Duquesne vs. Nevada Preview, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, December 13, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the Duquesne Dukes will face the Nevada Wolf Pack at Lawlor Events Center, and we have you ready to go with our Duquesne vs. Nevada prediction, odds, and preview. The college hoops game tips off from Reno, NV, at 10:00 p.m. ET.
The Wolf Pack are 8.5-point spread favorites, and the game total is 153.5 points.
If you want the Duquesne vs. Nevada prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
Duquesne has a turnover problem
Duquesne (6-4 SU, 2-7 ATS, and 7-2 O/U) lost 86-64 to Boise State in its previous game (December 10), failing to cover the 14-point spread. The Dukes trailed by as many as 25 and never led, as they shot just 5-for-25 (20%) from three-point distance. The Broncos won the rebounding battle 38-29, shot 57 percent from three, and scored 18 fast break points. The Dukes haven't covered since losing 87-77 to Villanova as 10.5-point underdogs on November 15.
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Duquesne scores 84.5 points per game (132nd) on 50.4 percent shooting (28th), including 33.7 percent from deep (179th). The Dukes' opponents average 80.6 points (260th) on 44.5 percent shooting (236th), including 34.9 percent from three-point range (279th). KenPom ranks Duquesne 147th nationally, with ratings of 148th in offensive efficiency and 155th in defensive efficiency.
John Hugley IV leads the Dukes in scoring this season, averaging 15.4 points per game on 56.5 percent field goal shooting. The well-traveled senior forward, who leads the team in rebounding (5.6 per game), previously played at Pittsburgh, Oklahoma, and Xavier. A few other Duquesne stars to watch on Saturday night against Nevada are senior guard Tarence Guinyard (15.4 PPG and 5.1 APG), junior guard Jimmie Williams (13.7 PPG and 4.0 RPG), and junior forward Jakub Necas (7.7 PPG and 5.6 RPG).
Duquesne Dukes Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Nevada has built some momentum recently
Nevada (7-3 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, and 6-4 O/U) defeated Washington State 78-64 in its previous game (December 7), covering the spread as two-point underdogs. The Wolf Pack trailed by one at the break, but outscored the Cougars 47-32 in the second half to secure the road upset. They were more efficient overall than the home team, shooting 50 percent from three and 86 percent at the free-throw line. Nevada has won four of its last five and went 3-1-1 ATS in those games.
The Wolf Pack score 77.3 points per game (234th) on 42.5 percent shooting (301st), including 36.8 percent from beyond the arc (68th). Defensively, they surrender 72.7 points per game (126th), as their opponents shoot 44.0 percent overall (215th) and 34.6 percent from three-point distance (269th). KenPom ranks Nevada 87th nationally, with ratings of 87th in offensive efficiency and 95th in defensive efficiency.
Senior guard Corey Cramper Jr. paces the Wolf Pack in scoring, averaging 15.9 points per game on 44.2 percent shooting. The UTEP transfer also averages 3.6 rebounds per game and hits 37.2 percent of his three-pointers. A few other Nevada stars to watch against Duquesne are senior guard Tayshawn Comer (15.3 PPG and 3.8 APG), sophomore forward Elijah Price (12.1 PPG and 8.0 RPG), and junior guard Chuck Bailey III (8.0 PPG and 3.9 RPG).
Nevada Wolf Pack Injury Report:
- Cramper Jr. is questionable to play due to a back injury. He didn't take the floor in Nevada's last game.
- Senior center Joel Armotrading (6.1 PPG and 5.1 RPG) has missed the last three games with a shoulder injury. His status is questionable for Saturday's game against the Dukes.
Duquesne vs. Nevada Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Duquesne vs. Nevada
- Wolf Pack -8.5 (4 Units)
Duquesne has several reliable scoring options, but it's too high-tempo for its own good, as it turns the basketball over at a high rate (15.1 per game). While this game has the potential to be a foul fest, the Dukes are unreliable at the charity stripe (68.2%), as well. I'm also concerned about the visitors' weak schedule up to this point (316th in KenPom's strength-of-schedule metric) and their state of mind after a blowout loss to Boise State.
Nevada could be without its top scoring option, Cramper Jr., but that didn't stop the Wolf Pack from beating Washington State by 14 in their previous game. They had five days off between games, so the extra rest could help Cramper return. Nevada may not be flashy offensively, but it can knock down enough threes and free throws to make this spread look too small.
Over/Under Pick for Duquesne vs. Nevada
- Under 153.5 (4 Units)
The Wolf Pack operates at a much slower pace than the visitors, who rank among the fastest-tempo teams in the country. That said, the Dukes are also careless with the basketball, which should shorten the total possession count. While very efficient inside the arc against weak competition, Duquesne isn't likely to be as successful in the paint against Nevada (13th nationally in opponent near-proximity shooting percentage).
On the other end of the court, I have some doubts about the home team's ability to hit their team total, as well. They rank 32nd nationally in two-point attempt rate, but are 329th in two-point shooting percentage. While they shoot a respectable 36.8 percent from long range, they rarely take threes (334th in three-point attempt rate), too.
In a non-conference game between unfamiliar opponents, I recommend the under.
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