Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, September 17, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 09/17/2025, 10:56 AM ET
Braves vs. Nationals prediction
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Atlanta (67-83) will be going for the series win when they visit Nationals Park on Wednesday afternoon to face Washington (62-88) in the final game of their four-game series at 4:05 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Braves vs. Nationals prediction.

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Hurston Waldrep, 4-1, 2.78 ERA, will get the start for the Braves. The Nationals will counter with Brad Lord, 5-8, 4.21 ERA.

Atlanta and Washington split their last 10 meetings.

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**This preview was written before Tuesday’s doubleheader was played.**

Atlanta Trying To Move Up NL East Standings

The Braves haven’t had much go their way this season, but they’re playing well at the moment after picking up their second straight win in the series opener. They are fourth in the NL East standings, three games behind third-placed Miami, and will try to cut into Miami’s lead with a win on Wednesday.

Atlanta averages 4.38 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their .243 batting average is 21st in the league. Their .317 on base percentage is 15th, while their .394 slugging percentage is 18th.

Matt Olsen has been the big bat for the Braves. He leads the team with a .277 batting average, 26 home runs, and 87 RBI.

Atlanta is giving up 4.63 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Opponents have a .247 batting average against the Braves, which is 20th in the league. Their 4.45 ERA is 23rd, while their 1.32 WHIP is 20th.

In his last start, Waldrep gave up eight hits and eight runs in 4.2 innings, leading to an 11-3 loss to Houston. He is 0-1 with a 17.18 ERA in one game against Washington.

Washington Trying To End Slump

The Nationals aren’t playing well at the moment, and they’ve lost four of their last six games. They are at the bottom of the NL East standings, five games behind Atlanta, and will try to turn things around and cut into Atlanta’s lead with a win on Wednesday.

Washington averages 4.27 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their .244 batting average is 19th in the league. Their .307 on base percentage is 22nd, as is their .389 slugging percentage.

CJ Abrams leads Washington with a .263 batting average, while James Wood leads the team with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Washington is giving up 5.48 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Opponents have a .267 batting average against the Nationals, which is 29th in the league. Their 5.32 ERA is also 29th, while their 1.43 WHIP is 28th.

In his last start, Lord gave up seven hits and three runs in six innings, leading to a 6-5 win over Pittsburgh.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Pick

Money Line Pick for Braves vs. Nationals

  • Atlanta Braves ML (4 Units)

The Braves have won three of their last five road games, while the Nationals have lost two of their last three home games. Atlanta has the edge here because they’ve hit the ball well against right-handers, and they’re going up against Waldrep, who struggled in recent starts, especially at home, where he gave up 14 runs in his last three starts. With Washington’s bullpen also struggling, they will have a hard time slowing down the Braves.

Washington won’t be as successful offensively because they didn't hit the ball well in recent games and they’re going up against Waldrep, who has looked good on the mound, especially on the road, where he gave up two runs in three starts, so expect him to keep Washington’s offense in check. Take Atlanta on the money line.

Over/Under Pick for Braves vs. Nationals

  • Over (4 Units)

The Braves played over the total in three of their last four games, while the Nationals played over the total in two of their last four games. Atlanta averages 4.38 runs per game and averaged seven runs per game in their last three games. They’re batting .242 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up 14 runs in his last three home starts. The Nationals average 4.27 runs per game and 3.96 runs per game at home. They’re batting .250 against right-handers, and they’re facing a starter who gave up 11 runs in his last three starts. Expect these teams to score enough runs to push the score over the total. The Braves and Nationals played over the total in their last two meetings.

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