Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Alabama Crimson Tide (11-5, 1-2 SEC) face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-6, 2-1 SEC) on Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET, with coverage on SEC Network. Alabama enters this matchup after back-to-back losses, while Mississippi State returns home following a road defeat. Both teams have played just three games of their conference schedules. Make sure to read this in-depth Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction. Don’t miss our free NCAAB picks for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks prediction today.
Alabama Crimson Tide Offense Drives High Scoring Results
The Alabama Crimson Tide enter this game with an 11-5 overall record and a 1-2 mark in SEC play, averaging 93.5 points while allowing 82.7 per game. In the most recent outing, Alabama lost 92-88 against Texas, continuing a short skid that includes another road loss at Vanderbilt. Labaron Philon Jr. remains the centerpiece of the offense, leading the team with 21.3 points and 5.1 assists per game while shooting 53.2 percent from the field. Aden Holloway provides secondary scoring at 18.6 points per game, giving Alabama multiple perimeter threats that drive the Tide’s scoring.
Alabama’s numbers show a team built to score, posting 46 percent shooting from the field and 35.3 percent from three. The Crimson Tide also average 16.9 assists per game, showing consistent ball movement when the offense is operating cleanly. Rebounding sits at 42.3 per game, led by Amari Allen at 7.4 boards, which helps Alabama generate extra possessions. The issue during the recent losses has been points allowed, with 96 given up at Vanderbilt and 92 surrendered to Texas, keeping opponents within striking distance throughout.
Injuries: Collins Onyejiaka is out, while Davion Hannah and Latrell Wrightsell are questionable.
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Mississippi State Bulldogs Rely on Backcourt Scoring and Control
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into Tuesday with a 10-6 overall record and a 2-1 SEC mark, averaging 80.0 points while giving up 76.8 per game. Mississippi State lost 92-68 at Kentucky in the most recent game, snapping a four-game winning streak. Josh Hubbard continues to carry the scoring load, averaging 22.8 points per game while logging heavy minutes and leading the team in assists at 3.8. Jayden Epps adds 15.8 points per game, giving the Bulldogs a reliable secondary option in the backcourt.
Mississippi State shoots 45.6 percent from the field and 31.3 percent from three, numbers that trail Alabama but align with a more controlled offensive approach. Rebounding stands at 40.6 per game, with Achor Achor leading at 7.1, while Quincy Ballard provides interior presence with 1.2 blocks per game. The Bulldogs have allowed fewer than 70 points in three of the last five games, including a 72-53 win over Oklahoma and a 71-66 win over Memphis, showing the ability to limit scoring when execution is tight.
Injuries: Mississippi State does not have any players listed on its injury report.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks Pick
Spread Pick for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks
- Alabama Crimson Tide (5 units)
Alabama holds the edge in overall scoring and shooting percentages, averaging nearly 14 more points per game than Mississippi State. The Crimson Tide also possess multiple scoring options capable of sustaining offense even when one player is limited. Mississippi State’s loss at Kentucky showed difficulty matching scoring runs when forced out of a controlled tempo into a fast-paced game, which Alabama prefers. If Alabama approaches its season average in scoring, Mississippi State’s offensive profile struggles to keep up over the full game.
Over/Under Pick for Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks
- Over (4 units)
Both teams combine for an average of 173.5 points per game based on season scoring figures. Alabama games consistently trend higher due to pace and shot volume, while Mississippi State has exceeded 80 points in four of the last five games before the Kentucky loss. Alabama’s recent defensive results have allowed opponents to stay close, which supports a higher combined score if both teams reach their typical offensive output.
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