Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 7, 2026

By: Chris King Published 02/07/2026, 06:30 AM ET
Tennessee State vs Iowa State Prediction
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It’s a conference tilt between foes from the Big 12 on the hardwood in the Hawkeye State as the Baylor Bears take on the #7 Iowa State Cyclones Saturday night and we have you covered with our Baylor vs. Iowa State prediction. Baylor rolled to an 86-67 home win over Colorado Wednesday night in their previous contest, covering the line as a 6.5-point favorite. Iowa State crushed Kansas State 95-61 on the road in their previous contest Sunday afternoon, covering the line as a 12.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Cyclones own a 26-25 advantage and have taken the last three meetings, including a 70-60 road win in the first meeting this season January 7. Read more about this Baylor vs. Iowa State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!

Baylor Seeking to Earn Season Split

Baylor won their second straight game as they cruised to a home triumph over Colorado Wednesday night. The Bears improved to 15-8 overall and 6-4 in Big 12 action. They look to put another one in the win column as they take to the road to face a top 10 foe. Against Colorado, Baylor gave up the opening bucket but quickly took control by scoring 13 of the next 15 points to go up 13-4. The Bears didn’t look back from there, racing to a 45-21 lead at the half. They led by as many as 30 in the second half en route to the victory. Baylor shot 52.3% from the field, including 10 of 24 from three-point range, and limited Colorado to 40% shooting in the contest. Tounde Yessoufou led Baylor with 27 points and seven rebounds in the win.

The Bears enter this contest 37th in the country in scoring offense as they pile up 84.1 points per game. Baylor is 50th in rebounding as they pull down 39 boards per contest and are 65th by dishing out 16.2 assists per game. The Bears are slightly below average defensively, ranking 219th in the country in scoring defense by allowing 75 points a night. Cameron Carr is one of four Baylor players in double figures with 19.4 points plus 5.8 rebounds per game on the year. Tounde Yessoufou (17.7 points, 5.9 rebounds), Dan Skillings Jr. (10.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 2.4 assists), Obi Agbim (11.5 points), Isaac Williams Jr. (9.6 points) and Michael Rataj (8.6 points, 5.5 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Caden Powell, James Nnaji, Will Kuykendall and Drew Perry are all guys that are looked at to contribute when they are on the floor. Baylor is hitting 48.3% of their attempts from the floor this season, putting them 40th in the nation. The Bears knock down an average of 8.5 three-pointers a night (123rd in the nation) while hitting 36% of their attempts from beyond the arc, which is 72nd in the country. Baylor is average at the free throw line, where they are converting 72.1% of their chances, putting them 184th in the nation.

Key Injury Report for Baylor:

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  • Guard Dan Skillings Jr. (undisclosed) is questionable.

Cyclones Shooting for Fifth Straight Win

Iowa State earned a fourth straight win as they pummeled Kansas State on the road Sunday as they have regrouped after back-to-back losses last month. The Cyclones ran their mark to 20-2 overall and stand tied for third in the Big 12 with a 7-2 conference mark on the year. Against Kansas State, Iowa State trailed 4-2 before reeling off a 17-2 run to go in front 19-6 with 12:14 to play in the first half and rolled from there. The Cyclones were up 50-21 at the half and led by as many as 39 as they rolled to the win. Iowa State shot a hot 55% from the field, including 14 of 27 from three-point range, and controlled the glass by a 39-24 margin in the victory. Joshua Jefferson led the Cyclones with 19 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the win.

The Cyclones are an excellent offensive team as they average 86.5 points per game, putting them 19th on the season. Iowa State pulls down 36.9 boards a night (114th) while dishing out an average of 18.5 assists (10th) per game on the year. The Cyclones are excellent on the defensive end, ranking 15th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 64.8 points per contest. Milan Momcilovic is one of four players scoring in double figures with 18.6 points plus 3.1 rebounds per contest this season. Killyan Toure (10 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.6 assists), Tamin Lipsey (13.4 points, 5.5 assists, 2.4 steals), Joshua Jefferson (17.3 points, 7.8 rebounds, 5.1 assists) and Blake Buchanan (8.5 points, 6.1 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Jamarion Batemon, Dominick Nelson, Nate Heise, Dominykas Pieta, Cade Kelderman and Eric Mulder all have to be on their game for the Cyclones. Iowa State is shooting 51.3% from the floor this season, which is 8th in the nation. The Cyclones average 9.3 three-pointers a night while shooting 41.2% from beyond the arc, putting them 2nd in the country. Iowa State is below average at the free throw line as they shoot 68.6% as a team on the year, putting them 302nd in Division I.

Key Injury Report for Iowa State:

  • No Key Injuries

Baylor vs. Iowa State Pick

Baylor vs. Iowa State Spread Pick

  • Iowa State -15.5 (4 units)

We saw these teams meet in Waco last month, where the Cyclones earned a 10-point win. Iowa State is playing great basketball on both ends of the floor and their experience is a major factor in their success. The Cyclones are a perfect 12-0 at the Hilton Coliseum this season: 11 of those wins have come by at least a dozen points. Baylor is just 2-4 on the road and stand just 3-6 in Quad I games on the year. The Bears have struggled against the elite teams in the conference, losing by 10 to Iowa State, by 22 to Houston, by 18 to Kansas and 19 to Texas Tech. Going on the road here is too much to ask for the Bears. Take Iowa State here as they earn a fifth straight victory.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Over/Under Pick

  • Under 151.5 (4 units)

Baylor is 93rd in defensive efficiency, 131st in field goal percentage defense (43.1%), 247th in forced turnovers (11.2) and 219th in scoring defense. The Bears are 132nd in adjusted tempo with 68.2 possessions a night. Baylor has gone over the number in 12 of their 21 games with a posted total this season. Iowa State is an offensive force this season. The Cyclones are 6th in offensive efficiency, 19th in scoring offense, 9th in effective field goal percentage (59%), 77th in turnovers per game (10.6), 2nd in three-point shooting, 43rd in two-point shooting (57.3%) and 8th in field goal percentage this season. Iowa State stands 123rd in tempo with 69.6 possessions a night on the year. The Cyclones have gone over the total in 11 of their 22 games on the season. We saw just 130 points in the first meeting this season. Playing in Ames, Iowa State may be better offensively but lean toward the under here.

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