence felt. 1 Ananroad has won two of his last three starts, landing favourites’ odds at Mountaineer Park last time and could have a big say on his first outing for a new stable. 7 DAVID’S GEM to win, Exacta 7-8

Race three at Keeneland is a one and one-sixteenth mile maiden special weight race on the turf track open to fillies and mares aged three years and older with a purse of $84,000 and a big field of sixteen runners. 2 Lady De Peron has shaped well on all starts to date with three efforts in the frame and might be able to get off the mark now. Runner-up last time at Kentucky Downs she looks one with more improvement to come and she can strike. 5 Trouble Making has had a few chances and has made the frame on six occasions, runner-up when last seen at Kentucky Downs and she can run well although others may have greater scope. 7 Copacetic improved for debut to finish runner-up at Gulfstream Park last time and may have more improvement in her locker so she could make her presence felt in this contest. 2 LADY DE PERON to win, Exacta 2-7

Race four at Keeneland is a six furlongs claiming sprint race on the dirt track for horses aged three years and upwards with a purse of $49,000 and eight runners heading to post. 2 Jack Van Berg is a four-time winner and arrives here in form having finished runner-up on his last start at Churchill Downs where he was an unlucky loser. He could go one better in a competitive heat. 5 Mi Tres Por Ciento has to bounce back from a lesser run last time out but he had been in decent form beforehand and has the back-class to go close if regaining his best. 7 Copper Town has been in good form, winning at Belmont in June and finishing runner-up at Belterra Park when last seen, caught late. He can mount another bold bid and should be involved. 2 JACK VAN BERG to win, Exacta 2-7

Race five at Keeneland is a six furlongs maiden special weight sprint race on the dirt track for fillies aged two years old with a purse of $84,000 and eleven runners. 4 Marr Time makes her debut but given she’s a half-sister to Beholder there is sure to be plenty of interest in how she fares. She could prove up to the task of making a winning debut for a top stable. 3 Twirling Savi shaped well on debut when finishing fifth at this venue three weeks ago and can build on the experience sho has to be considered with improvement. 5 Dame Joviale stepped up on her debut to finish runner-up at Churchill Downs and she can get involved with further progress to come. 4 MARR TIME to win, Exacta 4-5

Race six at Keeneland is a five and one-half furlongs allowance sprint race on the turf track for fillies and mares three years old and upwards with a purse of $93,000 and a field of thirteen runners. 2 Lady Of Luxury is in good form and landed the latest of her nine wins when successful at Kentucky Down last month. She should continue to make her presence felt and can go close in pursuit of double-figures. 9 Elle Z was a winner two starts ago and backed up that victory with a near-miss last time so she ought to feature again. 4 Strong Odor has been consistent of late, notching up a number of runner-up efforts peppered with a victory at Saratoga in between those runs. Was beaten by Lady Of Luxury last time but should be involved again although minor honors perhaps the best she can hope for. 2 LADY OF LUXURY to win, Exacta 2-9

Race seven at Keeneland is a seven furlongs maiden special weight race on the dirt track for horses aged two years old with a purse of $84,000 and a field of fourteen runners. 2 Jego shaped with promise when finishing fifth on debut at Churchill Downs and likely to be sharper for the experience is expected to go close. 9 Coffee With Alex finished third on debut at Churchill Downs and can improve stepping up in trip. He’s dangerous to discount. 3 Atlantic Dancer crossed the line in fifth when making his debut at Belmont Park last month but on breeding he should appreciate this stiffer test of stamina and he can make his presence felt. 3 ATLANTIC DANCER to win, Exacta 3-2

Race eight at Keeneland is a one and one-sixteenth mile allowance race on the turf track for horses aged three years and up with a purse of $88,000 and a big field of 16 runners are declared to run. 7 The Last Zip is in form with two wins from his last three and most recently ran well for third at Kentucky Downs. He can give another good account for all this looks a stronger race. 9 Vintage Print has been running better than his results suggest as he’s been contesting stronger races. This looks more suitable and there’d be no surprise if he posts a big run. 5 Kingmeister ran well for second at Kentucky Downs last time out and has strong claims if able to build on that better effort. 9 VINTAGE PRINT to win, Exacta 9-5

Race nine at Keeneland is a six and one-half maiden claiming race on the dirt track for horses aged two years old with a purse of $52,000 and a field of fourteen runners facing the starter. 6 Rome stepped up on a promising debut to finish runner-up at Churchill Downs last time out and further improvement should see him firmly in the mix. 12 Rumble Ready offered plenty of promise on debut at Churchill Downs and is another who can improve dropping in distance with experience. 4 In Dreams looked to need the experience on debut at Churchill Downs and can improve for his top stable so is another to consider in a competitive finale. 6 ROME to win, Exacta 6-12