Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Rebels Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 18, 2026
Use Code WWWC Mountain West action on a Wednesday night between two teams attempting to move in this Colorado State vs. UNLV prediction. These teams previously met on Jan. 9, with the Rams winning 70-62 at home as a 6.5-point favorite. Colorado State is 15-10 overall and 6-8 in the MWC, while winning three straight games. UNLV is 13-12 overall and 8-6 in the league, while also winning three straight. One streak will end in Las Vegas on Wednesday night at 11 PM ET. Check out more free College Basketball Predictions at Winners and Whiners.
Rams are coming on
Colorado State has won three straight after losing four straight. They're not a threat to win the Mountain West, so they'll need to improve their seedings before they get to the conference tournament. On Saturday, they beat Wyoming 79-68 at home as a 3.5-point favorite. Jase Butler led the five Rams players in double digits with 18 points. CSU shot a sizzling 62% from the field and 46% (6 of 13) from three-point range.
On the injury front, Josh Pascarelli played in just eight minutes in the game and had three points. He's listed as questionable with a foot injury. The 6-3 transfer guard from Murray State is averaging 10.8 points per game, while shooting 42% from the field. According to KenPom, Colorado State ranks 72nd overall on KenPom, 58th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 195th in Adjusted Defense. In terms of rebounding, the Rams rank 43rd in total rebounding percentage. Forward Kyle Jorgensen leads the Rams with 12.3 points per game, while shooting 55% from the field and 44.6% from three-point range.
Rebels stun Boise State
UNLV was a 10.5-point underdog on Saturday against Boise State on Friday and shocked them 86-83 in overtime, to win their third straight after losing four straight games. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn led the Rebels with 36 points on 6-of-12 from three-point range. The Illini transfer helped UNLV come back from a 23-point early deficit. UNLV shot 12-of-25 (48%) from three-point range and committed just eight turnovers in 45 minutes.
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The Rebels are 8-6, which places them in sixth place in the MWC. They rank 127th overall by KenPom, 103rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, and 189th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In total rebounding percentage, UNLV ranks 181st. Gibbs-Lawhorn leads the Rebels with 19.4 points and shoots 49.9% from the field and 38.7% from 3-point range.
Spread Pick for Colorado State vs. UNLV
Colorado State vs. UNLV Prediction and Picks
- UNLV -1.5 (5 units)
UNLV is back to playing well after a rough four-game slide. They also beat two pretty good teams in Grand Canyon and Boise State. If Pascarelli doesn't play for Colorado State, that's a big loss as he's a steady guard and a very good three-point shooter. Colorado State shoots just 43.5% from the field on the road and is awful defensively. They're allowing 49.6% shooting from the field and 43.2% from beyond the arc away from home, while UNLV is shooting 47.5% from the field at home.
Over/Under Pick for Colorado State vs. UNLV
- Under 149.5 (4 units)
Colorado State is one of the slowest-paced teams in the nation, with a 364th Adjusted Tempo. UNLV is the opposite as they live up to their old nickname of the Runnin' Rebels. But the first game was easily under (70-62) and so have three of the last four meetings. The Rams have gone under in five of their last seven games. They are also averaging just 68.5 points per game on the road.
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