Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday February 21 2026
Use Code WWWC The Duquesne Dukes head to Dayton, Ohio for a big Atlantic 10 game against the Dayton Flyers. Duquesne comes in at 16–10 overall and 8–5 in conference play, while Dayton sits at 17–9 overall with the same 8–5 A-10 mark. With both teams locked in a tie in the middle of the league standings, this matchup could have a real impact on how the rest of the A-10 conference standings shape up. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.
Duquesne vs. Dayton Game Information
- February 21, 2026
- 2:00pm EST
- UD Arena
- ESPN+/WHIO-TV
Dayton Form & Recent Results
Dayton heads into Saturday’s game riding a two-game winning streak, and they’ve managed to take three of their last five games overall, which shows they’re starting to find some rhythm at the right time. Their most recent win was an 82–67 result over George Mason on Wednesday in Fairfax, and it was the kind of performance that looked steady from start to finish. Javon Bennett set the tone with 22 points, while Jaiun Simon did a lot of the dirty work on the glass with seven rebounds, and Jordan Derkack helped keep the offense organized by handing out five assists. As a team, the Flyers were sharp offensively, shooting 56% from the floor and an impressive 52% from three-point range. They also took care of the ball with only eight turnovers, finished with 32 rebounds, and were in control almost the entire night, leading for 99% of the game.
Bennett has been Dayton’s go-to scorer overall this season, putting up 16.0 points per game, with De’Shayne Montgomery close behind at 14.7 points per game. Amael L’Etang has been their most consistent rebounder, averaging 5.6 boards per game, while Bennett also doubles as their top playmaker, leading the team with 3.2 assists per game. Offensively, Dayton has averaged 73.6 points across their last five games, but they’ve been even better when playing at home, where they own a strong 12–2 record. In those home games, the Flyers are scoring 78.4 points per game on average, and that home-court edge has been a major reason for their success this season. With Duquesne coming to town on Saturday afternoon, Dayton will be aiming to lean into that home dominance again and keep their momentum rolling.
Duquesne Form & Recent Results
Duquesne heads into this game feeling confident, riding a five-game winning streak and looking like a team that has really found its rhythm at the right time in the season. Their most recent win was a nail-biting 62–61 victory over La Salle at home on Wednesday, and it took contributions from several key players to pull it out. David Dixon led the way with a strong all-around performance, finishing with 13 points and 10 rebounds to give the Dukes a reliable presence on both ends of the floor. Brandon Hall also played an important role by setting up teammates and keeping the offense organized, finishing with three assists. As a team in that game, Duquesne shot 48% from the field and 68% from the free-throw line, but they also had some sloppy moments, turning the ball over 18 times. Even so, they controlled most of the action, holding the lead for about 73% of the game, which shows they were generally dictating the pace even in a one-point finish.
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So far this season, Duquesne has several clear leaders who drive what they do offensively. Tarence Guinyard has been their main scoring option, averaging 16.4 points per game, with Jimmie Williams close behind at 15.8 points per game to give the Dukes a dependable one-two punch. Jakub Necas has been their top rebounder on the glass at 5.4 boards per game, helping them finish possessions and create extra chances. Guinyard also stands out as the team’s primary playmaker, leading Duquesne with five assists per game, which highlights how involved he is in nearly every aspect of their attack. During this current five-game surge, the Dukes have been putting up around 75 points per game, showing a noticeable offensive uptick. They’ve also been solid away from home with a 5–4 road record, averaging 76.6 points in those games, and they’ll be hoping that combination of scoring and momentum carries over as they prepare for a crucial Atlantic 10 matchup against Dayton.
Key Stats
- Duquesne’s Tarence Guinyard this season: 16.4 points, 5 assists per game
- Dayton’s Javon Bennett this season: 16 points, 3.2 assists per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- DAY -6.5; O/U 148.5
Duquesne vs. Dayton Picks and Prediction
Even though Dayton and Duquesne might be sitting with identical Atlantic 10 records, Dayton has been a different team at home this season. They’ve gone 12–2 on their own court and have consistently found ways to control games there, so they’ll be looking to keep that home-court edge going. Duquesne, on the other hand, comes in aiming to make things uncomfortable and turn this into a real test. If the Dukes can pull off a big conference win on the road in this game, it could be a turning point, which is something they can build on for the rest of the season and carry as confidence moving forward. Final Score Prediction, Dayton Flyers win but fail to cover the spread, 77-71.
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