Colorado Buffaloes vs Colorado State Rams Prediction and Picks - December 6, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 12/05/2025, 10:46 PM ET
Josh Pascarelli looks to lead the Rams over the Buffaloes
Use Code WWWC

It's the Big 12 vs the MWC in college hoops action on Saturday afternoon, and we have a Colorado vs Colorado State prediction ready to rock and roll. The Buffaloes come in off a 78-70 home win over Cal Baptist to move to a perfect 8-0 on the year. Colorado State has started out at 6-2 on the year and they are off an 83-68 home win over South Florida. The Buffaloes won last year's meeting at home by a score of 72-55. Continue reading to see our Colorado vs Colorado State prediction.

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Colorado Off To A Perfect Start

Colorado’s most recent game was a 78–70 win over California Baptist on December 1, where freshman guard Isaiah Johnson scored 17 points to lead the Buffaloes. Sebastian Rancik and Barrington Hargress chipped in 12 apiece, while Bangot Dak pulled down eight rebounds. Colorado trailed at halftime but used a strong second half to secure the victory, keeping their perfect start intact.

The Buffaloes have been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country, averaging 88.8 points per game while shooting 50.9% from the field. Johnson has been a breakout freshman, leading the team with 15.1 points per game on 57% shooting, while Rancik adds 13 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. Hargress has been the floor general, dishing out 5.1 assists per game, and Dak provides interior presence with 11.6 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Colorado’s balance between perimeter shooting — hitting over 41% from three — and inside scoring has made them difficult to defend.

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Defensively, Colorado has been solid, allowing 76.9 points per game but holding opponents to 44.8% shooting. They rebound well, averaging nearly 38 boards per game, and their ability to get to the free‑throw line has been a separator, converting 75% of their attempts. The Buffaloes’ depth has also been a strength, with multiple players capable of contributing double‑digit scoring. Heading into Fort Collins, Colorado brings confidence from their best start in over 70 years, and their offensive efficiency will be tested against a disciplined Colorado State defense.

The Rams Top The Bulls Easily

Colorado State’s most recent game was an 83–68 win over South Florida on November 28, where Josh Pascarelli exploded for 28 points on 10‑of‑11 shooting, including a perfect 8‑for‑8 from three. Carey Booth added 16 points and six rebounds, while Jevin Muniz dished out 10 assists. The Rams shot 61% from the field and buried 16 threes, pulling away in the second half to close out the Battle 4 Atlantis with back‑to‑back wins.

The Rams have been lights‑out offensively, averaging 84 points per game while shooting 52.4% from the field (11th nationally). Kyle Jorgensen leads the team with 14.9 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while Booth adds 14.1 points and 7.4 rebounds. Pascarelli has been a lethal perimeter shooter, hitting nearly 48% from three, and Brandon Rechsteiner contributes 11.5 points per game as a steady backcourt presence. Colorado State’s ball movement has been excellent, averaging 19.3 assists per game, which ranks among the top 20 nationally.

Defensively, Colorado State allows 71.4 points per game, holding opponents to 43% shooting. They rebound well at 35.6 boards per game, and their ability to contest shots on the perimeter has limited opponents to just 32.6% from three. Muniz has been a versatile defender and playmaker, while Booth’s length inside gives them rim protection. The Rams enter this rivalry clash with momentum, having won two straight, and their ability to spread the floor with shooters will be critical against Colorado’s size and athleticism.

Colorado vs Colorado State Pick

Colorado vs Colorado State Spread Pick

  • Colorado State -2 (5 Units)

Colorado State looks like the stronger side in this rivalry because of how efficient their offense has been and the balance they bring across the roster. The Rams average 84 points per game while shooting an impressive 52.4% from the field, which ranks among the best nationally. Josh Pascarelli has been a lethal perimeter scorer, hitting nearly 48% from three, while Kyle Jorgensen and Carey Booth give them reliable inside production with rebounding and scoring. Brandon Rechsteiner adds stability in the backcourt, and Jevin Muniz has been a versatile playmaker, averaging over five assists per game. That combination of shooting, ball movement, and depth makes Colorado State difficult to guard, especially against a Colorado team that has shown vulnerability defensively.

Defensively, the Rams have enough discipline to complement their offensive firepower. They allow just 71.4 points per game and hold opponents to 43% shooting, while limiting teams to 32.6% from three. Booth’s length inside and Muniz’s versatility on the perimeter give them multiple ways to disrupt opposing scorers, and their rebounding has been steady at nearly 36 boards per game. Colorado has been strong offensively, but the Rams’ ability to spread the floor with shooters and force the Buffaloes into chasing on defense gives them the edge. With their recent hot shooting stretch and balanced attack, Colorado State has the tools to control tempo and cover in this matchup.

Colorado vs Colorado State Over/Under Pick

  • Over 150 (4 Units)

The Over 150 feels like the right angle because both Colorado and Colorado State bring high‑powered, efficient offenses into this rivalry matchup, and the pace should naturally push scoring upward. Colorado averages nearly 89 points per game while shooting over 50% from the field and an elite 41.6% from three, while Colorado State isn’t far behind at 84 points per game with a blistering 52.4% shooting percentage and 45% from deep. Both teams also move the ball well — the Rams average 19.3 assists per game, the Buffaloes sit at 17.6 — which means plenty of clean looks and rhythm scoring. With two offenses ranked among the nation’s best in efficiency and perimeter shooting, and defenses that have shown vulnerability against strong shooting teams, this matchup has all the ingredients for a fast‑paced, high‑scoring game that clears the 150‑point total.

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