Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge Preview, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, December 10, 2025

By: Michael Briggs Published 12/10/2025, 10:13 AM ET
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On Wednesday, the Fresno State Bulldogs will visit the Cal State Northridge Matadors at Premier America Credit Union Arena, and we have you ready to go with ourΒ Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Northridge, CA, is at 7:00 p.m. PT.

CSUN is a 2.5-point spread favorite, and the game total is 153.5 points.

These college basketball programs last met in 2022, a 65-56 Bulldogs win. They have played six times since 2012, and Fresno State has won five of those games (3-3 ATS). If you want the Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge prediction, read on to get our topΒ NCAAB predictionsΒ and increase your bankroll!

Fresno State has struggled from three-point range

Fresno State (6-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, and 4-5 O/U) lost 82-58 to Arkansas in its previous game (Dec. 6). The Bulldogs trailed by as many as 32 points and never led, but outrebounded the Razorbacks and outscored them in the paint. FSU shot 35 percent overall, including 4-for-26 (15%) from three-point distance.

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Fresno State averages 75.4Β  points (264th) on 46.4 percent shooting (133rd), including 29.7 percent from beyond the arc (316th). Defensively, the Bulldogs surrender 69.7 points per game (79th) on 42.5 percent shooting (139th), including 26.6 percent from three-point distance (12th). Fresno State ranks 166th in NET rating, including 227th in offensive efficiency and 136th in defensive efficiency, per KenPom.

Senior guard Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno in scoring, averaging 18.8 points on 48.1 percent shooting. He also contributes 2.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. A few other Bulldogs to watch against Northridge are junior guard Zaon Collins (13.8 PPG, 5.3 APG, and 2.0 SPG), freshman forward DeShawn Gory (9.4 PPG and 3.2 RPG), and junior forward Jac Mani (8.3PPG and 3.1 RPG).

Fresno State Bulldogs Injury Report:

  • No injuries to report.

CSUN has really struggled on the defensive end

Cal State Northridge (4-5 SU, 3-5 ATS, and 4-4 O/U) lost 85-71 to UC Irvine in its last game. The Matadors led by four at halftime, but were outscored 48-30 after the break. They shot under 40 percent from the field and were outrebounded 47-32, surrendering 15 offensive rebounds in the loss.

CSUN averages 85.5Β  points (118th) on 41.7 percent shooting (317th), including 29.6 percent from beyond the arc (317th). Defensively, the Matadors allow 89.4 points per game (341st) on 42.7 percent shooting (148th), including 31.9 percent from three-point distance (151st). Cal State Northridge ranks 251st in NET rating, including 247th in offensive efficiency and 239th in defensive efficiency, per KenPom.

Senior guard Larry Hughes II leads CSUN in scoring, averaging 17.7 points on 43.6 percent shooting. He also contributes 2.2 rebounds and shoots 47.1 percent from three-point range. A few other Matadors to watch against Fresno State are senior guard Joshua O'Garro (13.1 PPG and 9.8 RPG), senior guard Josiah Davis (12.9 PPG and 6.1 APG), and senior forward Mahmoud Fofana (9.6 PPG and 7.9 RPG).

Cal State Northridge Matadors Injury Report:

  • No injuries to report.

Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge Pick and Preview

Spread Pick for Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge

  • CSUN -2.5 (5 Units)

The Bulldogs are a solid defensive team on the perimeter, but they really struggle inside the arc, where their opponents shoot 55.8 percent (292nd nationally). That's a concern against a very high-scoring Matadors team that ranks in the top 50 nationally in near-proximity shot attempt rate and doesn't typically settle for many threes.

The Bulldogs have also been inefficient offensively. While CSUN is a weak defensive team, it doesn't allow many shot attempts near the rim (71st in opponent near-proximity attempt rate), which will be problematic for Fresno State, which may be forced into too many contested jumpers, which isn't its game (288th in mid-range shooting percentage and 316th in three-point percentage)

Bet on the Matadors to cover the small spread at home on Wednesday!

Over/Under Pick for Fresno State vs. Cal State Northridge

  • Over 153.5 (5 Units)

Wednesday's non-conference clash between these California college hoops squads is expected to be fast-paced, leading to a high number of possessions. The home team is among the fastest-paced teams in the nation, ranking 11th in schedule-adjusted tempo, and the visitors are also above average (116th out of 365 teams). The Matadors average over 85 points per game, and should give the Bulldogs their money's worth in the paint, as Fresno State ranks 319th in opponent near-proximity shooting percentage. On the other end of the court, the home team has struggled to get back defensively in transition (338th in quick points allowed off breakaway steals) and allowed too many second-chance points (288th in opponent second-chance conversion percentage off offensive rebounds).

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