Colorado State Rams vs. San Jose State Spartans Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28th, 2026
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The Colorado State Rams (18-10, 16-11 ATS, 14-13 O/U) clash with the San Jose State Spartans (8-20, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U) in an MWC matchup on Saturday evening, and we have everything you need to know and the prediction. The Rams posted a home win against Fresno State on Tuesday. The Spartans netted a road win against Air Force. Colorado State earned a home win against San Jose State earlier this month.
Can the Spartans record a second straight win on Saturday? Check out the Colorado State vs. San Jose State prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to NCAAB Picks!
Colorado State Extends Winning Streak
The Colorado State Rams are targeting their 10th conference win of the season. Colorado State is enjoying its best stretch of the season, winning six straight games led by the potent offense. The Rams had a disastrous start to conference play, going 3-7 in the first 10 games. This includes losses against New Mexico and Utah State.
The Rams found a groove to begin February by beating San Jose State. The squad extended its winning streak in a 74-70 home win against Fresno State on Tuesday in a game that had the Rams marked as eight-point favorites. Colorado State sunk 45% of its shots and kept them to a 47% mark. The Rams stand at 9-8 in conference action and have covered in four of their past five games.
Kyle Jorgensen has been kept in check in the recent wins. The sophomore forward has scored 11 or fewer points in six straight games. He amassed 11 points in the win on Tuesday and has recorded an average of 11.8 PPG. Brandon Rechsteiner has netted 11 or more in five straight efforts. The junior guard is averaging 12 PPG.
Josh Pascarelli has been slumping, shooting below 35% in three of his past five games. The junior guard is averaging 10.8 PPG. Carey Booth amassed 11 points on Tuesday. The junior forward has posted an average of 10.4 PPG and 5.8 RPG. Jevin Muniz has shot at least 50% in five of his past six outings. The senior guard has reported 9.8 PPG.
Colorado State is ranked 86th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stands at 4-5 on the road, including a win against Air Force. Colorado State is averaging 76.7 points on the season, ranking them 196th. The Rams are conceding an average of 71 points, placing them 80th. 
San Jose State Records Third Conference Win
The San Jose State Spartans are seeking just their second conference win of the season. It has been a challenging season for a young Spartans team. They have dropped nine of their past 11 games due to their abysmal defense. The Spartans' first conference win was in January against Air Force.
The Spartans have been somewhat competitive this month. They covered in defeat against New Mexico and Colorado State. San Jose State recorded an 86-80 road win in the rematch against Air Force in their previous action in a clash that had the Spartans tabbed as six-point favorites. San Jose State connected on 50% of its shots, and the defense was shaky as Air Force posted a 51% mark. The Spartans have covered the spread in three of their past five games.
Colby Garland has been a positive. The junior guard has picked up at least 20 points on eight occasions in conference action. He scored 22 points in the win on Tuesday and is sporting an average of 19.5 PPG on the season. Yaphet Moundi is also a threat. The senior forward has not played since December due to injury. He is averaging 12.5 PPG.
Ben Roseborough has scored at least 12 points in three of his past five bouts. The freshman guard has recorded an average of 12 PPG. Jermaine Washington has been consistent, sinking at least 10 points in five of his last six games. The sophomore guard has amassed an average of 11.7 PPG. Pasha Goodarzi netted six points in the defeat on Tuesday. The sophomore guard is averaging 8.2 PPG. Adrian Myers has surpassed 20 points in three straight games. The sophomore forward has reported 10.1 PPG.
San Jose State is rated 226th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and is 6-8 at home, including a win against Long Beach State. San Jose State is scoring an average of 71.3 points on the year, marking them 306th. The Spartans are squandering an average of 77.5 points, pegging them 256th.
Colorado State vs. San Jose State Pick
Spread Pick for Colorado State vs. San Jose State
- Colorado State Rams -8 (5 units)
The Colorado State Rams are one of the hottest teams in the entire SEC. They have won six straight games, covering the spread in five of them. The San Jose State Spartans only have three conference wins and have lost nine of their past 11 games.
Furthermore, San Jose State does not have the scoring punch to keep this game within reach. Colorado State is averaging 120 points per 100 possessions compared to only 110 points per 100 by San Jose State. When it comes to defense, the Rams are conceding 5.1 fewer points per 100. The Spartans are one of the worst defensive teams in the entire country, standing 310th in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Rams won the first meeting by eight points, and I expect another decisive win.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +8,646.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +5,767.00 |
| 3 |  Bryan Power | +4,562.00 |
| 4 |  Pro Sports Picks | +3,998.00 |
| 5 |  Tony Karpinski | +3,260.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Colorado State vs. San Jose State
- Under 145.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. Colorado State and San Jose State play at a slower pace. The Rams are marked 362nd in DI in adjusted tempo, and the Spartans are pegged 320th in tempo.
In addition, the under cashed by 16 points in the first meeting. San Jose State only connected on 35% of its shots in that one. Also, Colorado State has not been quite as dangerous on the road, scoring an average of 71.5 points in its past five road games. The under is a convincing 6-0 in the past six meetings between these squads.
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