Bowling Green Falcons vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks and Prediction for Saturday February 7 2026
Use Code WWWC Bowling Green enters this season at 14–9 and heads to Jonesboro, Arkansas for a road game against Arkansas State. The Red Wolves come in at 14–10, and the matchup is part of the MAC–SBC Challenge. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.
Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State Game Information
- February 7, 2026
- 3:00pm EST
- First National Bank Arena
- ESPN+
Arkansas State Form & Recent Results
Arkansas State heads into this matchup feeling a little better after picking up a win in their most recent game, although their overall form has been up and down lately, with three losses in their last five games. On Wednesday in Conway, the Red Wolves held on for a 70-66 road win over Coastal Carolina, leaning on a balanced effort across the board. Christian Harmon led the way with 16 points, Jalen Hampton controlled the glass with 12 rebounds, and Chandler Jackson helped keep the offense organized with five assists. As a team, Arkansas State shot 39% from three and 71% at the free-throw line, but they also committed 14 turnovers, which kept the game tighter than it needed to be. They were in front for 46% of the game, showing they were able to take control for key stretches even if it was never a comfortable lead.
This season, Arkansas State’s scoring has been paced by Matt Hayman, who leads the team at 12.0 points per game, with Harmon close behind at 11.8. Hampton has been their most reliable rebounder all year, averaging 8.3 boards per game, and Jackson has been their primary playmaker, leading the team with 4.3 assists per game. Defensively, the Red Wolves have been giving up 72.2 points per game over their last five games, so tightening things up on that end is still a clear focus. The encouraging part is that they’ve been much more comfortable at home, posting a 7-3 record and putting up 81.9 points per game in their own building. They’ll try to lean into that home-court offense again on Saturday as they welcome Bowling Green for the next game of the season.
Bowling Green Form & Recent Results
Bowling Green comes into this game riding a bit of momentum after winning their most recent game, but has three losses in their last five games. That said, the Falcons looked extremely sharp in their 77–52 blowout of Ball State at home on Tuesday. Josiah Shackleford set the tone offensively with 21 points, while Troy Glover II controlled the glass with seven rebounds and Javontae Campbell helped keep everything running smoothly by dishing out six assists. Bowling Green didn’t just win, they dominated nearly every part of the box score, shooting 56% from the field, knocking down 50% of their threes, and going an impressive 93% at the free-throw line. They also pulled down 38 rebounds and were in control almost from start to finish, leading for 94% of the game, which shows how complete their performance was on both ends of the floor.
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Campbell has been the engine of the offense and the team’s most reliable scoring option so far this season, leading Bowling Green at 19 points per game. He’s had solid help as well, with Sam Towns and Mayar Wol each averaging 12.1 points, giving the Falcons a couple of consistent secondary scorers. Towns has also been important on the boards, leading the team with 6.4 rebounds per game, while Campbell does more than just score, he’s also the team’s top playmaker at 5.1 assists a night. Defensively, Bowling Green has been fairly steady recently, allowing about 66 points per game over their last five games, and that kind of discipline will matter even more heading into a tough road game. The Falcons are 4–4 away from home this season, and despite the challenges of playing on the road, they’ve still been productive offensively, averaging 79.2 points in those games. If their defense can continue to hold up and their offense travels with them, they’ll give themselves a strong chance when they head to Jonesboro to take on Arkansas State.
Key Stats
- Bowling Green’s Javontae Campbell this season: 19 points, 5.1 assists per game
- Arkansas State’s Christian Harmon this season: 11.8 points per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- ARST -2.5; O/U 154.5
Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State Picks and Prediction
Bowling Green’s defense looks like it could be a real challenge for Arkansas State, so the Red Wolves need to come out with energy and get into a good offensive rhythm right from the opening tip. If they start the game slowly and struggle to score early, especially if they can’t get quality shots to fall, Bowling Green can settle in on the defensive end and control the pace. In that kind of game, the Falcons’ defense might be the difference that decides the game. Final Score Prediction, Arkansas State Red Wolves win and cover the spread, 76-72.
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