Cal State Northridge Matadors vs Cal Poly Mustangs Picks and Prediction for Thursday February 5 2026
The Cal State Northridge Matadors, carrying a 13-10 overall record and standing at 6-5 in the Big West, are heading to San Luis Obispo to face off against the Cal Poly Mustangs. The Mustangs, currently 9-14 for the season and 5-6 in conference play, will be aiming to get back to an even record in the Big West with a win in this game. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.
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Cal State Northridge vs. Cal Poly Game Information
- February 5, 2026
- 10:00pm EST
- Mott Athletics Center
- ESPN+
Cal Poly Form & Recent Results
Cal Poly enters Wednesday night's matchup riding a two-game winning streak, looking to capitalize on their recent momentum. However, zooming out to their last five games reveals a bumpier ride, with the Mustangs dropping three of those contests. Their most recent game was an impressive 94-87 road victory over UC Riverside, where Hamad Mousa led the charge with an outstanding performance, racking up 26 points and 6 rebounds. Peter Bandelj provided excellent support with 6 assists, orchestrating the offense effectively. The team shot efficiently in that game, boasting a 53% field goal percentage and sinking 81% of their free throws, although they did turn the ball over 12 times. Impressively, Cal Poly controlled the pace by holding the lead for 67% of the game.
Overall this season, Hamad Mousa has established himself as the Mustangs’ go-to scorer, averaging a robust 20.6 points per game. He also leads the team on the glass, pulling in an average of 6 rebounds per contest, showing his ability to have an impact on both ends of the floor. Cayden Ward has provided valuable secondary scoring, chipping in with an average of 14.3 points, while Peter Bandelj has proven to be the team’s top playmaker, dishing out an average of 3.4 assists per game. Despite these individual performances, the Mustangs have struggled defensively in recent matchups, giving up an average of 90.4 points over their last five games. On their home court, Cal Poly's record sits at 4-5, and they’ve allowed just over 81 points per game. With an opportunity to even up both their home and conference records, the Mustangs will be eager to put together a strong showing in front of their fans when they face Cal State Northridge. 
Cal State Northridge Form & Recent Results
Cal State Northridge heads into this game riding high after securing back-to-back wins and taking three victories from their last five matchups. Their most recent triumph came in a convincing 81-64 victory over UC San Diego on their home court this past Saturday. In that game, Mahmoud Fofana stood out with an impressive double-double, scoring 22 points and grabbing 10 rebounds. Josiah Davis also played a key role, dishing out 10 assists and helping keep the offense running smoothly. The Matadors were efficient offensively, shooting 45% from the field and 33% from downtown, while capitalizing at the free-throw line with a solid 78%. On top of that, they dominated the glass with 48 rebounds and maintained control for the vast majority of the game, leading for 80% of the game.
Cal State Northridge has relied on Larry Hughes II as their go-to scorer so far this season, averaging 18.1 points per game. Joshua O’Garro has backed him up as a consistent offensive threat, contributing 14.2 points on average and leading the team in rebounding with 9.6 boards per contest. Josiah Davis has been the team's primary facilitator, posting an average of 7 assists per game as he directs the offense. Offensively, the Matadors have been putting up big numbers lately, averaging 81.4 points over their last five games. However, their performance on the road has been less impressive, as they have managed just three wins in ten road games and have surrendered a concerning 84.3 points per game in those games. If they hope to come away with a win against Cal Poly and avoid evening out their conference record, they'll need to shore up their defense and bring more intensity on the road.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sean Higgs | +1,855.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,497.00 |
| 3 |  Ben Burns | +1,112.00 |
| 4 |  Ross Benjamin | +618.00 |
| 5 |  Bryan Power | +607.00 |
Key Stats
- Cal State Northridge Matadors this season: 45% field goal percentage, 42.1 rebounds, 17.1 assists, 2.7 blocks, 7.0 steals per game
- Cal Poly Mustangs this season: 43% field goal percentage, 37.5 rebounds, 13.2 assists, 2.1 blocks, 6.6 steals per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- CSUN -1.5; O/U 176.5
Cal State Northridge vs. Cal Poly Picks and Prediction
Cal Poly isn’t just hoping to get a victory on their own court, they’re also aiming to bring their conference record back to .500. If the Mustangs can take down Cal State Northridge in this upcoming game, the two teams would end up with matching records in the conference standings. Of course, Northridge is determined to keep that from happening, but so far this season, their defense has really struggled when they've been away from home. For Cal Poly, there’s also the motivation of leveling their home record, hoping to recapture some of the early-season spark they had in front of their fans. Final Score Prediction, Cal State Northridge Matadors win and cover the spread, 86-79.
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