Florida vs George Washington, Prediction, Picks, and Odds – December 13, 2025
Use Code WWWC The No. 15 Florida Gators (5–4) are hosting the George Washington Revolutionaries (8–3) on Saturday. Florida is looking to stabilize itself after a demanding run of ranked opponents, as the Gators have already gone toe-to-toe with Arizona, Duke, and UConn, losing those three games by a combined 14 points.
George Washington comes in off a shocking 70-58 upset loss to Delaware at home, but has been solid. However, this will be their toughest test to date, and this matchup should give us a clear look at how real GW’s start truly is. Catch more free college basketball picks at Winners and Whiners.
Big Test for GW
George Washington has started strong behind an offense producing 117.5 points per 100 possessions, ranking 47th nationally. The Revolutionaries are shooting 56.6% on effective field goals (36th), 59.5% inside the arc (30th), and 35.1% from three (112th). Their efficiency is built on a balanced attack led by Rafael Castro, who averages 15.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and shoots 65.1% from the field. He also adds 1.3 blocks per game, making him a two-way anchor.
Garrett Johnson brings perimeter scoring at 14.3 points and 5 rebounds per game, shooting 34.7% from three and 83.7% at the line. Christian Jones chips in 10.7 points, 2.9 assists, and shoots 51.1% from the field and 33.3% from three. Tre Dinkins also contributes 10.1 points while playing over 23 minutes per game.
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Defensively, GW has issues. They allow 106.9 points per 100 possessions (155th), give up 53.4% (225th) on two-pointers, and have struggled against teams with size. Their rebounding is adequate (26.2% offensive rebounds allowed, 47th), but they have not faced a frontcourt close to Florida’s level. This will be a major step up in physicality.
Florida coming off consecutive losses
Florida comes in at 5–4, but their schedule has been brutal. The Gators own 120.3 offensive efficiency (22nd) and 93.7 defensive efficiency (11th), making them one of the most balanced teams in the country. Their identity starts on the glass: Florida is the No. 2 offensive rebounding team in Division I (42.7%), and they allow opponents to grab just 24.4% of their own misses.
Thomas Haugh leads the team with 18.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, shooting 48.6% from the field and 34.7% from three. Alex Condon adds 15 points, 9 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks, while shooting 52.5%. Rueben Chinyelu controls the interior with 10.0 points and 11.2 rebounds per game.
In the backcourt, Boogie Fland contributes 12.0 points, 1.7 steals, and shoots 77.8% at the line, although the team as a whole struggles from three (27.3%, ranking 343rd). Xaivian Lee is the top distributor at 3.8 assists per game.
Florida shoots 54.4% on twos (109th) and plays at a tempo of 71.6 possessions per game (44th). Defensively, the Gators hold opponents to 44.7% effective field-goal shooting (22nd) and block 11.8% of shots. After facing multiple top-10 teams, this matchup is far more manageable than what they've seen over the last two weeks, at least on paper.
Florida vs GW Predictions
Florida vs GW ATS Pick:
- Florida -12.5 (4 units)
Florida has a clear advantage in size, rebounding, and defensive physicality. The Gators' 42.7% offensive rebounding rate against a GW defense allowing 53.4% on twos creates a matchup problem the Revolutionaries haven’t seen all season. Florida also holds opponents to just 44.7% eFG, which should disrupt GW’s normally efficient scoring. With Haugh, Condon, and Chinyelu all averaging double figures and dominating the glass, Florida’s proven roster and strength of schedule give them the edge.
Florida vs GW Total Pick:
- Over 163.5(4 units)
Both teams play fast, with Florida ranking 44th in adjusted tempo and George Washington sitting at 52nd. The Revolutionaries have averaged 89.8 points per game in their victories, while Florida has scored 80 or more in six of its nine contests thanks to second-chance points and consistent trips to the free-throw line.
Even if Florida’s defense softens GW’s efficiency at times, the pace and volume of possessions should keep this matchup trending upward.
Take the over.
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