Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday February 25 2026
Use Code WWWC Florida vs Texas picks headline a marquee SEC matchup at the Moody Center. If you are digging into sharp college basketball predictions, this game offers value on both the spread and total. Florida enters red hot, while Texas is fighting to protect its home court and NCAA Tournament hopes.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Florida -6.5
- Total Pick: Over 157.5
- Projected Final Score: Florida 84, Texas 75
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Market | Florida | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-108) | +7.5 (-112) |
| Market | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Total | 156.5 (-110) | 156.5 (-110) |
Current Odds
| Market | Florida | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Market | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Total (157.5) | 157.5 (-110) | 157.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Florida | Texas | Public |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/25 | 03:42:01AM | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) | TEX 94%, TEX 66% |
| 02/24 | 09:32:57PM | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-115) | |
| 02/24 | 03:24:24PM | -6.5 (-118) | +6.5 (-104) | |
| 02/24 | 02:33:38PM | -7.5 (-108) | +7.5 (-112) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/25 | 03:42:01AM | 157.5 (-110) | 157.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/24 | 03:44:51PM | 158.5 (-110) | 158.5 (-110) | |
| 02/24 | 02:33:38PM | 156.5 (-110) | 156.5 (-110) |
Florida
Florida enters at 21-6 overall and 12-2 in SEC play. The Gators are riding a seven-game winning streak and average 86.4 points per game while allowing 71.2. Their identity travels because it starts with defense. They pressure the ball, rebound well, and turn stops into fast-break points.
Perimeter shooting has been the one question mark at 30.1 percent from three on the season. Still, Florida has shot better from deep in three of its last four games. In the 94-75 win over Ole Miss, the Gators hit 50 percent from beyond the arc. When that outside shot falls, this offense becomes very hard to contain.
Florida comes into this matchup healthy, which matters for a team that wants to play with pace and depth.
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Texas
Texas sits at 17-10 overall and 8-6 in conference play. The Longhorns rely heavily on home court to stay on the right side of the bubble. They can score, but defensive inconsistency has been the main issue.
Against a Florida team that lives at the rim and crashes the glass, Texas must finish possessions with rebounds. If they give up second chances, this game can get away quickly.
Reserve forward Lassina Traore has been trending toward unavailable with a knee issue. His absence would reduce frontcourt depth and make it harder to match Florida’s physicality inside.
Betting Trends - UF and UT
- Florida is on a seven-game winning streak.
- The spread moved from Florida -7.5 to -6.5.
- The total moved from 156.5 to 157.5.
- Florida averages 86.4 points per game and allows 71.2.
- Public betting percentages show heavy early support for Texas at the current number.
Key Injuries and Notes - UF and UT
- UF: No significant injuries reported.
- UT: Lassina Traore is trending toward unavailable with a knee issue.
- Florida’s defense turns stops into transition opportunities.
- Texas needs to rebound well to limit second-chance points.
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Florida -6.5
- Total Pick: Over 157.5
Final Score Prediction
I expect Florida’s depth, defense, and transition game to wear Texas down. The Longhorns should score enough at home to push the total higher, but Florida’s overall efficiency gives them the edge.
- Projected Final Score: Florida 84, Texas 75
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