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Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks and Prediction for Saturday February 7 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 02/07/2026, 03:40 AM ET

The No. 21 Arkansas Razorbacks (16–6, 6–3 in SEC play) head to Starkville, Mississippi for a road game against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11–11, 3–6 in the SEC). Arkansas is aiming to keep its strong season rolling by picking up another conference win, while also making sure it doesn’t get caught slipping against a Mississippi State team that would love to pull off an upset at home. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.

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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Information

  • February 7, 2026
  • 12:00pm EST
  • Humphrey Coliseum
  • ESPN2

Mississippi State Form & Recent Results

Mississippi State heads into this matchup trying to steady itself after a rough stretch, riding a one-game losing streak and having dropped four of its last five games overall. The Bulldogs most recently fell 84–79 at Missouri last Saturday in Columbia, a game where they got a strong scoring punch from Jayden Epps, who finished with 23 points and added four assists. Jamarion Davis-Fleming helped on the glass with eight rebounds, but Mississippi State couldn’t quite do enough in the key moments. As a team, the Bulldogs shot 43% from the field and a solid 39% from three-point range, while pulling down 38 total rebounds. Still, they only held the lead for about 3% of the game, which shows how often they were playing from behind and trying to chase Missouri down.

This year, Josh Hubbard has been the engine of the offense, leading the team in scoring at 20.8 points per game. Epps has been a reliable second option as well, putting up 15.3 points per game so far this season. Rebounding has been paced by Quincy Ballard and Achor Achor, who are tied as the team’s top rebounders at 6.6 boards each per game, while Hubbard also leads the Bulldogs in playmaking with 3.5 assists per game. Defense has been an issue lately, as Mississippi State has allowed 78.8 points per game across its last five games, a number that makes it tough to win consistently. The good news is they’ve been much more comfortable at home, posting a 7–4 record and averaging 77.4 points per game in their own building, and they’ll be counting on that home-court boost as they try to avoid another conference loss when the Razorbacks come to town on Saturday.

Arkansas Form & Recent Results

Arkansas comes into this game sitting at No. 21 in the newest AP Poll, and they’ll be trying to snap a one-game skid after dropping their most recent matchup. Even so, the Razorbacks have still won three of their last five games, so it’s not like their season has gone off track, they’ve just been a little up and down lately. Last Saturday at home against Kentucky, Arkansas fell 85–77, but Darius Acuff Jr. did everything he could to keep them in it. He finished with 22 points and added three assists, while Trevon Brazile helped on the glass with eight rebounds. As a team, Arkansas took care of the ball reasonably well with only five turnovers, grabbed 26 total rebounds, and spent only about 10% of the game playing with the lead, which shows how often they were trying to fight back rather than control the pace.

Acuff has clearly been the engine for Arkansas offensively so far this season, leading the team at 20.3 points per game while also pacing them in playmaking at 6.2 assists per game. Maleek Thomas has been the next most reliable scoring option, putting up 15 points a night, and Brazile has been their top rebounder at 6.9 boards per game. Over their last five games, the Razorbacks have been productive offensively, averaging 82.8 points, but their road results have been a concern. They’re just 2–3 away from home, and in those road games they’ve given up about 84 points per contest, which has made it tough to close out wins. Still, Arkansas is heading into this game with a clear goal, which is to put the Kentucky loss behind them, clean up what’s been hurting them away from home, and get back on track with another conference win.

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Key Stats

  • Arkansas’ Darius Acuff Jr. this season: 20.3 points, 6.2 assists per game
  • Mississippi State’s Josh Hubbard this season: 20.8 points, 3.5 assists per game

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • ARK -5.5; O/U 162.5

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

Arkansas is coming off a frustrating home loss in its last game and will be eager to turn the page as it travels to Starkville to take on Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have had a rough start to their conference season, losing six of their first nine conference games, and that’s exactly the kind of matchup the Razorbacks will hope to use to regain momentum and get back on track. Final Score Prediction, Arkansas Razorbacks win but fail to cover the spread, 83-79.

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