Top Prop Bets for the Dixie 400, Part I

NASCAR continues their run of races as they try to make up for lost time thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. This Sunday, the circuit makes the trip to the Sunshine State as they head to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Dixie 400. We’ve taken the time and given the background information on the track and gave some information about how current drivers fare when it comes to racing here. Today, we’ll take a look at some of the best options to place wagers on in order to try and cash in should you drop a few bucks on the race. All odds for this race are brought to you by DraftKings.

Martin Truex Jr. to Finish in the Top Three (+140): Truex Jr. cruised to the win at Martinsville on Wednesday night and logged his fourth top-10 finish in the last five races with his first win of the season. In his last three runs here at Homestead, Truex Jr. earned a win in 2017 and logged back to back second-place finishes in 2018 and 2019. Given the fact that he has had strong runs of late and has finished in the top six in six of the last nine races here at Homestead, you have to think that he’s in line for a strong run that will culminate in another solid finish. You could consider throwing a few bucks at him earning the checkered flag at +500 as well.

Kyle Busch to Win (+550): Busch has yet to earn a win this season but he has logged three second-place finishes, one third-place finish and a pair of fourth-place runs to his credit so far. He finished just 19th at Martinsville but has been very good at Homestead over the course of his career. Busch has finished in the top seven in seven of the last eight races at Homestead, including finishing in the top six in each of the last five runs at the track. During that span, he has picked up a pair of wins, including a victory in last season’s Dixie 400. Given his ability to run strong here, he’s a solid option to take the checkered flag.

Clint Bowyer to Finish in Top Ten (+100): Bowyer has had a tough season so far this year as he has just three top-10 finishes on the season. He did turn in a second-place showing at The World’s Fastest Half-Mile at Bristol two weeks ago. With that said, Bowyer has recorded six top-eight finishes in his last nine runs here at Homestead and has run eighth and sixth in the last two races here. He has been solid here in recent years and seems due for a bounce back after running 20th at Atlanta and 17th at Martinsville in the past week. Taking him at a plus number to finish in the top 10 is a decent option.

Erik Jones to Finish in Top 10 (+130): Jones is similar to Bowyer in that he has only four top-10 showings on the season. After finishing eighth and fifth at Darlington in the first two runs after the pause for the coronavirus, he has logged three finishes of 20th or worse in the last five races. That includes a 28th-place showing at Atlanta and a 20th-place run at Martinsville Wednesday. Jones was solid at Homestead last season, finishing third in that race. While it marked his best run at the track by far, his team tends to put together a solid vehicle on the track. He could be a sneaky top-10 guy on Sunday.

Ryan Blaney to Finish in Top Five (+300): Blaney has been on a roll of late as after five straight runs of 11th or worse after his second-place showing in the Daytona 500, he’s turned things around. In the last five races, he has four finishes in the top four, including a second-place run at Martinsville after running from the pole. In his lone dud during that span, he finished 40th at Bristol after a crash took him out of the mix. However, he did lead 60 laps in that one so it wasn’t a complete loss. While his best showing at Homestead is an 11th-place showing last year, he’s due for a breakthrough here. Look for Blaney to run near the front of the pack and log a top-five showing.

Author Profile
Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.