Free Picks for Keeneland - 10/29/21

Race one at Keeneland on Friday is a seven furlongs maiden special weight race on the dirt track open to horses aged three years and upwards with a purse of $84,000 and six runners going to post. 3 Injunction sets a good standard on recent runner-up finishes and first-time blinkers can see him gain a first success here. 6 Engrave has made the frame twice from five starts but was well beaten when last seen and needs to bounce back. 4 Elevator Pitch is a debutant who is related to a decent winner and he wouldn’t need to be anything near top-class to take a hand in this contest. 3 INJUNCTION to win, Exacta 3-4

Race two at Keeneland on Friday is a one and one-sixteenth maiden special weight race on the dirt track for horses aged two years old with a purse of $84,000 and ten runners will line up for the race. 5 Smile Happy has been the subject of good trackwork reports and could make a winning debut. 1 Atlantic Dancer shaped with promise on debut to finish fifth at Belmont Park last month and stepping up in trip he can make his presence felt. 4 I’m A War Lord wasn’t disgraced on his debut at Churchill Down and looks sure to appreciate this stiffer test. He could put his experience to good use and ought to post a big effort. 1 ATLANTIC DANCER to win, Exacta 1-4

Race three at Keeneland on Friday is a seven furlongs claiming race on the dirt track for fillies and mares aged three years and upwards with a purse of $32,000 and nine runners lining up. 4 Guana Cay is forgiven her last run where she unseated her rider and her earlier runs give her solid claims of a return to winning ways. 2 Flashy Biz hasn’t won for a while but she has been contesting in better races and the easier assignment here will certainly show her in a better light. 7 Dance On Over has made the frame on her last two starts and will appreciate this stiffer test so is one to bear in mind. 2 FLASHY BIZ to win, Exacta 2-4

Race four at Keeneland on Friday is a one and one-eighth mile maiden special weight race for horses aged two years and up with a purse of $84,000 and a field of sixteen runners. 12 Walhalla showed plenty of ability on debut to find only one too good and with improvement very much anticipated he can go one better here. 6 Naval Aviator is a debutante but he hails from a good family and fetched a big sum at the sales. He represents a top stable and wouldn’t need to be top-class to make his presence felt. 14 Overanalytical has made the frame on both starts to date, finding only one too strong last time and if getting a run in the race he could go well. 12 WALHALLA to win, Exacta 12-6

Race five at Keeneland on Friday is a six and one-half furlongs starter allowance race on the dirt track for fillies and mares aged three years and older with a purse of $46,000 and a field of nine runners taking their place in the line-up. 3 Flat Awesome Jenny is thriving at present with four straight victories to her name and while this is a tougher grade she is expected to continue the good work and can strike again. 4 Canadian Ginger had won three times earlier before her latest fourth at Remington Park and a repeat of that should see her in the mix once more over this slightly longer distance. 8 Lady Of Luxury is proving consistent and has won three of her last six starts including her latest outing at Kentucky Downs and she’s not without chances here if running to a similar level as last time. 3 FLAT AWESOME JENNY to win, Exacta 3-8

Race six at Keeneland on Friday is a one and three-sixteenth mile allowance race on the dirt track open to horses aged three years and up with a purse of $86,000 and a field of eight runners. 3 Decision Maker was disappointing when last seen but he had finished a good runner-up the time before and a repeat of that run would see him firmly in the mix. The return to a longer trip will hold no fears and if back to his best could be hard to beat. 8 Laughing Boy won two starts ago and ran well in defeat latest when finishing fourth at Churchill Downs. He can make his presence felt. 1 Cheffy won three starts ago and finished ahead of Laughing Boy when last seen at Churchill Downs so can get involved with a repeat of that performance. 3 DECISION MAKER to win, Exacta 3-1

Race seven at Keeneland on Friday is a one and one-sixteenth mile allowance race on the turf course open to horses aged two years with a purse of $86,000 and fifteen runners make up the field. 3 Kiss The Sky has made the places on all three career starts which includes a win at Saratoga and he took in a stronger race than this last time when runner-up at Kentucky Downs. He’ll find this easier and should go close. 2 Britain’s Kitten has placed in all three starts and ran well in defeat at this venue last month when finishing runner-up; a repeat will put him in the mix. 5 Grael won last time out having shaped with promise in a debut third previously and with improvement expected he shouldn’t be overlooked. 5 GRAEL to win, Exacta 5-3

Race eight at Keeneland on Friday is a six furlongs stakes race on the dirt track for fillies aged two years old with a purse of $150,000 and eleven runners go to post. 5 Kant Believe It looked a smart prospect when making a winning debut at Churchill Downs and sure to improve she looks one to keep onside and every chance she’ll go close. 1 Jester Calls Nojoy didn’t back up her earlier win when only sixth last time at Belmont Park but it is too soon to write her off and this is easier than the race she took in last time while she has less distance to go which is a positive. She can run well. 6 Verylittlecents was thwarted in her hat-trick bid when finishing third latest at Kentucky Downs but this is an easier grade and she’ll appreciate the drop in trip so no surprise if she were to bounce back. 5 KANT BELIEVE IT to win, Exacta 5-6

Race nine at Keeneland on Friday is a one and one-sixteenth mile stakes race on the turf course for fillies aged three years with a purse of $150,000 and a field of sixteen runners. 4 Toby’s Heart is a multiple winner and comes here on the back of a last-time victory at Kentucky Downs, scoring comfortably and a repeat of that run puts her firmly in the mix. 3 Crazy Beautiful is a regular winner and struck gold last time out at Churchill Downs which was a very good effort and she ought to make her presence felt again. 8 Breaker Of Chains improved with each run and struck at the third time of asking when going in at Kentucky Downs latest. She can post a big run with improvement expected. 8 BREAKER OF CHAINS to win, Exacta 8-4

Race ten at Keeneland on Friday is a seven furlongs maiden claiming sprint on the dirt track for horses aged three years and up with a purse of $32,000 and a field of ten runners facing the starter. 3 Breacher has improved with each start and found only one too good latest at Belterra Park; he could go one better here with a repeat. 2 Destined For Honor has had a few runs and yet to open his account, but he did run well for third latest at Indiana Grand and this looks easier than that contest so he should be in the mix. 6 Bassett has made the frame twice in his career, most recently when third at Keeneland over shorter than this distance and he could go well back up in trip for all his form leaves him a little to find. 3 BREACHER to win, Exacta 3-2

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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.