Evansville Purple Aces vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction and Picks - December 13, 2025
Use Code WWWC Saturday afternoon on the college hardwood, and we have an Evansville vs Notre Dame prediction locked and loaded for you. Evansville is just 4-6 on the year and they are off an 80-79 road loss to Western Kentucky. Notre Dame comes in off an 80-65 home win over Idaho to move to 8-3 on the year. These teams last met back in 2012 and the Irish won that game at home by a score of 58-49. Continue reading to see our Evansville vs Notre Dame prediction.
If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the best NCAAB Predictions available.
Aces Can't Top The Hilltoppers
Evansville’s most recent game was a 80–79 loss to Western Kentucky on December 6, where freshman Leif Moeller scored 21 points on 8-of-13 shooting but the Purple Aces couldn’t hold off a late rally. Connor Turnbull added 19 points and 8 rebounds, but Evansville’s struggles at the free-throw line (13-of-23) proved costly. It was a tough defeat after a solid win over Ball State earlier in the week, and it underscored the team’s inconsistency in closing out tight contests.
Offensively, Evansville averages 70.1 points per game while shooting 42.9% from the field. Turnbull has been the centerpiece, scoring 13.6 points per game and providing size inside, while Joshua Hughes adds 9.5 points and 5.5 rebounds. Moeller has emerged as a promising freshman guard, averaging 7.4 points and 4 assists, and Bryce Quinet contributes steady playmaking with 7.9 points per game. The Purple Aces shoot just 30.1% from three, which has limited their ability to stretch defenses, but when Moeller and Quinet are hitting from outside, they can keep games competitive.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Defensively, Evansville allows 71.6 points per game and opponents to shoot 42.9%, while giving up 35 rebounds per contest. AJ Casey has been a key rebounder at 6 boards per game, and the team forces about 13 turnovers per outing. Still, their defensive metrics rank near the bottom nationally, and they’ve struggled against teams with strong guard play. Facing Notre Dame’s balanced attack, Evansville will need Turnbull to dominate inside and Moeller to continue his hot shooting to have any chance of hanging around.
The Irish Have Won Three In A Row
Notre Dame’s most recent game was an 80–65 win over Idaho on December 10, where freshman Jalen Haralson scored 20 points and Carson Towt grabbed 15 rebounds. The Irish shot 52.5% from the field and buried 9-of-14 threes, pulling away in the second half with a 47-point surge. It was their third straight win, following victories over TCU and Missouri, and it showed the team’s growing confidence heading into conference play.
Offensively, Notre Dame averages 76.6 points per game while shooting 47.3% from the field. Markus Burton leads the team with 18.5 points per game and has been the go-to scorer, while Haralson adds 13.9 points and has quickly become a reliable second option. Braeden Shrewsberry chips in 10.5 points per game, and Cole Certa provides perimeter shooting at nearly 9 points per contest. Towt has been a force on the glass, averaging over 10 rebounds per game, giving the Irish a consistent presence in the paint.
Defensively, Notre Dame allows just 69.4 points per game and holds opponents to 42.3% shooting. They rebound well as a unit, pulling down 37 boards per game, and their perimeter defense has been solid, limiting opponents to 32.8% from three. The Irish have also been disciplined, committing fewer turnovers than most ACC teams. Against Evansville, Notre Dame’s depth and balance should be decisive, as Burton and Haralson can attack from multiple angles while Towt controls the boards.
Evansville vs Notre Dame Pick
Evansville vs Notre Dame Spread Pick
- Evansville +16.5 (4 Units)
Evansville looks like a team that can hang around enough to cover +16.5, even against a stronger opponent like Notre Dame. Their most recent game was an 80–79 loss to Western Kentucky on December 6, where freshman Leif Moeller scored 21 points and Connor Turnbull added 17 with seven rebounds. The Purple Aces shot 47% from the field and hit seven threes, but missed 10 free throws that ultimately cost them the game. Still, it was a competitive showing against a solid mid-major, and it highlighted the growth of Moeller as a playmaker and Turnbull as a reliable interior scorer. Evansville averages 70.1 points per game, and while their shooting numbers aren’t elite, they’ve shown enough balance to keep games close when their top scorers are clicking.
Notre Dame, meanwhile, is coming off an 80–65 win over Idaho on December 10, where Jalen Haralson scored 20 points and Carson Towt grabbed 15 rebounds to lead the Irish. Markus Burton continues to pace the offense at 18.5 points per game, and Notre Dame has been efficient overall, shooting 47.3% from the field and averaging 76.6 points per game. But the Irish aren’t built to blow teams out—they play at a controlled pace, allow nearly 69 points per game, and rely heavily on Burton and Haralson to generate offense. That leaves room for Evansville to stay within striking distance, especially if Turnbull can battle Towt on the boards and Moeller continues to provide perimeter scoring. With the spread set at +16.5, the Purple Aces have enough offensive punch and resilience to cover against a Notre Dame team that tends to win more methodically than explosively.
Evansville vs Notre Dame Over/Under Pick
- Under 137.5 (5 Units)
The Under 137.5 makes sense in Evansville–Notre Dame given the way both teams play and their recent results. Evansville’s most recent game was an 80–79 loss to Western Kentucky on December 6, where they shot well from the field but still only managed 70 points per game on the season, ranking near the bottom nationally in offensive efficiency. Notre Dame, meanwhile, is coming off an 80–65 win over Idaho on December 10, and while they’ve been steady offensively at 76.6 points per game, they also hold opponents to just 69.4 points per game with disciplined defense and strong rebounding. Neither team pushes tempo, and both rely on half-court sets rather than transition scoring. With Evansville’s offensive limitations and Notre Dame’s ability to control pace, this matchup projects more as a grind in the 120s–130s range, making the Under 137.5 the sharper side.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
