Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Picks and Predictions for Saturday February 21 2026
The Arizona State Sun Devils travel to Waco on Saturday, February 21, 2026, to face the Baylor Bears at Foster Pavilion. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:00 PM, and the game will be televised on ESPN2. At the time of this writing, the odds are not available. For more daily breakdowns and premium insights, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional plays and analysis.
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Sun Devils Showing Signs of Momentum
Arizona State enters this matchup with a 14-12 overall record and a 5-8 mark in Big 12 play. The Sun Devils have quietly won three of their last five games, including recent victories over Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, and Utah. They did fall to Colorado and Arizona during that stretch, but overall they have been competitive in conference action.
Offensively, Arizona State averages 78.5 points per game while allowing 78.7 points per contest, showing how tightly contested many of their games have been. They shoot 45% from the field and average 33.2 rebounds per game. The Sun Devils also distribute 14.0 assists per game, demonstrating balanced offensive production. Defensively, they contribute 4.6 blocks and 7.3 steals per game, which highlights their aggressive perimeter pressure.
One key strength for Arizona State is their ability to force turnovers and create transition scoring opportunities. Averaging 7.3 steals per game gives them chances to flip momentum quickly. If they can speed Baylor up and turn defense into offense, they have the tools to keep this game tight on the road.
Bears Trying to Reverse Recent Slide
Baylor comes into this contest with a 13-13 overall record and a 3-10 mark in Big 12 play. The Bears have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games, with defeats to Kansas State, Louisville, BYU, and Iowa State. Their lone recent win came against Colorado.
The Bears average 83.0 points per game and allow 76.7 points per contest. They shoot an efficient 48% from the field and pull down 38.0 rebounds per game, giving them a notable edge on the glass. Baylor also averages 15.6 assists per game, reflecting strong ball movement within their offense. Defensively, they record 4.6 blocks and 6.7 steals per game, offering a balanced defensive presence.
Despite their recent struggles, Baylor’s offensive efficiency stands out. Shooting 48% from the field and averaging over 83 points per game shows they can score with anyone in the conference. At home, they will look to control tempo, capitalize on their rebounding advantage, and prevent Arizona State from dictating pace. 
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +4,795.00 |
| 2 |  Nick Parsons | +4,721.00 |
| 3 |  Mark Ruelle | +3,688.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +3,140.00 |
| 5 |  Trent Bets | +2,534.00 |
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Spread Pick
- Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils + Spread (if underdogs by multiple possessions)
Arizona State’s recent momentum and defensive pressure make them an appealing underdog. Baylor has dropped four of its last five games, and while they can score, they have struggled to close out opponents. Taking the points with a Sun Devils team that forces turnovers and competes in tight games provides value.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Total Pick
- Pick: Over (if total is set in the mid-150s)
I expect both offenses to find rhythm in this matchup. Arizona State averages nearly 79 points per game, while Baylor posts 83 per contest. With both teams shooting efficiently and neither defense consistently shutting down opponents, this game has strong potential to push past the total.
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