Baylor vs. Memphis, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 6, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 12/05/2025, 11:47 PM ET
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On Saturday, the Baylor Bears visit the FedEx Forum to play the Memphis Tigers. Baylor is off to a strong start at 6-1 and defeated Sacramento State 110-88 on Wednesday. Baylor's only blemish thus far this season was a 96-81 loss to St John's. Memphis has had a below-average start at 3-4. The Tigers defeated New Orleans 86-70 on Wednesday, extending their winning streak to 2 games since snapping a 4-game losing streak. Make sure to read this in-depth Baylor Bears vs Memphis Tigers prediction. Elevate your game with our expert NCAAB picks for the Baylor Bears at Memphis Tigers prediction and win big!

Baylor is tough to stop, while its defense is giving up too much

The Baylor Bears score an average of 90.1 points (66th) per game and allow an average of 81.6 (261st). The Bears are shooting 48.9% overall and 34.9% from 3-point territory, which are 66th and 139th, respectively. Baylor is allowing opponents to shoot 47.2% overall and 35.7% from 3-point territory, which are 317th and 297th, respectively.

Baylor's top two scorers are Cameron Carr, averaging 23.0 points per game on 57.6% shooting overall and 50% from 3-point territory, and Tounde Yessoufou, averaging 17.1 points per game on 45.8% shooting overall and 26.5% from three-point territory. Baylor has five players who average double figures in scoring. The Bears average 37.9 rebounds per game, led by Dan Skillings Jr, who averages 7.6 boards per contest. Obi Agbim is the leader in assists, averaging 4.0 dishes per contest, while Yeeoufou is the leader in steals at 2.3 per game, and Carr is the rim protector at 1.3 blocked shots per game.

Injuries: JJ White and Juslin Bodo Bodo are questionable

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Memphis is led by McDaniel

The Memphis Tigers score an average of 75.7 points (270th) per game, and allow an average of 74.6 (156th) per game. The Tigers shoot 43.5% overall and 33.8% from three-point territory, which are 268th and 184th, respectively. Memphis holds opponents to 42.3% shooting overall and 31.2% from 3-point territory, which are 143rd and 131st, respectively.

The top two scorers for Memphis are Dug McDaniel, averaging 14.3 points per game on 38.6% shooting overall and 33.3% from 3-point territory, and Julius Thedford, averaging 9.0 points per game on 53.8% shooting overall and 43.8% from 3-point territory. Memphis has only one player averaging double figures in scoring, but six players average between 7.1 and 9.0 points per game. The Tigers average 36.7 rebounds per game, led by Thedford with an average of 5.1 boards per contest. McDaniel is the dish and steals leader, averaging 6.3 assists and 2.0 steals per game, while Ashton Hardaway is the rim protector, averaging 0.7 blocked shots per game.

Injuries: Ashton Hardaway and Curtis Givens are questionable.

Baylor Bears at Memphis Tigers Pick

Spread Pick for Baylor vs. Memphis

  • Baylor Bears -3 (4 units)

The Baylor Bears are off to a strong start with six wins in their first seven games, thanks to a very strong offense that is scoring an average of 90.1 points per game. The Bears are shooting well at 48.9% overall and 34.9% from three-point territory. Memphis, on the other hand, has lost four of its first seven games and has a point differential of a plus-1.1, which leaves very little margin for error. The Tigers are shooting just 43.5% overall, which is 268th in the nation. Baylor has covered the spread in three of its four games that have had a single-digit spread as the favorite, which this game will have on the road. Both play uptempo, and the Bears are shooting much better than the Tigers, giving Baylor a better opportunity to open up a lead and win.

Over/Under Pick for Baylor vs. Memphis

  • Over 158 ( 4 units)

The Baylor Bears have had the total finish over in each of their last five games and in six of their first seven games this season. Memphis and Baylor both play at a faster pace than the national average. Baylor has an adjusted tempo of 69.8, which is 131st, while Memphis has an AdjT per KenPom of 69.9, which is 120th. These two AdjTs combined are more conducive to a high-scoring outcome.

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