Dayton Flyers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a non-conference contest on the hardwood between foes from the Atlantic 10 and the Big East as the Dayton Flyers battle the Marquette Golden Eagles Wednesday night in the Badger State, and we have you covered with our Dayton vs. Marquette prediction. Dayton downed Bethune Cookman 91-82 at home in their previous contest Saturday night, failing to cover the line as a 21-point favorite. Marquette fell 89-82 at home to Maryland Saturday night, losing outright as an 8.5-point favorite in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the teams, the Golden Eagles own a 21-15 advantage but the Flyers have taken six of the last seven meetings, including a 71-63 home win in the most recent matchup on December 14, 2024. Read more about this Dayton vs. Marquette prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Flyers Seeking to Soar to Road Win
Dayton bounced back from their first loss of the season as they took care of business against Bethune-Cookman at home Saturday night. The Flyers improved to 3-1 on the year and look to down the Golden Eagles for the fourth straight time here. Against Bethune Cookman, Dayton trailed 24-20 with 8:31 to play in the first half before regrouping with a 14-2 run to take a 34-26 edge. The Flyers led 45-39 at the half and didn’t let the Wildcats closer than that the rest of the way as they earned the victory. Dayton shot 54% from the field, including 11 of 19 from three-point range, and hit 26 of 32 free throw attempts in the win. Javon Bennett paced the Flyers with 25 points in the win.
The Flyers come into this contest putting up 79.5 points per game, which is 183rd in the nation, on the season. Dayton pulls down 32.3 rebounds per contest and hands out 15.3 assists per game on the year. The Flyers are above average defensively, ranking 116th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 68.8 points per game. Javon Bennett leads the team with 18.3 points and 3.8 assists per game. Amael L’Etang (15 points, 7.5 rebounds) and De’Shayne Montgomery (14 points, 5.5 rebounds, three steals) are solid contributors. Keonte Jones, Jaiun Simon, Jacob Conner, Bryce Heard, Jordan Derkack, Damon Friery, Evan Dickey and Malcolm Thomas are important role players for coach Anthony Grant. Dayton shoots 46.7% from the field as a team on the year, which is 146th in Division I. The Flyers sink 6.3 three-pointers a game while shooting 28.4% from beyond the arc, which is 311th in the nation. Dayton is shooting 75% at the free throw line this season, putting them 89th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Dayton:
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- No Key Injuries
Marquette Trying to Find Momentum
Marquette dropped their second game in the last three as they fell at home to an injury-riddled Maryland squad Saturday. The Golden Eagles fell to 3-2 on the season and are trying to find some positive momentum. Against Maryland, Marquette trailed by 13 with 9:53 to play in the opening half before rallying to tie the score at 42 at the half. The Golden Eagles opened the second half on a 15-6 run to take a 57-48 lead with 13:26 to go before things slipped away. Marquette gave up a 24-7 run over the next five-plus minutes to trail 72-64 with 8:14 remaining and never got closer than five the rest of the way to go down in defeat. The Golden Eagles shot 36.8% from the floor, including 11 of 40 from beyond the arc, and allowed Maryland to shoot 52.7% in the game. Chase Ross paced Marquette with 31 points in the loss.
The Golden Eagles put up an average of 85.6 points per game on the year, putting them 103rd in the nation in scoring offense, so they are above average offensively. Marquette hauls down 41.4 rebounds a night while dishing out 16.8 assists (104th) per contest. The Golden Eagles have been average defensively on the year as they are 208th in scoring defense, allowing 74.6 points per game. Chase Ross is one of three players in double figures as he averages 20.8 points plus four rebounds and four assists per game this season. Ben Gold (10.8 points, 8.4 rebounds) and Zaide Lowery (10.4 points, 3.8 rebounds) provide solid secondary scoring options. Nigel James Jr., Royce Parham, Sean Jones, Caedin Hamilton, Adrien Stevens, Damarius Owens, Tre Norman, Michael Phillips II and Joshua Clark are key contributors for coach Shaka Smart. Marquette shoots 43.6% from the field on the year as a team, which is 247th in Division I. The Golden Eagles connect on 8.8 three-pointers a game while shooting 31.2% from beyond the arc. Marquette is above average at the free throw line as they convert 74.2% of their chances at the stripe.
Key Injury Report for Marquette:
- No Key Injuries
Dayton vs. Marquette Pick
Dayton vs. Marquette Spread Pick
- Dayton +5.5 (4 units)
Dayton lost their lone road game this season, falling 74-62 at Cincinnati back on November 11. With that said, the Flyers are facing a Marquette team that still is trying to figure things out after five games of the year. They were blasted by Indiana and lost at home to a Maryland team which brought back exactly zero guys from last season’s squad and has a new coach in Buzz Williams to boot. Dayton has several contributors from last year back and they have played fairly well. It’s tough to have faith in Marquette given what we’ve seen to this point. The Golden Eagles may turn it on but as it stands, take the points and the Flyers until we see some sort of consistency from Marquette.
Dayton vs. Marquette Over/Under Pick
- Over 151.5 (4 units)
Dayton comes into this game having stayed under the number in their three of their four games this season. The Flyers stand 74th in defensive efficiency, 16th in forced turnover percentage (24.3%), 133rd in opposing free throw rate (.333) and 111th in two-point defense (46.7%) on the year. Dayton is a slow-paced squad, ranking 271st in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 69.2 possessions a game. Marquette has seen the over post a 3-2 mark on the year. The Golden Eagles are 188th in effective field goal percentage (50.8%), 89th in turnover percentage (15.5%) and 67th in offensive rebounding percentage (37.1%) this season. Marquette stands 41st in tempo according to KenPom with 73.6 possessions per game. Seeing how Marquette has been leaky defensively, this game winds up over the number.
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