Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, February 7, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a Big West Conference battle on Saturday, Feb. 7. Read our Cal Poly vs UC Davis prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Cal Poly is 9-15 and they are 5-6 in conference play. The Mustangs have lost four of their last six games coming into this game. UC Davis are 14-9 this year and they are in fourth place in the league. The Aggies are finding form winning five of their last seven games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 5 P.M. EST.
Cal Poly losers of four of its last six games
Cal Poly is 9-15 overall this season. The Mustangs are tied for eighth-place in the Big West Conference with 5-6 record. Cal Poly is 4.5 games back of UC Irvine in first place. The Mustangs are 5-8 when playing on the road. They have lost four of their last six games coming into this game.
In their last game, Cal Poly lost 97-96 at home to Cal State Northridge on Thursday, Feb. 5. The Matadors nailed a last second shot to secure the win stealing one away from Cal Poly. Cal Poly shot 52% from the field and 40% from behind the 3-point line in the loss. Hamad Mousa led the team with 33 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
Mousa leads the team with 20.6 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. Peter Bandelj is passing for 3.4 assists per game.
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Cal Poly is the 247th ranked team in the nation according to KenPom. They are the 205th ranked offensive team and the 282nd defensive team in the nation.
Cal Poly is averaging 84.8 points per game, which ranks 52nd in the nation. They are shooting 42.8% from the field, which ranks 300th in the country. The Mustangs are making 33.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 212th.
On defense, Cal Poly is allowing 90.5 points per game, which is the fifth-worst mark in the nation. The Mustangs are allowing 46.5% from the field, which ranks 311th. Cal Poly is also the 261st 3-point defensive team, giving up 34.8% from behind the arc.
Cal Poly is 10-11 against the spread this season. The Mustangs are 8-5 against the spread when they have played on the road. They are 6-5 against the spread during Big West league play. They are 4-2 against the spread during road conference games. The over is 12-9 when Cal Poly has played this season. The over is 10-3 when Cal Poly has played on the road. The over is 5-1 when they have played road Big West conference games.
UC Davis stacking wins
UC Davis is 14-9 overall this season. The Aggies are in fourth place in the Big West Conference with a 7-5 league record. UC Davis is 10-3 when playing at home this season. They have won five of their last seven games coming into this matchup.
In their last game, UC Davis defeated UC Santa Barbara 85-75 at home on Thursday, Feb. 5. The Aggies went on an 11-2 run, which was key in the second half to helping them secure the win. UC Davis shot 52% from the field and 56% from behind the arc. Marcus Wilson led the team with 24 points on 8-for-14 shooting this season.
Nils Cooper leads the team with 14 points per game. Niko Rocak is grabbing 5.5 rebounds, while Brayden Fagbemi is dishing out a team-leading 4.2 assists per game.
According to KenPom, UC Davis is the 170th ranked team in the nation. They are the 166th ranked offensive team and the 185th defensive ranked team.
UC Davis is averaging 83.4 points per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. They are shooting 45.9% from the field, which ranks 149th. The Aggies are the 65th ranked 3-point shooting team, hitting 36.2% from behind the arc.
On defense, UC Davis is giving up 79.8 points per game, which ranks 292nd. They are the 243rd ranked defensive team, allowing 45.1% from the field. Opponents are making 34.7% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 258th.
UC Davis is 11-9 against the spread this season. The Aggies are 6-5 when UC Davis has played during conference play. They are 6-4 against the spread when playing at home this season. They are 3-3 against the spread during home conference games. The over is 11-9 when UC Davis has played this season. The total is 5-5 when playing at home. The under is 6-5 during league games.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Mustangs Picks
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Spread Pick
- Take UC Davis to cover (5 units)
Cal Poly has lost four of their last six games coming into this game. The team’s defense is horrendous as they rank 282nd on that side of the ball. The Mustangs are also allowing the fifth-most points per game as opponents are averaging over 90 points per contest. UC Davis is going to shred Cal Poly as they averaging the 78th most points in the nation. The Mustangs are playing well recently, too. They have won five of their last seven games. UC Davis is also 6-4 against the spread when playing at home.
Take UC Davis to cover.
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Over/Under Pick
- Take the over (5 units)
This is set up to be one of the fastest games in the country for the day. Cal Poly is the second-fastest team in the country in terms of tempo. They rank 52nd in scoring averaging 84.8 points per game. The Mustangs defense is also poor allowing 90.5 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the nation. UC Davis also ranks 93rd in adjusted tempo, too. The over is 11-9 during UC Davis games. The over is 10-3 when Cal Poly has played on the road. The over is 5-1 when they have played road Big West conference games.
Take the over on Saturday.
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