Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026
On Wednesday, the Green Bay Phoenix will visit the Northern Kentucky Norse for a Horizon League basketball game, and we have you ready to go with our Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Truist Arena in Highland Heights, KY, is at 7:00 p.m. ET.
The Norse are eight-point spread favorites, and the game total is 151.5 points scored.
Green Bay beat Northern Kentucky 80-78 on January 11. The Phoenix shot 58 percent overall and 10-for-19 from three-point range, but nearly blew a 16-point halftime lead, as the Norse rallied hard in the second half. Green Bay also outrebounded Northern Kentucky 34-23. It was the Phoenix's first win in their last ten matchups with the Norse. NKU was also 8-2 ATS in those games. If you want the Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
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Green Bay is an efficient three-point shooting squad
Green Bay (12-12 SU, 13-9 ATS, and 12-10 O/U) lost 83-75 to Wright State on Sunday, failing to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. The Phoenix trailed by as many as 15 points and never led, managing just 28 first-half points. The Raiders hit 47 percent of their field goals and knocked down 25 of 28 free throw attempts.
Green Bay is tied for fourth in the Horizon League standings with a 7-6 conference record. The Phoenix, who have lost four of their last five, are 6-4 straight-up (7-3 ATS) in their last ten games. KenPom ranks GB 242nd in the nation, including 127th in offensive efficiency and 336th in defensive efficiency. The Phoenix averages 77.8 points per game (181st) on 48.2 percent shooting (42nd), including 35.9 percent from beyond the arc (75th). Green Bay gives up 79.7 points per game (292nd), and its opponents shoot 46.2 percent from the field (299th), including 36.8 percent from long distance (343rd).
Junior forward Marcus Hall paces the Phoenix in scoring at 13.8 points per game on 45.5 percent from the field. He also contributes 5.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. A few other Green Bay stars to watch against Northern Kentucky are sophomore guard C.J. O'Hara (13.6 PPG and 4.5 RPG), senior guard Justin Allen (12.7 PPG and 3.4 RPG), and senior guard Preston Ruedinger (11.8 PPG and 5.5 APG).
Green Bay Phoenix Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Norse are a high-tempo team
Northern Kentucky (14-10 SU, 9-12 ATS, and 14-7 O/U) lost 76-65 to Oakland in its previous game, failing to cover as 3.5-point spread underdogs. The Norse shot just 33 percent overall, including 9-for-40 (22%) from three-point distance, and lost the rebounding battle (-9 margin). NKU led 30-29 at halftime, but gave up 47 second-half points.
Northern Kentucky is 6-7 in Horizon League play this season, ranked sixth in the conference standings. The Norse, who have lost four straight, are 5-5 straight-up (4-6 ATS) in their last ten games. KenPom ranks NKU 185th nationally, including 183rd in offensive efficiency and 197th in defensive efficiency. The Norse score 87.1 points per game (30th) on 46.9 percent shooting (91st), including 33.3 percent from deep (222nd). NKU allows 80.2 points per game (305th), and its opponents shoot 45.3 percent from the field (262nd), including 35.6 percent from three-point range (299th).
Senior guard Donovan Oday paces the Norse in scoring at 18.4 points per game on 50.4 percent shooting. He also contributes 4.0 rebounds per game. A few other Northern Kentucky players to watch on Tuesday against Green Bay are senior guard Dan Gherezgher (16.3 PPG and 3.5 RPG), senior forward LJ Wells (14.0 PPG and 7.6 RPG), and senior forward Kael Robinson (13.9 PPG and 4.5 RPG).
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sean Higgs | +1,855.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,497.00 |
| 3 |  Ben Burns | +1,112.00 |
| 4 |  Ross Benjamin | +618.00 |
| 5 |  Bryan Power | +607.00 |
Northern Kentucky Norse Injury Report:
- No injuries to report.
Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky
- Phoenix +8 (5 Units)
I see value in Green Bay's side ATS. They won the first matchup straight-up and figure to be competitive in game two. The Phoenix can knock down the three-ball and shoot a high percentage overall, ranking 56th nationally in effective FG%. They also attack the rim and get to the foul line a lot (ranked 31st in free-throw rate). NKU ranks 304th in opponent eFG%, as they're weak defensively both inside and beyond the arc, and 270th in opponent FT rate.
Even with Green Bay's defensive flaws, the spread is too large for this matchup. Bet on the Phoenix +8.
Over/Under Pick for Green Bay vs. Northern Kentucky
- Over 151.5 (4 Units)
Betting Trends: The over is 7-3 in NKU's last ten and 6-4 in Green Bay's previous ten games. It's a combined 26-17 in their games this season.
The first game between these teams went over this total, even as the Phoenix dominated the first half and the Norse rallied in the second half. I expect a more competitive game from start to finish, with both teams pouring in the points. These squads rank outside the top 300 in opponent eFG% and outside the top 250 in opponent free-throw rate, suggesting both offenses will have plenty of good looks at the basket. The Norse are also fast-paced (54th in schedule-adjusted tempo) and should be able to dictate the style of play at home.
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