Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 13, 2025

By: Chris King Published 12/13/2025, 12:07 AM ET
Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction
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It’s an early-season clash on the hardwood and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the SEC and the Big 12 in the Lone Star State as the #17 Arkansas Razorbacks take on the #16 Texas Tech Red Raiders Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Arkansas vs. Texas Tech prediction. Arkansas comes in off an 82-58 home win over Fresno State last Saturday, covering the line as a 20-point favorite. Texas Tech dropped LSU 82-58 at home in their previous contest Sunday, covering the line as a 5.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Red Raiders own a 41-40 advantage, including an 85-83 overtime win in the most recent matchup, which came in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on March 27. Read more about this Arkansas vs. Texas Tech prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

Arkansas Seeking Third Straight Win

Arkansas thrashed Fresno State in their previous contest last Saturday for their second straight victory and look to avenge last season’s narrow defeat in the Sweet 16. The Razorbacks enter this game 7-2 overall and look to add a second win over a ranked foe after dropping #6 Louisville earlier in the year. Against Fresno State, Arkansas led the whole way and never let Fresno State even after jumping in front 12-2. The Razorbacks were up 10 at the half and led by as many as 32 en route to the win. Arkansas shot 45.5% from the field, including 11 of 30 from beyond the arc, and held Fresno State to 34.9% from the field in the game. Darius Acuff Jr. led the Razorbacks with 18 points five rebounds and eight assists in the win.

The Razorbacks are 41st in the nation in scoring offense as they put up 87.6 points per game on the season. Arkansas collects an average of 38.9 boards a contest while the team dishes out 17.2 assists per night. The Razorbacks are 132nd in the nation in scoring defense as they give up 71 points per game. Darius Acuff Jr. leads the team with 17.4 points plus 5.4 assists a game this season. Meleek Thomas (16.9 points, 3.1 assists), Trevon Brazile (12.6 points, 7.1 rebounds) and Karter Knox (8.4 points) each are solid offensive options. D.J. Wagner (8.4 points), Malique Ewin, Billy Richmond III, Isaiah Sealy and Nick Pringle are solid secondary options in the rotation for coach John Calipari. Arkansas is shooting 47.4% from the field as a team on the season, putting them 100th in the nation. The Razorbacks knock down an average of 8.7 three-pointers a game while shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc. Arkansas has been stellar at the charity stripe as they knock down 78.3% of their attempts this season, putting them 15th in Division I.

Key Injury Report for Arkansas:

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  • No Key Injuries

Red Raiders Looking for Fourth Straight Triumph

Texas Tech won their third straight since a pasting at the hands of #1 Purdue, as they rolled past LSU in their previous game. The Red Raiders improved to 7-2 on the year and seek to down the Razorbacks for the second time in 2025. Against LSU, Texas Tech jumped in front 8-1 three minutes into the game and wasn’t challenged from there. The Red Raiders rolled to a 47-26 halftime lead and were up as many as 30 en route to the victory. Texas Tech shot 46.7% from the floor, including 13 of 27 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 48-33 in the game. Christian Anderson led the Red Raiders with 27 points, five rebounds and eight assists in the win.

The Red Raiders are averaging 81.4 points per game on the offensive end of the floor this season, putting them 108th in the nation in scoring offense. Texas Tech is pulling down 40.3 boards a night while dishing out 16 assists per contest. The Red Raiders are average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 110th in the nation by allowing 70 points a night. JT Toppin leads the team in scoring as he puts up 20.8 points plus 11.5 rebounds per contest on the season. LeJuan Watts (12 points, 6.1 rebounds) and Donovan Atwell (12 points) provide secondary scoring pop. Christian Anderson (19.1 points, seven assists), Leon Horner, Tyeree Bryan, Jaylen Petty, Nolan Groves, Marial Akuentok, Jazz Henderson, and Jack Francis are averaging solid minutes for coach Grant McCasland. Texas Tech is shooting 44.3% from the floor this season, which is 241st in the nation. The Red Raiders splash 10.7 threes a night while shooting 36.5% from beyond the arc, putting them 60th in Division I. Texas Tech is below average at the free-throw line as they knock down 67.2% of their chances this season, putting them 293rd in the nation.

Key Injury Report for Texas Tech:

  • No Key Injuries

Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Pick

Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Moneyline Pick

  • Texas Tech -128 (4 units)

Both teams have a little momentum coming into this contest and are pretty evenly matched. The Razorbacks lost their two games outside the Razorback State, falling to Michigan State in East Lansing and Duke on a neutral floor in the Windy City. This game is in Dallas, which, while it isn’t Lubbock, is still in shouting distance for the Red Raiders' fan base. Texas Tech suffered their two losses at Illinois and then their defeat to Purdue in the Baha Mar Invitational. This is going to be a tight game, but give the edge to the Red Raiders, who have the experience factor, in this contest.

Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under Pick

  • Under 152.5 (4 units)

Arkansas enters this game having stayed under the number in six of their nine games on the season. The Razorbacks are 28th in the nation in defensive efficiency, 35th in effective field goal percentage defense (45.7%), 51st in field goal percentage defense (39.6%) and 28th in three-point defense (27.7%) this season. Arkansas is 55th in the nation in adjusted tempo with 71.3 possessions a night according to KenPom. Texas Tech has seen the under hit in six of their nine games on the year. The Red Raiders are 33rd in offensive efficiency, 20th in defensive efficiency, 119th in effective field goal percentage (52.6%), and 43rd in offensive rebounding percentage (37.2%) this season. Texas Tech will grind possessions as they are 236th in adjusted tempo with 67.6 possessions a night. Look for this game to end up falling just short of the number.

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