Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs UC Davis Aggies Picks and Prediction for Thursday February 26 2026
Use Code WWWC A little Big West CBB Action on Thursday evening, and we have a Hawaii vs UC Davis prediction locked and loaded for you. Hawaii is off a 78-75 home win over UCSB, and they are currently in a 3-way tie with CSUN and UC Irvine atop the Big West at 11-5. UC Davis is now 10-7 within the Big West after taking down UC Riverside on the road by a score of 78-73. Hawaii won the first meeting by a score of 75-69. Continue reading to see our Hawaii vs UC Davis Prediction.
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Hawaii Fighting For Top Spot In The Big West
Hawai‘i heads to Davis coming off a 78–75 win over UCSB, a game where they had to grind through foul trouble, survive some late swings, and ultimately leaned on Quandre Bullock’s 21 points to close it out. They’re now part of a three‑way tie atop the Big West at 11–5, but the road has been a different story — just 4–5 away from home and not nearly as consistent defensively. In league play the Warriors are scoring 77.9 points, shooting 45.1%, and getting solid interior efficiency at 53.9% on twos, while also hitting the glass well enough to create second chances. Defensively, they’ve been good inside the arc but vulnerable from deep, allowing opponents to shoot 42.8% overall and nearly 52% on twos, and their tendency to foul keeps teams hanging around. Still, their physicality and rebounding edge often give them a margin for error.
Against UC Davis, Hawai‘i’s keys are pretty clear: control the paint, keep the Aggies off the free‑throw line, and avoid the defensive lapses that have shown up in their road losses. UC Davis is strong at home and shoots it well enough to punish slow rotations, so Hawai‘i needs to stay connected on the perimeter and limit clean catch‑and‑shoot looks. Offensively, the Warriors should have opportunities to score inside and get downhill, especially if they establish tempo early and avoid the long scoring droughts that have hurt them away from Honolulu. If Hawai‘i brings its defensive focus and leans into its physical advantages, they have the tools to stay in the title race — but they’ll need a sharper road effort than they’ve shown most of the season.
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Sevilla Leads UC Davis Over UC Riverside
UC Davis comes back home after a 78–73 win at UC Riverside, a game where Connor Sevilla’s 22 points steadied them late and kept their pattern of alternating wins and losses intact. The Aggies sit at 10–7 in Big West play and have been far more reliable in their own building, carrying a 12–3 home record into this matchup. In conference action they’re scoring 76.9 points, shooting 43.5%, and getting nearly nine made threes per game at a strong 37% clip, while also leading the league in free‑throw attempts and makes. Defensively, they’ve been hit‑or‑miss — Big West opponents are scoring 75.3 points on 46% shooting, with Davis occasionally giving up too many clean looks inside. Still, their ability to force turnovers and control tempo at home has kept them in the upper half of the standings.
Against Hawai‘i, UC Davis needs to lean into the things that have made them tough in Davis: perimeter shooting, ball movement, and the ability to dictate pace. Hawai‘i brings size, physicality, and efficient interior scoring, so the Aggies’ defensive rotations and rebounding discipline will matter from the opening tip. Offensively, Davis should have opportunities to attack a Warriors defense that can be vulnerable from deep and tends to foul, especially on the road. If the Aggies stay sharp on the perimeter, avoid the scoring droughts that have popped up in recent weeks, and use their home‑court rhythm to control the flow, they’re positioned to make this another strong showing in Davis.
Hawaii vs UC Davis Pick
Hawaii vs UC Davis Spread Pick
- UC Davis +1.5 (4 Units)
UC Davis +1.5 is a pretty logical lean because this is exactly the kind of spot where the Aggies tend to show up — at home, where they’re 12–3, with their shooting and tempo control giving them a real edge. They’ve been alternating wins and losses for a couple of weeks, but the offense has stayed steady in Big West play at 76.9 points, nearly nine made threes, and the ability to get to the line more than anyone in the league. Hawai‘i is tough, no question, but they’re a different team away from Honolulu, sitting 4–5 on the road and showing more defensive slippage when they’re not in their own building. If UC Davis dictates pace, knocks down their perimeter looks, and forces Hawai‘i into more half‑court possessions, the Aggies have a very real path to not just covering but winning this one outright.
Hawaii vs UC Davis Over/Under Pick
- Over 149.5 (5 Units)
The Over 149.5 has a real case because both teams bring enough offensive punch — and enough defensive inconsistency — to push this into a higher‑scoring rhythm. UC Davis has been one of the more reliable scoring teams in the Big West at home, putting up 76.9 per game in league play with 37% shooting from three and the conference’s top free‑throw volume, which naturally inflates totals. Hawai‘i, meanwhile, comes in averaging 77.9 points in Big West action and shoots 53.9% on twos, so they’re efficient when they get downhill and into their sets. The Warriors’ road defense has been shaky, especially against teams that can stretch the floor, and Davis fits that mold. Add in the fact that both teams get to the line often and neither side is elite at stringing together stops, and you’ve got a matchup where the possessions should be productive on both ends. This number is high, but the ingredients are there for it to get cleared.
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