Appalachian State vs. Texas State, Picks and Prediction, Friday, February 27, 2026

Appalachian State (19-11, 11-6 Sun Belt) will be trying to close out their regular season with a win when they visit Strahan Arena on Friday night to face Texas State (18-12, 10-7 Sun Belt) at 8 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Mountaineers vs. Bobcats prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Mountaineers are coming off an 89-74 win over Georgia Southern as seven-point favorites. The Bobcats are coming off a 67-54 loss to Louisiana as 3.5-point favorites.

Texas State is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Appalachian State.

Appalachian State Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Mountaineers snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over Georgia Southern in their last game. They will try to keep the momentum going and close out the season on a two-game win streak when they play on Friday.

Appalachian State averages 72.5 points per game. They’ve made 44.3 percent of their field goals and 31 percent of their three-pointers.

Kasen Jennings leads the Mountaineers with 15.4 points and 4.2 rebounds per game. Alonzo Dodd averages 13.8 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, while Luke Wilson averages 10.7 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.

Appalachian State is giving up 65.6 points per game. Opponents have made 39.4 percent of their field goals and 31.3 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Texas State Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Bobcats had their seven-game winning streak snapped by Louisiana in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their eighth win in nine games when they play on Friday.

Texas State averages 74.3 points per game. They’ve made 47 percent of their field goals and 33 percent of their three-pointers.

DJ Hall leads the Bobcats with 15.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Mark Drone averages 13.7 points and 3.4 rebounds per game, while Kaden Gumbs averages nine points and three rebounds per game.

Texas State is giving up 71.1 points per game. Opponents have made 44 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Appalachian State vs. Texas State Picks

Point Spread Pick for Appalachian State vs. Texas State

• Texas State Bobcats to cover. (4 Units)

The Bobcats have won eight straight home games, while the Mountaineers have won three of their last five road games. Texas State has the edge here because they’re playing very well offensively, scoring more than 79 points per game in their last three games, while making over 50 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 76 percent of their free throws, while the Mountaineers make less than 65 percent of theirs. They rebound the ball well, and they grabbed more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over much at home, so don’t expect them to give up many easy-scoring opportunities. The Mountaineers aren’t playing well defensively, and they gave up more than 78 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bobcats. Take Texas State to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Appalachian State vs. Texas State

• Under (4 Units)

The Mountaineers average 72.5 points per game. They play at the 350th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 66.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 67 points per game at home. The Bobcats average 74.3 points per game. They play at the 207th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 70.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 68.5 points per game on the road. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.