Auburn vs. Purdue Preview, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the #21 Auburn Tigers will face the #6 Purdue Boilermakers in a marquee non-conference college basketball game, and we have you ready to go with our Auburn vs. Purdue prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is at 6:30 p.m. PT.
The Boilermakers are 9.5-point spread favorites, and the game total is 154.5 points scored.
These schools last met last December in Birmingham. The Tigers won that game 87-69, covering the spread as ten-point favorites. They shot 55 percent from the field and held the Boilermakers under 40 percent. If you want the Auburn vs. Purdue prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
Auburn seeks statement win after losses to Houston, Michigan, and Arizona
Auburn (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, and 9-2 O/U) beat Chattanooga 92-78 in its previous game (Dec. 13), failing to cover the 19.5-point spread. The Tigers, who were coming off a 97-68 loss to top-ranked Arizona, shot 49 percent from the field and attempted 37 free throws, making 29. They dominated on the glass, outrebounding the Mocs 42-20. It was a significant bounce-back performance, as they were held to 33 percent shooting in the previous game by the Wildcats.
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Senior forward Keyshawn Hall paces Auburn in scoring, averaging 20.9 points on 47.0 percent shooting. He also collects 8.8 rebounds per contest. A few other Tigers to watch against Purdue are sophomore guard Tahaad Pettiford (16.1 PPG), junior guard Kevin Overton (10.6 PPG), and senior forward KeShawn Murphy (10.1 PPG and 5.7 RPG).
Auburn averages 86.5 points per game (93rd) on 47.6 percent shooting (90th), including 34.3 percent from three-point range (163rd). The Tigers' defense surrenders 76.9 points per game (202nd) on 43.8 percent shooting (207th), including 32.9 percent from beyond the arc (179th). KenPom ranks Auburn 30th nationally, including 13th in offensive efficiency rating and 75th in defensive efficiency rating.
Auburn Tigers Injury Report:
- Overton is expected to play on Saturday after sitting out the second half of Auburn's last game due to an ankle injury.
Purdue is an elite offensive squad
Purdue (10-1 SU, 6-5 ATS, and 3-8 O/U) defeated Marquette 79-59 in its last game, covering the 16.5-point spread. The Boilermakers led from start to finish, shooting 54 percent from the floor and outscoring the Golden Eagles 36-22 in the paint. They also outrebounded the visitors 38-29 in the dominant victory. Purdue has won consecutive games since its first loss of the season, an 81-58 drubbing at the hands of Iowa State.
Senior guard Fletcher Loyer leads the Boilermakers in scoring, averaging 14.1 points per game on 45.9 percent shooting. He also shoots 46 percent from three-point range and 91 percent at the free-throw line. A few other Purdue stars to watch against Auburn are senior forward Trey Kaufman-Renn (13.4 PPG and 10.4 RPG), senior guard Braden Smith (12.7 PPG and 9.2 APG), and senior center Oscar Cluff (12.4 PPG and 9.3 RPG).
The Boilermakers score 84.7 points per game (120th) on 50.5 percent shooting (25th), including 39.5 percent from three-point range (19th). The Purdue defense surrenders 67.1 points per game (36th) on 40.4 percent shooting (59th), including 30.8 percent from beyond the arc (90th). KenPom ranks Purdue 6th nationally, including 1st in offensive efficiency rating and 25th in defensive efficiency rating.
Purdue Boilermakers Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Auburn vs. Purdue Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Auburn vs. Purdue
- Boilermakers -9.5 (4 Units)
Auburn is a team with a lot of new faces, while the Boilermakers return most of last season's squad. That experience will be critical to winning Saturday's game, and I expect the home team to play with a chip on its shoulder after suffering a blowout loss to the Tigers last year. While they may not dominate from start to finish, the final score will be lopsided. Purdue will have a decent rebounding advantage and will attack the visitors in the paint (4th nationally in near-proximity shooting percentage). They're also elite in the second-chance scoring department, ranking 2nd in potential quick points off offensive rebounds vs the average opponent, per Haslametrics. The Tigers will attempt to get the Boilermakers' bigs in foul trouble on the other end of the court, but the home team will stay disciplined (lowest opponent FT attempt rate in the country).
I believe Purdue will cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Auburn vs. Purdue
- Under 154.5 (5 Units)
Betting Trends: The under is 8-3 in Purdue's games this season, including 4-1 in its previous five.
Purdue will have to slow down the pace to win and cover. That should be easier for the Boilermakers as the de facto home team (ranked 332nd nationally in schedule-adjusted tempo, per KenPom). They will do a fine job on the boards (6th in total rebounding percentage), creating extra opportunities (4th in offensive rebounding percentage) for lengthy half-court possessions. The Boilermakers will also force the Tigers into too many poor looks from the perimeter, preventing them from getting the basketball into the paint, which the visitors prefer.
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