Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 7, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Alabama Crimson Tide face the Auburn Tigers at Neville Arena in Auburn, Alabama on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET, with coverage on ESPN2. Alabama enters at 15-7 overall and 5-4 in SEC play, and Alabama just beat Texas A&M 100-97 on Wednesday, February 4. Auburn enters at 14-8 overall and 5-4 in SEC play, and Auburn last lost at Tennessee 77-69 on Friday, January 31. Alabama has gone 3-2 across the last five games, while Auburn has gone 4-1 across the last five games. Basketball glory awaits! Check out our top NCAAB picks for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks prediction.
Crimson Tide Scoring Pressure Stays the Headline
The Alabama Crimson Tide bring an elite scoring number into this matchup at 91.6 points per game, and the tempo shows up in the box score almost every night. Alabama has also been solid on the glass at 41.6 rebounds per game and moves the ball at 16.4 assists per game. The issue is on the other end: Alabama allows 83.0 points per game, and that creates short margins even when shots are falling. Alabama also turns it over 9.8 times per game, which is not disastrous, but it matters against a team that gets 8.0 steals per game like Auburn.
Alabama’s most recent game was a 100-97 win over Texas A&M. That result fits the Alabama identity: score fast, keep scoring, and accept that the defense can bleed points. Labaron Philon Jr. leads Alabama at 21.4 points per game while adding 4.9 assists per game on 51.1% shooting, and Alabama has secondary scoring with Aden Holloway at 17.2 points per game. Amari Allen is a key piece inside at 7.5 rebounds per game, and Aiden Sherrell adds rim protection with 2.4 blocks per game.
Injuries: Taylor Bol Bowen and Keitenn Bristow are questionable, while Davion Hannah and Collins Onyejiaka are out
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Tigers Have the Cleaner Two-Way Base
The Auburn Tigers sit at 84.4 points per game and allow 77.6 points per game, and that defensive gap versus Alabama is the first thing that jumps off the page. Auburn also shoots 47% from the field while Alabama shoots 45%, so Auburn has been a touch sharper shot-to-shot. Auburn does give the ball away 10.5 times per game, and that is the one place where Auburn can hand Alabama extra possessions in a game that already projects as a track meet.
Auburn’s most recent game was a 77-69 loss at Tennessee. Auburn did not get enough offense to cover for it, which is notable because Auburn had scored 88 against Texas and 78 at Ole Miss in the two games before that. Keyshawn Hall drives Auburn’s production at 20.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game while hitting 41.1% from three and 85.9% at the line. Tahaad Pettiford leads Auburn at 3.3 assists per game, and Auburn has a real ball-hawk in Kevin Overton at 1.5 steals per game. Auburn also brings size and shot blocking with Sebastian Williams-Adams at 0.9 blocks per game and KeShawn Murphy at 0.9 blocks per game.
Injuries: Abdul Bashir and Emeka Opurum are out.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks Pick
Spread Pick for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks
- Auburn Tigers (4 units)
Auburn -1.5 is the play because Auburn brings the better points-allowed number at 77.6 versus Alabama at 83.0, and Auburn also owns a small edge in field goal percentage (47% versus 45%). Alabama can absolutely win on shot-making alone, but Alabama needs that offense to be near perfect because Auburn has multiple ways to score with Hall (20.9 PPG) and secondary options, while Auburn can also pressure the ball with 8.0 steals per game. Auburn also enters off a loss, and the last five results still show Auburn at 4-1, which beats Alabama’s 3-2 run.
Over/Under Pick for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks
- Over (5 units)
Over 176.5 is the play because Alabama games live in the high range: Alabama averages 91.6 points per game and allows 83.0, and the most recent result was a 100-97 final that landed at 197 total points. Auburn scores 84.4 per game, and Auburn’s defense is better than Alabama’s, but Auburn still plays into scoring when the opponent forces pace. Auburn’s last five includes 88-82 versus Texas and 76-67 at Florida, and Alabama has multiple recent games at 173 total points or higher, including 100-77 at Florida and 90-64 versus Missouri. With Alabama’s scoring base and Auburn’s shot-making, this number sets up for a fast, offense-led outcome.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
