Duke vs. North Carolina, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, February 7, 2026
Use Code WWWC #4 Duke (21-1, 10-0 ACC) will be trying to stay perfect on the road when they visit Dean E. Smith Center on Saturday night to face #14 North Carolina (18-4, 6-3 ACC) at 6:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Blue Devils vs. Tar Heels prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAB Betting Picks.
The Blue Devils are coming off a 67-59 win over Boston College as 26.5-point favorites. The Tar Heels are coming off an 87-77 win over Syracuse as 11.5-point favorites.
Duke is 6-4 in its last 10 games against North Carolina.
Duke Going For 11th Consecutive Win
The Blue Devils have been on a roll since their one-point loss to #19 Texas Tech in December, reeling off 10 straight wins, three of which came against ranked opponents. They will put their undefeated ACC record on the line as they try to pick up their 11th straight win on Saturday.
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Duke averages 84.1 points per game. They’ve made 50 percent of their field goals and 34 percent of their three-pointers.
Cameron Boozer leads Duke with 23.3 points, 9.9 rebounds, and four assists per game. Isaiah Evans averages 14.2 points and 3.1 rebounds per game, while Patrick Ngongba II averages 11 points and 6.2 rebounds per game.
Duke is giving up 63.6 points per game. Opponents have made 39 percent of their field goals and 31 percent of their three-pointers against them.
Injuries: Ifeanyi Ufochuckwu (Undisclosed) has been ruled out of this game.
North Carolina Going For Fifth Consecutive Win
The Tar Heels followed up their two-game losing streak with four straight wins. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fifth straight win when they play on Saturday.
North Carolina averages 83.1 points per game. They’ve made 48.1 percent of their field goals and 34.4 percent of their three-pointers.
Caleb Wilson leads North Carolina with 20 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Henri Veesaar averages 16.8 points and nine rebounds per game, while Seth Trimble averages 14.1 points and 4.2 rebounds per game.
North Carolina is giving up 70.6 points per game. Opponents have made 40.3 percent of their field goals and 34.1 percent of their three-pointers against them.
Injuries: Ivan Matlekovic (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game. Isaiah Denis (Undisclosed) has been ruled out.
Duke vs. North Carolina Picks
Point Spread Pick for Duke vs. North Carolina
- North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 (4 Units)
The Tar Heels have won 13 straight home games, while the Blue Devils have won seven straight road games. North Carolina is the choice here because they play very well offensively at home, scoring more than 86 points per game, while making over 47 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 73 percent of their free throws at home. They rebound the ball well, and they grab more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also turned the ball over less than six times per game in their last three games, and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Blue Devils usually play well defensively, but they haven’t been as good on the road, and they’re facing one of the best offenses they’ve seen this year, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Tar Heels. Take North Carolina to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Duke vs. North Carolina
Under 150.5 (4 Units)
The Blue Devils average 84.1 points per game. They play at the 221st-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 70.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 64.9 points per game at home. The Tar Heels average 83.1 points per game. They play at the 135th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 71.9 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 65.6 points per game on the road. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Blue Devils and Tar Heels played under the total in their last two meetings.
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