Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Pick and Prediction for Saturday January 10 2026
The Fresno State Bulldogs travel to Viejas Arena to face the San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday, January 10, 2026. This 11:00 PM EST (8:00 PM local) matchup on CBS Sports Network features an Aztecs team that has opened conference play with a perfect 4-0 record against a Bulldogs squad looking for consistency on the road. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the Mountain West, check out the latest free college basketball picks over at Winners and Whiners.
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Fresno State Bulldogs: Defensive Grit
The Bulldogs (7-8, 1-3 Mountain West) arrive in San Diego fresh off a 70-55 road win over San José State. Fresno State relies on a disciplined defensive structure that allows 70.9 points per game, though they face a significant challenge against the Aztecs' high-powered offense. Statistically, the Bulldogs average 74.1 points while shooting 46% from the floor.
The roster is currently managing several injury situations. Nathan Zulemie is OUT for the season with a torn ACL. Additionally, the team is monitoring the status of Gasper Kocevar and Jac Mani, both of whom are listed as questionable with undisclosed injuries as of early January. The Bulldogs' ability to stay competitive will depend on their ball security and their ability to match the Aztecs' physicality in the paint.
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San Diego State Aztecs: Offensive Powerhouse
The Aztecs (10-4, 4-0 Mountain West) have been the class of the conference so far, most recently securing a 73-68 road win at Nevada.5 San Diego State features a potent offense that averages 83.3 points per game and shoots an efficient 49% from the field. They are particularly dangerous at Viejas Arena, where they utilize their size advantage to average 36.9 rebounds and 4.6 blocks.
San Diego State has faced depth challenges of its own this season. Jeremiah Oden and Reese Dixon-Waters have both been listed on injury reports throughout the year, with Jeremiah Oden recently missing time due to an undisclosed injury and Reese Dixon-Waters managing a foot injury.6 Magoon Gwath is also listed as questionable for Saturday. Despite these potential absences, the Aztecs' depth has carried them through a perfect start to the Mountain West slate.
Fresno State vs. San Diego State Prediction
San Diego State’s offensive efficiency and home-court dominance make them a heavy favorite, but Fresno State’s recent defensive performance suggests they won't go away easily.
Fresno State vs. San Diego State ATS Pick
- Pick: San Diego State -13.5
The Aztecs have been elite at covering double-digit spreads at home this season. Their 49% field goal percentage is a tough matchup for a Bulldogs defense that can struggle with athletic wings. Even with some key players on the injury report, the Aztecs' system and the hostile environment of Viejas Arena should allow them to pull away in the second half for a comfortable double-digit cover.
Fresno State vs. San Diego State Total Pick
- Pick: Over 154.5
San Diego State’s pace of play is among the fastest in the Mountain West, contributing to their 83.3 PPG average. Fresno State has shown they can score in the 70s when the tempo increases. Given the Aztecs' offensive form and the Bulldogs' need to push the pace to keep up, this game is likely to be a higher-scoring affair that clears the total.
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