Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Picks and Predictions for Saturday January 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/24/2026, 03:30 AM ET
St. Bonaventure vs Dayton prediction
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The Dayton Flyers travel to Philadelphia to face the Saint Joseph’s Hawks on Saturday, January 24, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 2:00 PM ET at Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena. This Atlantic 10 conference matchup will be televised nationally on CBS Sports Network. Dayton enters the game as the road favorite at -218 on the moneyline, while Saint Joseph’s is listed at +180. The Flyers are laying 4.5 points on the spread, and the total is set at 138.5 points with the Over priced at -115 and the Under at -105. Make sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert A-10 betting analysis and daily insights.

Dayton Flyers Looking to Rebound on the Road

Dayton comes into this matchup with a strong 14-5 overall record and has been one of the more consistent teams in the Atlantic 10 this season. The Flyers have recently lost to La Salle but have also recently won over Loyola Chicago twice, Duquesne, and George Washington. That recent stretch shows Dayton’s ability to respond well after setbacks while continuing to win close games in conference play.

From a statistical standpoint, Dayton relies heavily on defensive structure and efficiency rather than overwhelming scoring output. The Flyers average 76.8 points per game while allowing just 68.1, giving them one of the better scoring margins in the conference. They shoot 45% from the field and average 33.0 rebounds per game, numbers that reflect a disciplined and balanced approach on both ends of the floor.

One of Dayton’s biggest strengths is its defensive activity. The Flyers average 9.8 steals per game and 4.2 blocks per contest, allowing them to disrupt opposing offenses and generate extra possessions. That defensive pressure often leads to timely scoring runs, especially in tight games. Against a Saint Joseph’s team that prefers to push pace, Dayton’s ability to force turnovers could be a deciding factor.

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Saint Joseph’s Hawks Aiming to Defend Home Court

Saint Joseph’s enters Saturday’s matchup with an 11-8 overall record and has quietly put together a competitive run in conference play. The Hawks have recently lost to VCU and Davidson, while also recently winning over St. Bonaventure, Richmond, and Duquesne in overtime. Those results highlight a team that is comfortable playing close games and capable of executing late, particularly at home.

Offensively, Saint Joseph’s averages 74.4 points per game while allowing 73.0 points per contest. The Hawks shoot 42% from the field and do a solid job of moving the ball, averaging 15.2 assists per game. Their rebounding numbers stand out, as they pull down 39.5 rebounds per game, giving them a significant edge on the glass compared to many conference opponents.

Defensively, Saint Joseph’s relies more on positioning than pressure. The Hawks average 5.8 steals and 4.9 blocks per game, showing some ability to protect the rim but less consistency in generating turnovers. Against a disciplined Dayton offense, Saint Joseph’s may need to control the boards and limit second-chance opportunities to stay competitive throughout the game.

Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Pick

Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Spread Pick

  • Dayton -4.5 (-110)

Dayton’s defensive consistency and ability to force turnovers give the Flyers a clear edge in this matchup. While Saint Joseph’s rebounding advantage could keep the game close early, Dayton’s experience in tight conference games should allow them to pull away late. Laying 4.5 points with the more complete defensive team provides solid value.

Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Total Pick

  • Under 138.5 (-105)

I’m backing the Under in this matchup because Dayton consistently slows games down and limits opponent scoring. Saint Joseph’s has been involved in several lower-scoring contests against disciplined defenses, and Dayton’s ability to control tempo should reduce possessions. With both teams capable defensively, this game profiles as a grind rather than a shootout.

Final Score Prediction: Dayton 72, Saint Joseph’s 64

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