Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Picks and Predictions for Tuesday January 20 2026

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The Air Force Falcons travel to Fort Collins to take on the Colorado State Rams at Moby Arena on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 PM EST. This Mountain West Conference matchup will be televised on MWN. At the time of this writing, the moneyline odds are not available, while the total is set at 133.5 with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. The spread lists Colorado State as a 20.5-point favorite at -112, with Air Force coming back at +20.5 (-108). Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily college hoops betting insight.

Uphill Battle on the Road for the Falcons: 

Air Force Falcons

Air Force comes into this matchup with a 3-15 overall record and has struggled mightily away from home this season. Over their last five games, the Falcons have recently lost to Nevada, San Jose State, New Mexico, Utah State, and UNLV. That stretch highlights a team that has had difficulty staying competitive, especially against conference opponents with deeper rotations.

Statistically, Air Force is averaging just 62.0 points per game while allowing 75.9 points per contest. They are shooting 43% from the field but generating limited offensive flow, averaging only 12 assists per game. The rebounding numbers are also a concern, as the Falcons pull down just 29.8 rebounds per game.

One area where Air Force continues to fall short is offensive efficiency. Their inability to consistently create high-quality shots has led to long scoring droughts, putting additional pressure on a defense that is already stretched thin. Against a strong home team, that lack of scoring punch could be magnified.

Rams Look to Protect Home Court: 

Colorado State Rams

Colorado State enters the game with an 11-7 overall record and has been far more reliable at home than on the road. In their last five games, the Rams have recently won over UNLV and Grand Canyon, while also recently losing to Boise State, Fresno State, and New Mexico. Despite those losses, Colorado State has remained competitive and continues to play with confidence in Fort Collins.

Offensively, the Rams are averaging 78.8 points per game while allowing 72.2 points defensively. They are shooting an efficient 50% from the field and averaging 15.9 assists per game, showing a balanced offense that can score both in transition and in the half court.

Colorado State’s biggest edge in this matchup is offensive efficiency and spacing. The Rams’ ability to shoot at a high percentage allows them to build leads quickly, especially against teams that struggle to score. At home, that efficiency often translates into comfortable margins by the second half.

Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Pick

Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Spread Pick

• Pick: Colorado State Rams -20.5

Colorado State is in a strong position to cover this large number. The Rams have a significant advantage in scoring efficiency, depth, and home-court performance, while Air Force has consistently struggled to keep games close against conference opponents. If Colorado State establishes tempo early, this game could get out of hand quickly.

Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Total Pick

• Pick: Under 133.5

I’m leaning to the under because Air Force’s offensive limitations are hard to ignore. The Falcons have been held well below their season average in several recent games, and Colorado State is comfortable slowing things down once they have a lead. That combination makes it difficult to see this game pushing past the total unless Air Force significantly overperforms.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado State Rams 79, Air Force Falcons 54

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