Albany Great Danes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, March 7, 2026
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The American East Conference Tournament begins this weekend. The first round pits No. 5 Albany vs No. 4 UMass Lowell and here is our prediction for the game along with our NCAAB picks on Saturday, March 7. Albany is 11-20 and they ended the regular season losing three of their last four games. Lowell is 14-17 and they were able to pick up five wins out of their last seven games. Lowell swept the season series over Albany, too. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 1 P.M. EST.
Albany winless against UMass Lowell this season
Albany is 11-20 overall this season. The Great Danes finished the season with a 7-9 American East Conference record. They are the No. 5 seed in the American East Tournament. The Great Danes finished the season losing three of their last four games. Albany went on 0-2 against UMass Lowell this season.
Amir Lindsey leads the team with 17.5 points and 4.9 assists per game. Okechukwu Okeke is grabbing a team-high 7.2 rebounds per game.
Albany is the 325th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are the 286th ranked offensive team, while they are also the 327th ranked defensive team.
Albany is averaging 74.3 points per game, which ranks 267th in the nation. They are shooting 46.9% from the field, which ranks 84th. The Great Danes are making 33.3% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 229th.
On defense, Albany is allowing 75 points per game, which ranks 178th. They are the 210th ranked defensive team, allowing 44.7% from the field. The Great Danes are giving up 34.8% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 258th.
Albany is 11-17 against the spread this season. The Great Danes are 8-12 against the spread when playing as an underdog this season. Albany is 7-9 against the spread when they have played conference opponents. The under is 15-13 when Albany has played this season. The total is 8-8 when Albany has played American East opponents. 
Lowell ends regular season in form
UMass Lowell is 14-17 overall this season. The River Hawks ended the year with a 9-7 American East Conference record. They are the No. 4 seed in the conference tournament this season. The River Hawks won five of their last seven games entering the conference tournament. Lowell defeated Albany by 10 points or more in their two meetings this season.
Angel Montas Jr. leads the team with 15.2 points per game. Austin Green is the top rebounder with 8.0 rebounds per game, while Darrel Yepdo is passing for 3.1 assists per game.
Lowell is the 319th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 299th in the country on the offense end. They are also the 315th ranked defensive team.
Lowell is averaging 77.4 points per game, which ranks 178th in the nation. They are the 113th ranked shooting team, making 46.4% from the field. The River Hawks are making 31.7% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 306th..
On defense, Lowell is allowing 78.4 points per game, which ranks 263rd. They are the 287th ranked defensive team, allowing 46.1% from the field. The River Hawks are also the 151st ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 33.2% from behind the arc.
Lowell is 15-13 against the spread this season. The River Hawks are 9-7 against the spread during American East play. Lowell is 6-4 against the spread when playing as a favorite. The under is 16-12 when Lowell has played this year. The under is 11-5 during American East play.
Albany Great Danes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks Picks
Albany vs Lowell Spread Pick
- Take Lowell to cover (5 units)
It’s always tough to beat a team three times in a season, but Lowell has the capabilities of achieving this goal on Saturday. The River Hawks will get the win and cover the spread thanks to the team’s offense. They are averaging over 77 points per game, while also being the 113th ranked field goal percentage team in the nation. Albany ranks 327th on the defensive end meaning Lowell will be able to score at will throughout this matchup. Lowell is 6-4 against the spread this season as a favorite. Albany is 8-12 against the spread when playing conference opponents.
Take Lowell to cover.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mark Zinno | +2,189.00 |
| 2 |  Nick Parsons | +1,919.00 |
| 3 |  Joseph D'Amico | +1,534.00 |
| 4 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,456.00 |
| 5 |  Tom Macrina | +164.00 |
Albany vs Lowell Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
For Albany to have any chance to win this game, the Great Danes will try to limit possessions and rarely move the ball in transition. They are the 294th ranked team in the nation in adjusted tempo. The Great Danes are allowing 75 points or less this season. Lowell’s defense does give up a ton of points per game, but Albany’s intention to not play fast will counter this forcing a low-scoring game. The under is 11-5 in American East play. The under is also 15-13 when Albany has played this year.
Take the under on Saturday.
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