Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, February 7, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s an ACC clash between two teams desperate for wins on Saturday, Feb. 7. Read our Florida State vs Notre Dame prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Florida State is 10-12 and they have a 3-6 conference record. The Seminoles have struggled on the road with a 1-5 record, but they have won three of their last four games. Notre Dame is tied for the worst record in the conference with an 11-12, 2-8 record. The Fighting Irish have lost eight of their last nine games. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 4 P.M. EST.
Florida State winners of 3 of last 4 games
Florida State is 10-12 overall this season. The Seminoles are in 12th place in the ACC with a 3-6 conference record. They have a 1-5 road record this season. After losing five straight games, Florida State has won three of their last four games coming into this matchup.
In their last game, Florida State defeated Stanford 88-80 at home on Saturday, Jan. 31. The Seminoles grabbed the lead midway through the first half and they never gave it up for the rest of the outing. Florida State’s 10-0 run in the second half was key in the win. They shot 55% from the field and 30% from behind the 3-point line. Chauncey Wiggins led the team with 23 points on 6-for-13 shooting.
Robert McCray V leads the team with 14.4 points and 6.4 assists per game. Alex Steen is dishing out 5.8 rebounds per game.
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Florida State is the 96th ranked team in the nation according to KenPom. The Seminoles are the 99th ranked offensive team and the 109th ranked defensive team this season.
Florida State is averaging 80.8 points per game, which ranks 123rd. They are shooting 42.5% from the field, placing them 313th. The Seminoles are the 322nd 3-point shooting team, making 31.2% from behind the 3-point line.
The Seminoles are allowing 79.6 points per game, which ranks 285th. They are the 248th ranked defensive team, allowing 45.2% from the field. Opponents are shooting 33.9% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 200th.
Florida State is 11-11 agains the spread this season. The Seminoles are 3-3 against the spread when they have played on the road. Florida State is 5-4 against the spread during ACC play. They are 6-6 against the spread as a favorite this year. The under is 13-9 when Florida State has played this season. The under is 4-2 when Florida State has played on the road. The under is 5-4 during conference play.
Notre Dame struggling at the bottom of the ACC
Notre Dame is 11-12 overall this season. The Fighting Irish are tied for last place in the ACC with a 2-8 record. They have an 8-4 home record this season, too. Notre Dame has lost eight of their last nine games coming into this matchup. The team’s last win came against Boston College at home and three straight losses have followed.
In their last game, Notre Dame lost 76-65 to No. 24 Louisville away from home on Wednesday, Feb. 4. Notre Dame never led in the second-half, but they did cut the lead to three and four points at different times, but they could never get over the hump. Notre Dame shot 39% from the field and 41% from behind the arc. Cole Certa led the team with 18 points on 6-for-18 shooting.
Jalen Haralson leads the team with 15.2 points and 2.7 assists per game. Carson Towt is grabbing 9.6 rebounds per game, too.
According to KenPom, Notre Dame is the 82nd ranked team in the nation. The Fighting Irish is the 97th ranked offensive team and the 74th ranked defensive team in the country.
Notre Dame is averaging 73.6 points per game, which ranks 276th. They are the 219th ranked shooting team, making 44.7% from the field. The Fighting Irish are the 96th ranked 3-point shooting team, hitting 35.4% from behind the arc.
On defense, Notre Dame is allowing 72.4 points per game, which ranks 118th. They are the 144th ranked defensive team, giving up 43.2% from the field. The Fighting Irish are the 74th ranked 3-point defensive team, surrendering 31.4% from deep.
Notre Dame is 12-11 against the spread this season. The Fighting Irish are 6-6 against the spread when playing at home. They are 4-6 against the spread during ACC play. Notre Dame is 4-5 against the spread when they have been favored. The over is 14-9 when Notre Dame has played this season. The over is 9-3 when playing at home. The over is 7-3 during ACC play.
Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Picks
Florida State vs Notre Dame Spread Pick
- Take Florida State to cover (5 units)
Notre Dame has simply not found enough big plays to secure conference wins this season. In their last game, they had several chances to push Louisville to the bring, but they couldn’t come up with a big stop or a big basket. In this game, Florida State is brimming with confidence wining three of their last four games. The team in form should come away with the win and that’s Florida State. The Seminoles are 5-4 against the spread during ACC play. Notre is just 6-6 against the spread at home and 4-6 against the spread in ACC games. The Fighting Irish are the 276th ranked scoring offense. If Florida State gets off to a hot start, the Irish will have a tough time contending.
Take Florida State to cover.
Florida State vs Notre Dame Over/Under Pick
- Take the over (5 units)
Notre Dame plays at a crawl as one of the slowest teams in the nation. The Fighting Irish rank 292nd in tempo, but the team’s defense hasn’t been good enough to slow the opposition down. Notre Dame is the 144th ranked defensive field goal team in the country. Florida State will control the tempo as the 20th ranked fastest team in the country. The Seminoles are also averaging over 80 points per game. The over is 9-3 when Notre Dame has played at home.
Take the over on Saturday.
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