Cleveland State vs. Wright State Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Use Code WWWC Cleveland State Vikings (6-14) vs. Wright State Raiders (12-7)
The 2025-26 college basketball season continues Wednesday, January 21, with the Cleveland State Vikings squaring off against the Wright State Raiders in the Horizon League showdown at Nutter Center in Dayton, OH, so we’ve got the Cleveland State vs. Wright State prediction and the latest odds update.
The Vikings meet the Raiders for the first time this season. They split a two-game set in 2024-25, with each team emerging victorious at home. The Vikings beat the Raiders 78-64, and Wright State responded with an 82-76 victory.
Let’s take a closer look at this Cleveland State vs. Wright State prediction, one of our NCAAB picks for Wednesday’s slate. The tip-off at Nutter Center is set at 7:00 PM ET, and the Raiders are huge 16.5-point home favorites with a total of 159.5 points.
Cleveland State’s losing streak is over
The Cleveland State Vikings (6-14; 7-10 ATS; 11-6 O/U) stopped their four-game slide last Saturday. After consecutive defeats against Purdue Fort Wayne 74-71, Oakland 97-74, Detroit Mercy 94-84, and Green Bay 88-73, the Vikings edged Youngstown State 80-78 as 8.5-point home underdogs to advance to 2-7 in conference play.
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Cleveland State held Youngstown State to 38.3% shooting from the field (8-for-43 from deep). The Vikings made 51.3% of their field goals (10-for-20 from deep), but gave up a whopping 20 offensive rebounds. Sophomore forward Dayan Nessah led the way with 26 points, seven rebounds, and three assists.
Nessah averages 14.6 points and 5.9 rebounds. Senior guard Tre Beard tallies 13.6 points and 3.1 assists per game, while fellow senior guard Chevalier Emery adds 12.4 points and 2.1 assists a night. Senior forward Josiah Harris (8.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG) missed two straight games with an injury and is questionable for Wednesday’s game against Wright State.
The Vikings score 108.8 points per 100 possessions (194th in the nation) and surrender 123.5 points in return (358th). Cleveland State heavily leans on 3-pointers. The Vikings are 21st in the nation in 3-point rate (.495) and 28th in 3-point percentage (37.4%). They are No. 336 in the NCAA NET Rankings.
Wright State aims for its eighth straight W
The Wright State Raiders (12-7; 11-6 ATS; 8-9 O/U) have been unstoppable lately, winning seven games in a row. They are topping the Horizon League with a 7-1 record, and the Raiders have covered the spread in four of their last six showings in conference play.
Wright State is coming off Thursday’s 93-83 home victory over Youngstown State. The Raiders covered a 4.5-point spread, making 53.3% of their field goals (5-for-9 from deep). They outscored the Penguins 48-30 in the paint while posting an excellent 23/7 assist-to-turnover ratio.
Sophomore guard TJ Burch tortured Youngstown State for 24 points, seven assists, and five rebounds. Burch averages 10.6 points and 3.4 assists, while freshman guard Michael Cooper leads the way with 14.7 points and 3.2 rebounds per game.
The Raiders score 115.4 points per 100 possessions (94th in the country) and allow 107.9 points in return (125th). They rank 291st in the country in 3-point rate (.345), but the Raiders make 37.5% of their shots from beyond the arc (27th). Wright State is No. 115 in the NCAA NET Rankings.
Cleveland State vs. Wright State Pick
Spread Pick for Cleveland State vs. Wright State
- Wright State -16.5 (5 units)
As I said, the Vikings heavily rely on their 3-point shooting. Everything else in their game has been pretty much awful this season. Cleveland State is one of the worst defensive teams in the country, and the Vikings’ rebounding has been horrendous. The Vikings are 362nd in the nation in defensive rebound percentage (60.2%) and 355th in opposing 2-point percentage (59.5%).
Moreover, the Vikings are turnover-prone. On the other side, the Raiders take decent care of the ball, and their offense might be the best in the Horizon League. The Raiders make 54.5% of their 2-pointers, so I expect them to torture the Vikings’ defense. Also, the Raiders are 19th in the country in opposing 3-point rate (.331).
Over/Under Pick for Cleveland State vs. Wright State
- Over 159.5 (5 units)
The Raiders play at a slow pace. They register 65.8 possessions per 40 minutes (273rd in the nation), but the Raiders’ offensive execution has been solid thus far. Wright State has surpassed an 80-point mark in five of its past six games, and the over is 7-3 in the Raiders’ last 10 outings.
The Vikings tally 68.9 possessions per 40 minutes (113th). They are the worst defensive team in the Horizon League by far, and the Vikings have allowed 88 or more points in three of their last four outings. The over has hit in 12 of Cleveland State’s previous 18 games overall.
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