Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears Picks and Prediction - November 24, 2025
Monday afternoon on the college hardwood, and we have a Creighton vs Baylor prediction ready to rock and roll. This game is part of the GEICO Players Era Men's Championship at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas. Creighton enters this game off a 75-60 home win over North Dakota to move to 3-1 on the year. Baylor is now 3-0 on the season after a 94-81 home win over Tarleton State. Read on to see our Creighton vs Baylor prediction.
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Bluejays Easily Take Care Of North Dakota
Creighton improved to 3-1 after a 75-60 win over North Dakota on November 19, where Blake Harper led the way with 19 points and 12 rebounds. The Bluejays controlled the glass, pulling down 46 rebounds, including 19 on the offensive end, and held North Dakota to just 38.3% shooting. It was a strong bounce-back after their earlier loss to Gonzaga, and it showcased the team’s ability to grind out wins even when the perimeter shots weren’t falling.
Offensively, Creighton averages 78.5 points per game while shooting 45.1% from the field, but their three-point shooting has been a weakness at just 27%. Harper has emerged as their most reliable scorer, averaging 13 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Nik Graves and Josh Dix both contribute double figures. Owen Freeman has been efficient inside, hitting over 74% of his shots and adding 10.8 points per game. The Bluejays rely on balance rather than a single star, but their inconsistency from deep remains a concern against elite competition.
Defensively, Creighton has been solid, allowing just 67.8 points per game and ranking in the top 60 nationally in scoring defense. They’ve held opponents to 29.3% from three, showing strong perimeter coverage, and their rebounding margin has been a key factor in their early success. Freeman and Harper provide interior toughness, while Graves adds defensive pressure in the backcourt. Against Baylor’s high-powered offense, Creighton’s ability to contest shots and control the boards will be critical if they want to keep pace.
The Bears Need Their Defense To Play Better
Baylor stayed unbeaten at 3-0 after a 94-81 win over Tarleton State on November 14, led by Cameron Carr’s 27 points on 10-of-13 shooting. The Bears shot nearly 58% from the field and knocked down 11 threes, showing off their offensive firepower. Despite allowing Tarleton to shoot over 51%, Baylor’s own efficiency and ability to get to the free-throw line carried them to another convincing victory.
Offensively, Baylor has been explosive, averaging 89.3 points per game while shooting 51.1% from the field. Carr has been the star, averaging 23.7 points per game and hitting over 52% from three. Dan Skillings adds 13.3 points and six rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou contributes 16.3 points with his athleticism. Obi Agbim has been a steady playmaker, averaging 5.7 assists per game, giving Baylor multiple options to attack. Their ability to score inside and out makes them one of the most dangerous teams early in the season.
Defensively, Baylor has been more vulnerable, giving up 77 points per game and allowing opponents to shoot 47.2% from the field. They’ve been strong against the three, holding teams to 28.8%, but their rebounding has been shaky at just 30 boards per game, ranking outside the top 300 nationally. Carr and Yessoufou provide defensive pressure, but the Bears will need to tighten up inside against Creighton’s rebounding strength. If Baylor can limit second-chance opportunities and keep Harper off the glass, their offense should be enough to carry them through.
Creighton vs Baylor Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Creighton vs Baylor Spread Pick
- Creighton +4.5 (4 Units)
Creighton +4.5 has real appeal because the Bluejays’ defensive profile gives them a chance to hang tight against Baylor’s explosive offense. They’re holding opponents to just 67.8 points per game and limiting teams to 29.3% from three, which is a critical matchup edge against a Bears squad that thrives on perimeter shooting. Owen Freeman has been a force inside, averaging nearly six rebounds and providing rim protection, while Blake Harper’s versatility allows Creighton to contest multiple positions. Even when their offense sputters from deep, the Bluejays’ ability to rebound and force tough shots keeps games within reach, making them a strong candidate to cover the number.
Another factor favoring Creighton +4.5 is their discipline and balance across the roster. Harper and Graves provide steady scoring, but it’s the collective effort on the defensive end that defines this team. They rank top-60 nationally in scoring defense and have shown they can grind opponents into inefficient possessions. Baylor may have the higher ceiling offensively, but their defense has been shaky, allowing 77 points per game and struggling on the glass with just 30 rebounds per game. If Creighton can control tempo, limit Baylor’s second-chance looks, and lean on their defensive rotations, they’re well-positioned to keep this matchup tight and cover the spread.
Creighton vs Baylor Over/Under Pick
- Under 153 (5 Units)
The Under 153 feels like the right angle because Creighton’s defensive strength and Baylor’s occasional lapses on the glass point toward a slower, grind-it-out style. The Bluejays are holding opponents to just 67.8 points per game and limiting teams to 29.3% from three, while Baylor, despite averaging nearly 90 points per game, has shown defensive vulnerability but also plays at a pace that doesn’t always translate into shootouts. With Creighton’s ability to contest shots and control rebounds, and Baylor’s efficiency balanced by stretches of inconsistency, this matchup sets up for a tighter scoring affair that stays below the 153 mark.
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