Free Picks For Keeneland - 4/11/21

Race 1 at Keeneland on Sunday is a 4 1/2 furlong Maiden special weight for 2-year-olds with a purse of $60,000 and field of 8. 2 My Girl Steve is a half-sister to Mopsicle debuts from this venue today, and workouts have been strong over the last week. 4 Chi Town Lady is a half-sister to Gio’s Lil Angel, debuts today from this venue and on connections merits consideration. 5 Paolina is a half-sister to Old Faithful, has one of the best in the business on board, and workouts leading up to this debut have been very good. 5 Paolina to win, Exacta 5-2

Race 2 at Keeneland on Sunday is a 6 ½ furlong claiming for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $33,000 and field of 6. 1 On Deck has six victories in races of up to six furlongs, was a winner when last out in March and looks to double up today. 4 Shasta Star has six victories in races of up to six furlongs, was second when last seen in March and looks to go one better today. 6 Holly Go Lightly has five victories in races of up to one mile, was a winner last time out in January and has won 2 of the last six. 6 Holly Go Lightly to win, Exacta 6-1

Race 3 on Sunday at Keeneland is a 1-mile in 1/16 Maiden claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $21,000 and field of 9. 2 Indiana Nichols is half sister to More Than Treasure, was well back when last seen in February but faces an easier task today. 3 Simply Beguiled has placed in one of four outings, was fifth when last seen in March, and has a highly talented jockey in the saddle. 6 Queen Louise has placed three times in five starts, was second last time out in March and looks to go one better today. 3 Simply Beguiled to win, Exacta 3-6

Race 4 at Keeneland on Sunday is a 1 mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for three-year-olds with a purse of $79,000 and field of 9. 3 Fairchild has placed in each of two starts, was second when last out in March and has one of the best in the business on board. 4 Magic Ride is a half-sister to Houdini Affair, was well back when last seen in March but additional distance today could be a big help. 7 Tracy Flick was third while debuting in February, has a top-rated jockey in the saddle and must be on all shortlists. 3 Fairchild to win, Exacta 3-7

Race 5 on Sunday at Keeneland is a 7-furlong allowance optional claiming for 4 year olds and up with a purse of $83,000 and field of 5. 1 Dean Martin has two victories at one mile, was sixth when last out in March, and plays a part today. 3 Bybee has two victories at 5 furlongs, was second when last seen in February and looks to go one better today. 4 Get The Prize has two victories at six furlongs, was a winner last time out in February and on these terms is hard to deny today. 4 Get The Prize to win, Exacta 4-1

Race 6 at Keeneland on Sunday is a six-furlong maiden claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $23,000 and field of 12. 2 Mr. Thunderstruck is half-brother to Top Smoocher was fifth when last out in March but on prior form cannot be overlooked. 5 MarvelousMoonDance is a half-brother to Hyndford, was 4th while debuting last month and on connections merits consideration. 10 Convection is a half-brother to Lynah Rink has one of the best in the business on board and on these terms is hard to deny today. 10 Convection to win, Exacta 10-2

Race 7 on Sunday at Keeneland is a 1 mile in 1/8 allowance for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $81,000 and field of 12. 4 BeachWalker has a victory at one mile, was third when last out in January, debuts from a new stable today and must be given serious consideration. 6 Glynn County has two victories at one mile, was fourth when last seen in November and a drop in distance today is a big help. 8 Starting Over has a victory at one mile, was third last time out in February and cannot be overlooked by the rest. 6 Glynn County to win, Exacta 6-8

Race 8 at Keeneland on Sunday is a six-furlong allowance optional claiming for 4 year-olds and up with a purse of $85,000 and field of 6. 1 Call On Mischief has three victories at five furlongs was second when last out in March, and looks to go one better today. 2 Palace Avenger has three victories at six furlongs, was third when last seen in October and has won three of the last four. 4 Club Car has three victories at 7 furlongs, was 3rd last time out in February and cannot be overlooked today. 2 Palace Avenger to win, Exacta 2-1

The ninth and final race on Sunday at Keeneland is a 1 mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for three-year-olds with a purse of $79,000 and field of 10. 2 Mischevious Mel was sixth while debuting last month, jockey selection is a big plus and cannot be overlooked amongst this group. 3 Bitten By Kitten is a half-sister to Rarest Quality, workouts have been strong leading up to this debut and must be taken into consideration. 7 Black Sand is half-sister Maqsad, was the third while debuting in August, has one of the best in the business on board and on these terms is the one to beat. 7 Black Sand to win, Exacta 7-3

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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting. We are glad to have Kevin on OUR Team.