Central Michigan Chippewas vs Buffalo Bulls Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/28/2026, 07:45 PM ET
Central Michigan vs. Buffalo Prediction
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The Mid-American Conference schedule is drawing to a close with just a few games left on the calendar. Read our Central Michigan vs Buffalo predictions along with our NCAAB picksΒ on Saturday, Feb. 28. Central Michigan is 9-19 overall and they have a 5-10 league record, putting them in ninth-place. Buffalo is 16-12 and they are just ahead of the Chippewas with a 6-9 conference record. Central Michigan has yet to win, 0-12, on the road this year. Buffalo has also lost six straight home games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 2 P.M. EST.

Central Michigan winless on the road this season

Central Michigan is 9-19 overall this season. The Chippewas are in ninth-place in the Mid-American Conference with a 5-10 conference record. Central Michigan is 0-14 when playing on the road this year. The Chippewas have lost four of their last six games coming into this matchup.

In their latest game, Central Michigan lost 83-81 to Kent State on the road on Tuesday, Feb. 24. Central Michigan led for 95% of the game, leading by as much as 19-points before blowing the lead late. Kent State went on a 12-1 run in the final three minutes of the game. Central Michigan shot 51% from the field and 48% from behind the 3-point line. Phat Phat Brooks led the team with 20 points on 6-for-7 shooting.

Tamario Adley leads the team with 12.6 points per game. Nathan Claerbaut is grabbing 5.7 rebounds, while Brooks is dishing-out 3.8 assists per game.

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According to KenPom, Central Michigan is the 269th ranked team in the nation. They have the 230th ranked offense, while they are also ranked 290th on the defensive end.

Central Michigan is averaging 73.8 points per game, which ranks 270th in the nation. They are shooting 46.7% from the field, which places them 100th. The Chippewas are the 262nd ranked 3-point shooting team, making 32.5% from behind the arc.

On defense, Central Michigan is allowing 76.9 points per game, which ranks 232nd overall. They are giving up 45.8% from the field, which ranks 275th. The Chippewas are the 210th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 34.1% from behind the arc.

Central Michigan is 15-11 against the spread this season. They are 5-9 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Chippewas are 11-5 against the spread when playing MAC opponents. They have covered in back-to-back games. Central Michigan is 11-10 against the spread as an underdog. The under is 14-12 when Central Michigan has played this season. The total is 7-7 when playing on the road this season. The under is 9-7 when Central Michigan has played MAC opponents.

Buffalo riding six-game losing streak at home

Buffalo is 16-12 overall this season. The Bulls are in seventh-place in the MAC with a 6-9 record. Buffalo is 6-7 when playing at home this season. They have lost five of their last seven games coming into this matchup. The Bulls have lost six straight home games coming into this game, too.

In their last game, the Bulls lost 99-85 on the road to Akron on Tuesday, Feb. 24. Buffalo never led in the second-half of the game as they struggled late in the outing. The Bulls shot just 37% from the field and 27% from behind the 3-point line. Ryan Sabol led the team with 28 points on 9-for-20 shooting.

Daniel Freitag leads the team with 19.8 points and 3.8 assists per game. Noah Batchelor is grabbing 4.5 rebounds per game this year, too.

Buffalo is the 190th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 106th in the country on the offense end. They are also the 291st ranked defensive team.

Buffalo is averaging 78.8 points per game, which ranks 141st in the nation. They are the 71st ranked shooting team, making 47.1% from the field. The Bulls are making 38.4% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 14th.

On defense, Buffalo is allowing 75.9 points per game, which ranks 205th. They are the 325th ranked defensive team, allowing 47.1% from the field. The Bulls are also the 243rd ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 34.6 from behind the arc.

Buffalo is 16-10 against the spread this season. They are 5-6 against the spread when playing at home. The Bulls are 9-7 against the spread during MAC play. Buffalo is 8-4 against the spread when playing as a favorite.Β  The over is 15-11 when Buffalo has played this year. The total is 7-7 when the Wildcats have played at home. The over is 7-4 during MAC play.

Central Michigan Chippewas vs Buffalo Bulls Picks

Central Michigan vs Buffalo Spread Pick

  • Take Buffalo (5 units)Β 

Both teams are out of form at the moment. Central Michigan has not won on the road once this season. They are 0-14 when playing away from home. Buffalo has also lost six straight home games. Something has to give and I think the Bulls will be able to snap their losing skid. Buffalo is the 14th ranked 3-point shooting team in the nation and that will be major, with Central Michigan ranking 210th in 3-point defense. Buffalo is 8-4 against the spread when playing as a favorite. Central Michigan is 5-9 against the spread when they have played on the road.

Take Buffalo to cover.

Central Michigan vs Buffalo Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)Β 

Central Michigan and Buffalo pride themselves on playing a slow-brand of basketball. The Chippewas rank 192nd in adjusted tempo, while Buffalo is the 236th ranked team in adjusted tempo. Both teams are also averaging 78 points or less this year making this game a low-scoring one with poor and slow offense. The under is 9-7 when Central Michigan has played MAC opponents.

Take the under on Saturday.Β 

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