Georgia State Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 7, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a continuation of the opening week of the 2025-26 college basketball season and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the Sun Belt and the Big 12 on the hardwood as the Georgia State Panthers take on the Cincinnati Bearcats Friday night in the Buckeye State, and we have you covered with our Georgia State vs. Cincinnati prediction. Georgia State opened their season with a 71-49 road loss to Eastern Michigan Monday night, failing to cover the line as a 3.5-point underdog. Cincinnati cruised to a 94-63 home win over Western Carolina in their season opener Monday night, covering the line as a 22-point favorite. In the lone previous meeting between the schools, Cincinnati picked up a 68-53 win in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on March 16, 2018. Read more about this Georgia State vs. Cincinnati prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Georgia State Hoping for Better Showing After Opener
Georgia State opened its season with a dud as they were clobbered on the road by Eastern Michigan in a matchup of mid-major programs Monday night. The Panthers now have to find a way to regroup as they head to a hostile environment against a power conference squad. Against Eastern Michigan, Georgia State struggled offensively in the contest all night long, sending them to defeat. The Panthers took their last lead at 14-11 midway through the first half before giving up a 13-2 run to trail 24-16 with 6:19 to go in the first half. They never got closer than six the rest of the way while trailing by as many as 22 in the loss.
In the game, Eastern Michigan shot just 29.3% from the floor, including seven of 23 from beyond the arc, and they finished eight of 12 at the charity stripe. The Eagles were beaten 53-38 on the glass, turned the ball over 17 times, and were pounded 54-14 in points in the paint in the contest. Jelani Hamilton led Georgia State with 13 points in the loss. He was the lone player for the Panthers to score in double figures. The rest of the starters for Georgia State combined to score only 19 points, so they’re going to have to find some more offensive support if they hope to have any kind of success this year.
Bearcats Shooting to Start Season 2-0
Cincinnati cruised to a one-sided win over Western Carolina in their opener to start their season off on a positive note. The Bearcats jumped to an 8-2 lead just 89 seconds into the contest and didn’t let the Catamounts get closer than four the rest of the way. Cincinnati rolled to a 49-28 advantage at the half and didn’t let up after that. The Bearcats led by as many as 33 in the contest as they rolled to the victory. Cincinnati harassed an overmatched Western Carolina squad on both ends of the floor and made sure that the fans went home happy after the final buzzer sounded.
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In Monday’s contest, Cincinnati shot a solid 54.2% from the field, including 10 of 28 from beyond the arc, and knocked down 20 of 30 attempts at the charity stripe. The Bearcats held the Catamounts to 35.9% shooting in the game and forced 22 turnovers to offset a 37-36 disadvantage on the glass in the contest. Moustapha Thiam, Baba Miller (10 rebounds), and Shon Abaev each had 18 points to lead the Bearcats. Jordi Rodriguez added 10 points off the bench in the win. Day Day Thomas and Kerr Kriisa will be relied on to be contributors as the season wears on as they are experienced players.
Georgia State vs. Cincinnati Pick
Georgia State vs. Cincinnati Spread Pick
- Cincinnati -29.5 (4 units)
Georgia State was walloped in their season opener by Eastern Michigan, and their struggles offensively is a bad harbinger of what’s to come for them here. The Panthers shot sub-30% from the floor against the Eagles and now have to deal with a Cincinnati team that is capable of stifling opposing squads. Cincinnati had a solid offensive performance against Western Carolina in their opener and had four players in double figures in the game. The Bearcats are at home and they put the boots to the Catamounts, who are another flailing mid-major squad. Cincinnati is a stingy defensive squad, and they throttle Georgia State while piling up points of their own, helping them roll to a win here.
Georgia State vs. Cincinnati Over/Under Pick
- Under 151.5 (4 units)
Georgia State saw the over hit in 17 of their 32 games with a posted total last season. The Panthers were 319th in defensive efficiency, 189th in effective field goal percentage defense (51.1%), and 263rd in two-point defense (52.1%) last season. Georgia State played at a fast tempo as they were 86th according to KenPom with an average of 69.2 possessions a night last season. Cincinnati was an excellent defensive team last season as they stayed under the total in 23 of their 35 games on the year. The Bearcats were 22nd in defensive efficiency, 76th in effective field goal percentage defense (48.8%), 56th in forced turnover percentage (19.6%), 128th in field goal percentage (43.1%) and 138th in three-point defense (33%) on the season. Cincinnati was 262nd in tempo with 66.1 possessions per game last season. Look for the Bearcats to shut down the Panthers and that helps keep this game under the total.
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