Top Prop Bets for the Dixie 400, Part II

NASCAR continues their run of races as they try to make up for lost time thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. This Sunday, the circuit makes the trip to the Sunshine State as they head to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Dixie 400. We’ve taken the time and given the background information on the track and gave some information about how current drivers fare when it comes to racing here. In addition, we gave you a look at some of the top options to win along with finishing in the top three, five or ten for those kinds of bets. Today, we’ll take a look at some of the best options to place wagers on for other props in order to try and cash in should you drop a few bucks on the race. All odds for this race are brought to you by DraftKings.

Ryan Blaney to Record Top Finish in Group B (+285): If you were reading our first part of the race preview as far as top bets go, you’d know we’re backing Blaney to finish in the top five of the race. He’s finished in the top four in four of the last five races this season and finished second at Martinsville Wednesday night. While Blaney actually has the longest odds in this group, his recent success portends for another good run. It was a tough call between him and Brad Keselowski (+250) for the top spot. However, you can’t go against Blaney’s solid work of late and with the hopes he finishes in the top five, you have to back him here.

Kevin Harvick to Drive Top Ford (+190): Harvick is the NASCAR Cup points leader and is surely going to be considered as a frontrunner for this one. After all, he has finished in the top 10 in nine of the 11 races this season. He had his struggles at Martinsville, posting a season-worst 15th-place finish in that run. Harvick is arguably the top driver on this track as he has one win, 11 top-five finishes and 17 top-10 showings in his 19 races here. In the last four runs at Homestead, Harvick has a win, a second-place finish and a ninth-place run to his credit. Harvick is a safe option to be the top finisher for Ford in this race.

Winning Car Number Over 16.5 (-106): This one is based off the premise that we’re leaning on Kyle Busch to win the race and he drives the 18 car. Throw in that Martin Truex Jr. (19), Joey Logano (22), Alex Bowman (88), Jimmie Johnson (48) and Erik Jones (20) are all solid racers that have the capability to do damage here, and you have a sound option to lean here. While Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Keselowski and Chase Elliott are all driving cars with numbers lower than 16, we have to lean toward the over here given Busch and Truex Jr.’s success here at Homestead over the past several years.

Toyota to Be Manufacturer of Winning Car (+150): Again, this is based on the premise that we think Busch is going to win the race. Looking at recent history at the track, Toyota has had pretty good success, winning four of the last seven years here. Hamlin won in 2013, Kyle Busch won in 2015 and 2019 while Truex Jr. took the checkered flag in 2017. Last year, Toyota finished 1-2-3 with Kyle Busch, Truex Jr. and Erik Jones taking those spots. Given that kind of dominance at the track, you have to give Toyota the nod to take the checkered flag here again when all is said and done Sunday.

Joey Logano to Finish Ahead of Chase Elliott (+108): Elliott has been strong of late with seven top-10 finishes in his last nine races. That includes a win and a second-place finish in the two runs at Charlotte along with a fifth-place showing at Martinsville Wednesday. With that said, he finished just 15th last year at Homestead and has only two top-10 finishes in his four runs on the track. Logano had two wins before the coronavirus pause but hasn’t recorded better than a fourth-place finish since. That run did come at Martinsville, where he won a stage and led 234 laps in the race. Homestead is like home cooking for Logano, who has logged five straight top-six finishes with one victory on the books. With his success here, you have to give him the upper hand in this head to head matchup.

Author Profile
Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.