Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Use Code WWWC On Tuesday, the Bowling Green Falcons will visit the Western Michigan Broncos for a Mid-American Conference basketball game, and we have you ready to go with our Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Kalamazoo, MI, is at 7:00 p.m. ET.
These MAC basketball programs played twice last season. BGSU won the first matchup 83-79, and WMU won game two 64-63. The Falcons are 6-4 straight-up (4-6 ATS) in their last ten matchups with the Broncos. The over was 7-3 in those games. If you want the Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
Bowling Green is a dependable team on the road
Bowling Green (12-5 SU, 12-5 ATS, and 11-6 O/U) beat Eastern Michigan 85-79 in its previous game, improving to 3-3 in MAC competition. The Falcons led by ten at halftime and by as many as 21 points. They shot 53 percent overall, including 69 percent from beyond the arc, and scored 40 points in the paint.
The Falcons were picked to finish seventh in the MAC's preseason poll. They are led by second-year head coach Todd Simon, who went 20-14 last season, leading BGSU to the CIT Quarterfinals. Bowling Green scores 88.0 points per game (38th) on 49.5 percent shooting (26th), including 34.1 percent from deep (183rd). Defensively, the Falcons give up 70.8 points per game (77th) on 43.1 percent shooting (148th), including 33.8 percent from three-point distance (201st).
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KenPom ranks Bowling Green 119th in the nation, including 132nd in offensive efficiency rating and 121st in defensive efficiency rating. The Falcons are led by senior guard Javontae Campbell, who averages 17.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 4.7 assists. A few other players to watch in Tuesday's MAC basketball game vs. Western Michigan are junior forward Mayar Wol (13.4 PPG and 2.9 RPG), senior forward Sam Towns (12.5 PPG and 6.3 RPG), and sophomore guard Josiah Shackelford (11.3 PPG and 3.2 RPG).
Bowling Green Falcons Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Broncos' defense has been very weak
Western Michigan (7-11 SU, 10-6 ATS, and 10-6 O/U) dropped its last game against Akron by a score of 104-89. The Broncos, who have lost four of their previous five, shot 56 percent but couldn't get stops on the other end of the court. The Zips knocked down 20 threes and scored 32 points in the paint, taking control of the competitive game in the second half.
The Broncos were picked to finish tenth in the MAC's preseason poll. They are led by third-year head coach Dwayne Stephens (32-63 record), who spent the previous 19 years as an assistant and associate head coach under Tom Izzo at Michigan State. WMU scores 77.1 points per game (233rd) on 45.9 percent shooting (145th), including 34.7 percent from long range (142nd). Defensively, the Broncos allow 80.1 points per game (277th) on 45.9 percent shooting (259th), including 34.3 percent from three-point range (241st).
KenPom ranks Western Michigan 243rd in the country, including 150th in offensive efficiency rating and 318th in defensive efficiency rating. The Broncos are led by senior guard Justice Williams, who averages 19.6 points per game on 52.2 percent shooting, including 44.4 percent from deep. A few other players to watch in Tuesday's MAC basketball game vs. Bowling Green are junior guard Jalen Griffith (14.8 PPG and 4.4 APG), senior guard Jayden Brewer (13.4 PPG and 7.3 RPG), and freshman guard Brady Swartz (7.5 PPG and 3.9 RPG).
Western Michigan Broncos Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan
- Falcons cover (5 Units)
Bowling Green should score in bunches against Western Michigan's weak defense. The Falcons attempt the ninth-most rim shots in the country, which will significantly pressure a Broncos defense ranked 326th in opponent rim shooting percentage. The visitors can also knock down the three-ball, especially against soft perimeter defenses that allow many threes, like WMU (13th-highest opponent three-point attempt rate).
BGSU has been a reliable team on the road this season. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS and rank 10th nationally in Haslametrics' Away from Home metric. I trust them to perform well on both ends of the court against a WMU team that gave up over 100 points last game and has lost four of its previous five.
Over/Under Pick for Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan
- Over (4 Units)
Betting Trends: The over is a combined 21-12 in Bowling Green and Western Michigan's games this season, including 9-1 in the Broncos' last ten games and 4-1 in the Falcons' last five games. It's also 7-3 in the previous ten matchups between these MAC foes.
Both teams' offenses rank in the top 150 in offensive efficiency and have enough reliable scoring options to push the total over the number. WMU ranks 26th nationally in offensive momentum, and BGSU ranks 358th in defensive momentum, which should help keep the game competitive for at least the first half. On the other end of the court, the Falcons have too many weapons for the Broncos' soft defense, and will score 50-plus points in the paint alone. Considering that WMU also allows a lot of three-point attempts, Bowling Green could break the 100-point barrier on Tuesday.
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