Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Picks and Predictions for Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 02/28/2026, 06:30 AM ET
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The Baylor Bears will be on the road Saturday night with an 8:00 PM matchup against the UCF Knights in Orlando, FL, and we have you ready to roll with our Baylor vs UCF prediction. Baylor comes into Saturday with fourteen wins and 14 losses on the year. The UCF Knights return home Saturday with twenty wins and seven losses this season. Baylor has struggled as of late, losing 4 of the last 5 games, including a 7-point home loss to Arizona in their last outing. UCF returns home Saturday running hot on a three-game winning streak after a 13 point Rd. victory against BYU.Β  Read more about this Baylor vs UCF prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try ourΒ NCAAB Predictions!

Baylor tries to end skid

The Baylor offense averages 82.5 points on 48% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 76.7 points per game this year, but has given up an average of 89.5 points per game over its last four losses. Offensively, Baylor was solid in their last outing, scoring 80 points on 49% shooting, 32% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Baylor was outmatched, giving up 87 points, including 53 in the second half, to blow a point halftime deficit as Arizona shot 49% from the floor. Baylor lost the rebounding battle and turned the ball over five times in the game. Cameron Carr led the way for the better offense with 26 points on 19 shots.

Cameron Carr leads a better offense this season, with 18.9 points per game. Freshman Tounde Yessoufou is second on the roster for 17.9 points, and Isaac Williams IV is averaging a 4th-best 10.4 points per game. Obi Agbim is third on the team with 11 points to go along with the team’s leading 3.1 assists. Big man Caden Powell averages 6.7 points and leads the team, pulling in 6.4 rebounds per game. Dan Skillings Jr. has been vital for the Baylor offense this season, averaging 9.7 points in just over 26 minutes per game, but he has played only 23 times.

Key Injury Report for Baylor:

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  • Maikcol Perez (Out) – Knee
  • Mayo Soyoye (Out) – Redshirt
  • JJ White (Questionable) – Foot
  • Juslin Bodo Bodo (Questionable) - Arm
  • Andre Iguodala (Out) – Redshirt

UCF looks to keep rolling

The UCF offense is averaging 82 points on 48% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, the Knights have allowed 77.4 points per game this season, but have given up an average of 75.3 points per game during their current three-game winning streak. Offensively, UCF was phenomenal in their last outing, scoring 97 points, including 52 in the second half, on 56% shooting and 58% from beyond the arc. Defensively, UCF did just enough, giving up 84 points on 41% shooting. The Knights controlled the glass and forced 9 turnovers in the win.

Themus Fulks leads the UCF offense this season, averaging 14.3 points and 6.9 assists per game. Riley Kugel is averaging 14 points, and Jordan Burks averages a third-best 13.4 points per game. Big man JaMichael Stillwell averages 11.9 points to go along with the team-leading 8 rebounds per game.

Key Injury Report for UCF:

  • Riley Kugel (Questionable) – Undisclosed
  • Tanner Jones (Questionable) – Undisclosed

Baylor vs UCF Pick

  • Baylor vs UCF Spread Pick

UCF is playing the better basketball coming into this matchup and will continue that trend. The Knights have been rolling as of late and will look to continue climbing the conference standings. Look for UCF to jump on a struggling Baylor team from the opening tip Saturday, leading to the victory. Take UCF to extend their winning streak Saturday night as they get the home didn't cover in conference play.

  • Baylor vs UCF Over/Under Pick

Both teams score the ball well, as each is averaging more than 82 points per game. Along with strong offenses, both teams struggle on defense. Look for a scoring onslaught Saturday night as both teams pursue the conference victory. Take the over Saturday night as the UCF Knights get the win and cover at home against the Baylor Bears.

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