Boise State vs. Fresno State, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 02/28/2026, 05:55 AM ET
Broncos vs. Bulldogs prediction
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Boise State (17-11, 9-8 MW) will be trying to avoid consecutive road losses when they visit Save Mart Center on Saturday night to face Fresno State (12-16, 6-11 MW) at 7:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Broncos vs. Bulldogs prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Broncos are coming off a 72-62 win over Wyoming as 8.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are coming off a 74-70 loss to Colorado State as 8.5-point underdogs.

Boise State is 9-1 in its last 10 games against Fresno State.

Boise State Going For Third Consecutive Win

The Broncos bounced back from their two-game losing streak with two straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Saturday.

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Boise State averages 78.4 points per game. They’ve made 45.3 percent of their field goals and 35 percent of their three-pointers.

Drew Fielder leads the Broncos with 14.4 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Dylan Andrews averages 12.4 points and 3.4 assists per game, while Andrew Meadow averages 11.9 points and 3.3 rebounds per game.

Boise State is giving up 73.9 points per game. Opponents have made 46 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Fresno State Trying To Snap Three-Game Losing Streak

The Bulldogs followed up their win over Air Force with three straight losses. They will try to put an end to their streak and pick up their third win in their last four home games when they play on Saturday.

Fresno State averages 74 points per game. They’ve made 45.1 percent of their field goals and 32 percent of their three-pointers.

Jake Heidbreder leads the Bulldogs with 17.4 points and 2.8 rebounds per game. DeShawn Gory averages 13.6 points and 5.7 rebounds per game, while Zaon Collins averages 11.6 points and 4.6 assists per game.

Fresno State is giving up 72.9 points per game. Opponents have made 45 percent of their field goals and 30 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Injuries: Zaon Collins (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game.

Boise State vs. Fresno State Picks

Point Spread Pick for Boise State vs. Fresno State

  • Boise State Broncos to cover. (4 Units)

The Broncos have the edge in this game because they play well offensively on the road, scoring more than 77 points per game, while making 45 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 86 percent of their free throws in their last three games, while the Bulldogs made less than 70 percent of theirs. They’re the better rebounding team, and they grab more than eight offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Bulldogs aren’t very good defensively, and they gave up more than 80 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Broncos. Take Boise State to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Boise State vs. Fresno State

  • Over (4 Units)

The Broncos average 78.4 points per game. They play at the 221st-fastest pace in the country, averaging 70 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that gave up 82 points per game in their last three games. The Bulldogs average 74 points per game. They play at the 138th-fastest pace in the country, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 78.3 points per game on the road. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.

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