Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners vs UC San Diego Tritons Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 26, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s another night of action in the Big West Conference on Thursday, Feb. 26. Read our Cal State Bakersfield vs UC San Diego prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Bakersfield is 8-20 overall and they are in last place in the conference. The Roadrunners have lose 11 straight games with eight of their last nine games coming by double-digits. The Tritons are 19-9 with an 8-5 conference record. The Tritons have won three straight games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set of 10 P.M. EST.
Cal State Bakersfield remains worst team in the Big West
Cal State Bakersfield is 8-20 overall this season. The Roadrunners are in last place in the Big West Conference with a 2-14 record. They are two games back of UC Riverside to get out of the conference’s basement. They hold a 1-11 road record this season. The Roadrunners have lost 11 straight games coming into this clash. Earlier this season, Bakersfield lost by 21-points to UC San Diego. The Roadrunners have lost eight of their last nine games by double-digits.
In their last game, Bakersfield lost 88-80 to Cal State Fullerton at home on Saturday, Feb. 21. There were eight lead changes in the game. But, the Titans went on an 18-3 run in the second half to separate themselves. Bakersfield shot 42% from the field and 28% from behind the 3-point line. Dailin Smith led the team with 21 points on 6-for-17 shooting.
Smith averages a team-high 16.2 points per game. Pierre Geneste Jr. is grabbing a team-high 7.0 rebounds, while Kadar Waller is dishing out a team-leading 2.6 assists per game.
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Bakersfield is the No. 326th ranked team in the nation according to KenPom. They are the 314th ranked offense, but they ranks 312th on the defensive end.
Bakersfield is averaging 74.8 points per game, which ranks 240th. They are shooting 41.5% from the field, which ranks 334th. The Roadrunners are making 29.3% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 358th.
On defense, Bakersfield is allowing 83.8 points per game, which ranks 349th overall. They are the 279th ranked defensive team, allowing 45.8% from the field. Opponents are making 35.6% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 300th.
Bakersfield is 9-16 against the spread this season. They are 5-8 against the spread when playing on the road. The Roadrunners are 5-10 against the spread when playing conference opponents this year. The over is 13-12 when Bakersfield has played this season. The over is 8-5 when playing on the road. The over is 8-7 when playing Big West opponents.
UC San Diego riding 3-game win streak
UC San Diego is 19-9 overall this season. The Tritons are in seventh-place in the Big West Conference. They are two games back of first-place this season. They are 8-5 when playing at home this season. They have won three straight games, while also winning four of their last five outings.
In their last game, UC San Diego defeated UC Irvine 71-69 on the road on Saturday, Feb. 21. The Tritons closed the game on a 6-3 run over the final few minutes to steal the win. UC San Diego shot 44% from the field and 40% from behind the 3-point line. Hudson Mayes led the team with 17 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
Leo Beath leads the team with 12.9 points per game. Emanuel Prospere is dishing out a team-high 3.5 assists per game, while Mayes is grabbing 5.7 rebounds.
UC San Diego is the 113th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. The Tritons are also the 169th ranked offensive team and the 78th ranked defensive team.
UC San Diego is averaging 76.1 points per game, which ranks 206th. They are the 149th ranked shooting team, making 45.8% from the field. The Tritons are the 191st ranked 3-point shooting team, making 33.9% from behind the arc.
On defense, UC San Diego is allowing 70.3 points per game, which ranks 73rd. They are the 49th ranked defensive team, allowing 41.4% from the field. The Tritons are the 154th ranked 3-point defensive team, giving 33.2% from behind the arc.
UC San Diego is 14-12 against the spread this season. They are 4-7 against the spread when playing at home this season. The Tritons are 6-10 against the spread during conference play. They are 0-5 against the spread when they have been favored by double-digits. The under is 15-11 when they have played this year. The under is 7-4 during home games this year. The under is 11-5 when playing conference opponents.
Cal State Bakersfield vs UC San Diego Picks
Cal State Bakersfield vs UC San Diego Spread Pick
- Take UC San Diego to cover (5 units)
Both teams are trending in different directions. Bakersfield has lost 11 straight games coming into this matchup. The Roadrunners have lost eight of their last nine games by double-digits, too. UC San Diego has also won three straight games. The Tritons defense ranks 73rd in points allowed and that will be key against a Bakersfield team that struggles in every facet of the game. The Roadrunners are 5-10 against the spread when playing conference opponents this year.
Take UC San Diego to cover.
Cal State Bakersfield vs UC San Diego Over/Under Pick
- Take the over (5 units)
UC San Diego is averaging over 76 points per game. This game will be played at a fast pace with the Titans ranked 111th in the nation. The Roadrunners are even faster as they are the No. 66 ranked team in the nation in adjusted tempo. Bakersfield’s poor defense, which is allowing over 83 points per game, will be key in allowing this game to hit the over. The over is 8-5 when Bakersfield has played on the road this year.
Take the over.
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