Free Picks For Keeneland - 4/16/21

Race 1 at Keeneland on Friday is a 1-mile claiming for three-year-olds with a purse of $28,000 and field of 6. 1 Double Tough Tiger was a winner when last out in March, has a talented jockey in the saddle and looks for a double today. 2 Two Worlds has victories at both seven furlongs and one mile, was third when last seen in March and cannot be overlooked today. 5 The Beat has a victory at five furlongs was third last time out earlier in April and jockey selection is a big plus. 1 Double Tough Tiger to win, Exacta 1-5

Race 2 on Friday at Keeneland is a 7-furlong starter allowance for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $40,000 and field of 6. 1 Lady Of Luxury has seven victories in races of up to six furlongs, was a winner when last out in March and merits serious consideration today. 5 Keep Your Distance has 19 victories in races of up to one mile was a winner when last seen in March and must be given respect by the rest. 6 Bye Bye Bertie has five victories in races of up to one mile, was 4th last time out in February and finishes with the lead group today. 5 Keep Your Distance to win, Exacta 5-1

Race 3 at Keeneland on Friday is a 1-mile and 1/16 claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $31,000 and field of 6. 2 GraysonsMacho Gal has two victories at 1 mile, was well back when last out in January but a drop-in class today is a big help. 3 Tynan was far back when last seen in December but against this class cannot be overlooked. 4 Xtrema has victories at both five and seven furlongs was third last time out in February, debuts from a new stable today and jockey selection is a big plus . 2 GraysonsMacho Gal to win, Exacta 2-4

Race 4 on Friday at Keeneland is a 1 mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for three year olds with a purse of $79,000 and field of 7. 3 Deferred Taxes is half-brother to Miami Crockett, was second while debuting in January and on these terms is the leading contender. 4 Shaldag has placed three times in five outings were third when last seen in March and finish in the mix today. 5 Feeding Frenzy is a half-brother to Allison K, was sixth last time out in February and on connections cannot be dismissed. 3 Deferred Taxes to win, Exacta 3-4

Race 5 at Keeneland on Friday is a six-furlong maiden special weight for three year olds and up with a purse of $79,000 and field of 8. 4 Congratulated has placed in one of three starts, was second when last out in March and holds solid claims today. 5 HappyLife is a half-sister to The Zip Zip Man, was 4th when last seen in March and on connections cannot be overlooked. 7 Mo Clare’s has placed three times in eight starts, was fifth last time out in March, and has a highly talented jockey on board. 4 Congratulated to win, Exacta 4-5

Race 6 on Friday at Keeneland is a 1 mile and 1/8 allowance for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $87,000 and a field of 7. 1 Master Piece has placed in one of three starts, was fourth when last out in a Grade 1 event in October, and merits consideration at this level. 2 Factor This has 12 victories in races of up to one mile, was fifth when last seen in February but cannot be overlooked today. 6 Admiralty Pier has five victories in races of up to one mile, was third last time out in October and has a highly talented jockey in the saddle. 1 Master Piece to win, Exacta 1-2

Race 7 on Friday at Keeneland is a six-furlong allowance for three-year-olds with a purse of $81,000 and field of 10. 5 TheRideOfALifetime has a victory at six furlongs, was fourth when last out in September and must be on all shortlists today. 7 Red Ghost has a victory at 5 furlongs, was well back when last seen in September but amongst this class cannot be overlooked. 10 Wora was a winner last time out in March, jockey selection is a big plus and looks for a double today. 10 Wora to win, Exacta 10-5

Race 8 at Keeneland on Friday is a 5 1/2 furlong allowance for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $81,000 and field of 13. 1 Girl Named Patsy was a winner when last out in March has a highly talented jockey on board and merits the respect of the rest. 6 Senora Roma was a winner when last seen in April of 2020, jockey selection is a plus and merits consideration. 7 Jades Gelly has a victory at 5 furlongs was sixth last time out in October but leaves from a highly respected barn and cannot be overlooked. 7 Jades Gelly to win, Exacta 7-6

Race 9 at Keeneland on Friday is the one mile and 1/16th Baird Doubledogdare Stakes for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $100,000 and field of 7. 4 Eres Tu has four victories in races of up to one mile, was second when last out in February and has one of the best in the business on board. 5 Bonny South has two victories at one mile, was second when last seen in November and on consistency must be given consideration. 6 Speech has victories at both six furlongs and one mile, was sixth last time out in November but a big drop in grade is the difference today. 6 Speech to win, Exacta 6-4

The 10th and final race at Keeneland on Friday is a 1 mile and 1/16 Maiden special weight for three-year-olds with a purse of $79,000 and field of 8. 1 Rustler has placed in each of two starts, was third when last out in July, debuts from a new stable today and finishes amongst the leaders. 3 Mubtadaa was fourth while debuting in January, has a talented jockey in the saddle, and must be taken into consideration. 6 Scarlet Fusion has placed three times in five starts, was 3rd last time out in March, and on consistency merits respect from the rest. 1 Rustler to win, Exacta 1-3

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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting. We are glad to have Kevin on OUR Team.