Idaho at Notre Dame Prediction, Picks, and Odds Movement for December 10 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/10/2025, 09:30 AM ET
Florida State vs Notre Dame basketball prediction
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Idaho heads east for a rare trip to South Bend on Wednesday night, meeting Notre Dame inside Purcell Pavilion in a non-conference showdown that offers several compelling betting angles for those searching for sharp college basketball picks. The Vandals arrive with an explosive offense and recent road success, while the Fighting Irish look to stay perfect at home despite a significant backcourt injury.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Idaho +11.5
  • Total Pick: Over 143
  • Projected Final Score: Notre Dame 78, Idaho 70

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
Idaho +11.5 Over 143
Notre Dame -11.5 Under 143

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Idaho +11.5 (-110) Over 142.5 to 143
Notre Dame -11.5 (-110) Under 142.5 to 143

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Idaho Notre Dame Public ($, #)
12/09 04:33:47PM +11.5 -110 -11.5 -110
12/09 01:58:59PM +12.5 -110 -12.5 -110

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
12/10 06:20:22AM 142.5o -115 142.5u -105
12/10 06:20:12AM 143o -110 143u -110
12/09 01:58:59PM 143o -115 143u -105

Idaho and Notre Dame Key Matchups and Handicap

Idaho enters at 6โ€“3, riding a two-game win streak and showcasing one of the Big Skyโ€™s most efficient offenses. Their recent 84โ€“81 road victory at South Dakota State highlighted their scoring depth, with five Vandals reaching double figures and Kolton Mitchell dropping 22 points. Idaho averages 81.7 points per game and has connected on at least five three-pointers in 55 consecutive contests, leaning on versatile scoring from Jackson Rasmussen and a deep perimeter rotation.

Notre Dame brings a 7โ€“3 record and a flawless 5โ€“0 home mark into this matchup. The Fighting Irish are coming off strong wins over Missouri and TCU, posting 76.6 points and 37 rebounds per game. Freshman guard Jalen Haralson has emerged as an impact playmaker, while transfer big man Carson Towt stabilizes their interior presence.

However, Notre Dameโ€™s offense faces a major challenge: star point guard Markus Burton โ€” the teamโ€™s leader in scoring, assists, and steals โ€” exited the TCU win with a lower-left-leg injury and is now expected to miss significant time. Without Burton, Notre Dame must rely more heavily on Haralson, Cole Certa, and backup ball-handlers to generate offense and maintain tempo control. His absence noticeably lowers the Irishโ€™s offensive ceiling.

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Idaho, by contrast, enters this matchup nearly fully healthy, giving them continuity and depth that may prove beneficial against a short-handed ACC opponent. With their pace, three-point volume, and scoring balance, the Vandals have a path to staying competitive even if Notre Dameโ€™s size eventually asserts itself.

Things to Know for Idaho vs Notre Dame

  • IDA: Multiple road wins over major-conference programs this season; consistent three-point production.
  • ND: Perfect 5โ€“0 at home, but offense is diminished without its leading scorer and facilitator.

Key Injuries and Notes: IDA vs ND

  • IDA: No key injuries reported; core rotation intact.
  • ND: Markus Burton (leg) out indefinitely โ€” significant impact on scoring and playmaking.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Idaho +11.5
  • Total: Over 143

Final Score Prediction

Notre Dame 78, Idaho 70

How to Bet Idaho vs Notre Dame

This matchup sets up well for bettors targeting value on the underdog and a game script leaning toward offense. Idahoโ€™s road scoring profile and Notre Dameโ€™s injury-driven vulnerability provide a solid foundation for backing the Vandals plus the points. The total also offers value given Idahoโ€™s pace and perimeter volume.

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