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George Mason Patriots vs Fordham Rams Pick and Prediction for Wednesday January 7 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 01/07/2026, 07:25 AM ET

The George Mason Patriots travel to the Bronx to face the Fordham Rams at the Rose Hill Gymnasium on Wednesday, January 7, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST, with the game streaming live on ESPN+. This Atlantic 10 battle features a Patriots squad off to one of the best starts in program history against a defensive-minded Rams team looking to snap a two-game skid and secure their first conference win of the season. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of college basketball, check out the latest free college basketball picks over at Winners and Whiners.

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George Mason Patriots Eyeing Historic Start

The George Mason Patriots enter this matchup with a stellar 14-1 overall record and a perfect 2-0 mark in A-10 play. They are currently on a five-game winning streak, most recently defeating Rhode Island 61-50 on January 3. Led by head coach Tony Skinn, the Patriots have transformed into a dominant force in the conference, relying on a balanced attack that has seen them win 29 of their last 35 games dating back to last season.

Statistically, the Patriots are a high-efficiency unit, averaging 78.9 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field. They are particularly lethal from beyond the arc, ranking 46th nationally with a 37.4% three-point percentage. Defensively, they allow just 66.5 points per game and excel on the glass, maintaining a +5.6 rebounding margin. Their discipline is a hallmark of their success, as they lead the A-10 in fewest turnovers per game at just 10.5.

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George Mason has been relatively fortunate with health, but they are monitoring a few situations. Guard Brayden O'Connor remains out as he recovers from foot surgery. Forward Dola Adebayo has been dealing with a foot injury and is considered questionable for Wednesday’s contest. However, the emergence of Stas Sivka (17 points vs. URI) and A-10 Rookie of the Week Emmanuel Kanga has provided the Patriots with significant frontcourt depth to offset any potential absences.

Fordham Rams Defending the Rose Hill Gym

The Fordham Rams come into this home game with a 9-6 record and a 0-2 start in conference play. They are looking to bounce back from an 83-75 loss to Richmond on January 4. Despite the slow start to league play, the Rams have been formidable at the Rose Hill Gymnasium this season, and their defense remains one of the stingiest in the Atlantic 10, holding opponents to an average of 62.9 points per game.

The Rams' identity is built on elite rebounding and interior defense. They rank 7th nationally in rebounding margin at +12.0, anchored by junior forward Rikus Schulte, who averages 10.1 rebounds per game. Offensively, Fordham averages 74.1 points per game and relies heavily on graduate student Dejour Reaves, who has scored in double figures in every game he has appeared in this season. They also rank among the top 40 nationally in offensive rebounding percentage, frequently generating second-chance points.

Fordham’s rotation has been hampered by recent injuries in the backcourt and frontcourt. Senior guard Christian Henry, a vital playmaker averaging 6.1 assists, missed the Dayton game and was limited against New Haven; his health is a major factor for the Rams’ offensive flow. Additionally, redshirt freshman Abass Bodija and freshman Roor Akhuar missed the Richmond game due to injuries, further testing the depth of a roster that features nine newcomers this season.

George Mason Patriots vs. Fordham Rams Prediction

This game features a significant contrast in styles: George Mason’s elite perimeter shooting versus Fordham’s dominant interior rebounding. While George Mason is the higher-ranked team analytically, Rose Hill Gym has historically been a house of horrors for the Patriots, where they hold a meager 1-5 all-time record. However, George Mason’s ability to take care of the ball and their superior shooting (41.2% from three in road/neutral games) should allow them to navigate Fordham's pressure and the hostile Bronx environment.

George Mason Patriots vs. Fordham Rams ATS Pick

  • Pick: George Mason -6.5

The Patriots are simply the more complete team at this stage of the season. George Mason is 13-0 as a favorite this year and has covered the spread in seven of their last 12 away games. Fordham’s struggle from deep—ranking 331st nationally in three-point percentage—makes it difficult for them to keep pace with a George Mason offense that can pull away quickly with a few transition buckets. If Christian Henry is less than 100% for the Rams, Fordham will struggle to facilitate enough scoring to cover the 6.5-point spread against the A-10's best turnover-avoiding team.

George Mason Patriots vs. Fordham Rams Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 133.5

This matchup features two of the slower-paced teams in the country; Fordham ranks 360th in tempo, while George Mason ranks 307th. Both programs hang their hats on defense, with both ranking inside the top 55 nationally in points per possession allowed. Fordham has hit the Under in 17 of their last 30 games, and with George Mason likely focusing on a deliberate, half-court game to neutralize the crowd, this game is set to be a defensive struggle that stays below the 133.5 total.

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